World - Wheat - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
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View PricingCash Wheat Prices
Cash wheat prices are the market prices that farmers receive when selling their wheat in its physical form, as opposed to trading it in the futures market. These prices are influenced by a variety of factors, including supply and demand dynamics, government policies, and global market conditions.
Factors Affecting Cash Wheat Prices
1. Supply and Demand: Like any other commodity, the supply and demand for wheat play a significant role in determining its price. Factors such as weather conditions, crop diseases, and yield levels can affect the overall supply of wheat, while changes in population, dietary trends, and export demand impact the demand for this cereal grain.
2. Government Policies: Government policies, such as import and export regulations, subsidies, and tariffs, can also influence cash wheat prices. For instance, restrictions on wheat exports by major producing countries can lead to a decrease in global supply and subsequently drive up prices.
3. Global Market Conditions: Wheat is a globally traded commodity, and changes in market conditions, such as economic growth, currency exchange rates, and geopolitical events, can impact cash wheat prices. For example, an increase in demand from emerging markets can drive up prices, while a recession in a major wheat-consuming country can have the opposite effect.
Price Discovery and Market Information
Price discovery in the cash wheat market occurs through various channels:
1. Cash Markets: Farmers typically sell their wheat to local grain elevators or cooperatives, which act as intermediaries between farmers and the end buyers such as flour mills, feedlots, and exporters. These local markets establish prices through negotiations based on supply and demand dynamics in the local area.
2. Agricultural Exchanges: Agricultural exchanges, such as the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and the Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBT), provide a platform for the trading of wheat futures contracts. Cash wheat prices are influenced by the prices established in these futures markets, as they reflect market participants' expectations about future supply and demand.
3. Market Reports and Analysis: Various private and public organizations publish market reports and analysis that provide valuable information on cash wheat prices. These reports include information on domestic and international production, consumption, and trade, as well as weather forecasts and crop conditions.
Cash Wheat Price Fluctuations
Cash wheat prices are subject to fluctuations due to the aforementioned factors and other market forces. Some of the common factors that lead to price fluctuations include:
1. Weather Events: Adverse weather conditions, such as droughts, floods, or frost, can damage wheat crops and reduce the overall supply, leading to higher prices. Conversely, favorable weather conditions can result in bumper harvests, increasing the supply and potentially lowering prices.
2. Speculation and Investor Sentiment: The futures market and commodity funds attract speculative trading and investment. Changes in investor sentiment, influenced by factors beyond fundamental supply and demand, can lead to price volatility.
3. Trade Policies: Trade policies, including import/export restrictions and subsidies, can affect cash wheat prices. Imposition of tariffs or removal of trade barriers can cause shifts in supply and demand dynamics and impact prices.
Conclusion
Cash wheat prices are influenced by a combination of factors, including supply and demand dynamics, government policies, and global market conditions. Price discovery occurs through local cash markets and agricultural exchanges, and market reports provide valuable information for market participants. Cash wheat prices are subject to fluctuations due to factors such as weather events, speculation, and trade policies.
This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global wheat market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.
Product coverage:
- FCL 15 - Wheat
Country coverage:
Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:
- USA
- China
- Japan
- Germany
- United Kingdom
- France
- Brazil
- Italy
- Russian Federation
- India
- Canada
- Australia
- Republic of Korea
- Spain
- Mexico
- Indonesia
- Netherlands
- Turkey
- Saudi Arabia
- Switzerland
- Sweden
- Nigeria
- Poland
- Belgium
- Argentina
- Norway
- Austria
- Thailand
- United Arab Emirates
- Colombia
- Denmark
- South Africa
- Malaysia
- Israel
- Singapore
- Egypt
- Philippines
- Finland
- Chile
- Ireland
- Pakistan
- Greece
- Portugal
- Kazakhstan
- Algeria
- Czech Republic
- Qatar
- Peru
- Romania
- Vietnam
+ the largest producing countries
Data coverage:
- Global market volume and value
- Per Capita consumption
- Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
- Global production, split by region and country
- Global trade (exports and imports)
- Export and import prices
- Market trends, drivers and restraints
- Key market players and their profiles
Company coverage:
Reasons to buy this report:
- Take advantage of the latest data
- Find deeper insights into current market developments
- Discover vital success factors affecting the market
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.
In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:
- How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
- How to load your idle production capacity
- How to boost your sales on overseas markets
- How to increase your profit margins
- How to make your supply chain more sustainable
- How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
- How to outsource production to other countries
- How to prepare your business for global expansion
While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
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1. INTRODUCTION
Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business
- REPORT DESCRIPTION
- RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
- DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
- GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
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2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A Quick Overview of Market Performance
- KEY FINDINGS
- MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
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3. MARKET OVERVIEW
Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects
- MARKET SIZE
- CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
- MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
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4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT
Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
- BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
- MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
- MOST TRADED PRODUCT
- MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
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5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES
Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
- COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
- TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
- LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
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6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS
Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
- UNSATURATED MARKETS
- TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
- MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION
The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry
- PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
- PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
- HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD BY COUNTRY
8. GLOBAL IMPORTS
The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed
- IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
- IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
- IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
9. GLOBAL EXPORTS
The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed
- EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
- EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
- EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
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10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS
The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO -
11. COUNTRY PROFILES
The Largest Markets And Their Profiles
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- United States
- China
- Japan
- Germany
- United Kingdom
- France
- Brazil
- Italy
- Russian Federation
- India
- Canada
- Australia
- Republic of Korea
- Spain
- Mexico
- Indonesia
- Netherlands
- Turkey
- Saudi Arabia
- Switzerland
- Sweden
- Nigeria
- Poland
- Belgium
- Argentina
- Norway
- Austria
- Thailand
- United Arab Emirates
- Colombia
- Denmark
- South Africa
- Malaysia
- Israel
- Singapore
- Egypt
- Philippines
- Finland
- Chile
- Ireland
- Pakistan
- Greece
- Portugal
- Kazakhstan
- Algeria
- Czech Republic
- Qatar
- Peru
- Romania
- Vietnam
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LIST OF TABLES
- Key Findings In 2023
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Market Value, 2012–2023
- Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2023
- Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2023
- Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
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LIST OF FIGURES
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Market Value, 2012–2023
- Consumption, By Country, 2023
- Market Volume Forecast to 2030
- Market Value Forecast to 2030
- Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
- Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
- Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
- Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
- Production Volume And Growth
- Yield And Growth
- Exports And Growth
- Export Prices And Growth
- Market Size And Growth
- Per Capita Consumption
- Imports And Growth
- Import Prices
- Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
- Area Harvested, 2012–2023
- Yield, 2012–2023
- Production, By Country, 2023
- Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Harvested Area, By Country, 2023
- Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2023
- Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Export Prices, 2012–2023
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In 2022, wheat price growth is forecast to slow down with sufficient global production and falling demand for feed grains in the U.S. and the EU. Global wheat output is set to remain at the 2021’s level of approx. 777M tons.
The average annual wheat price in the U.S. is forecast to drop by 2% y-o-y to $250 per ton in 2022, falling on reduced domestic consumption coupled with stable supply worldwide. The market balance will be buoyed by production gains in Argentina and the EU that will offset decreasing output in Brazil and Paraguay.
This year, harvests in the EU, the U.S., the UK, Argentina, Morocco and Ukraine are expected to increase, leading to a growth in wheat production. Even though global stockpiles of grains will remain high, there are boosted expectations for inflation due to forecasts of record demand and increased prices for other cereal grains. The rising global population and bioethanol production are key factors leading to this growth in demand for wheat. Another driving factor is the emerging trend in the EU to use more wheat in animal feed rather than barley.
Global wheat production will reach 758.3 million tons in 2020, showing a slight decrease of 0.5 percent over the previous year's highs and still at a fairly high level.
Global wheat consumption amounted to X thousand tons in 2015, remaining constant against the previous year level.
In 2015, the countries with the highest levels of production were China (X thousand tons), India (X thousand tons), Russia (X thousand tons), together accounting for X% of total output.
The U.S. dominates in the global wheat trade. In 2014, the U.S. exported X thousand tons of wheat totaling X million USD, X% under the previous year. Its primary trading partner was Japan, where it supplied X% of its total wheat exports in
Explore the top import markets for cereal around the world, including China, Japan, Mexico, Spain, Egypt, South Korea, Italy, Turkey, Algeria, and Indonesia. Discover key statistics and market insights from the IndexBox platform.
Explore the top import markets for grain, including China, Japan, Mexico, and more. Learn about the key statistics and market trends in the global grain import industry.