Global Aluminium Alloy Tubes and Pipes Market Expected to Grow with a CAGR of +1.7% in Volume and +3.5% in Value from 2023 to 2030

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The demand for aluminium alloy tubes and pipes is on the rise globally, leading to a forecasted increase in market volume and value over the next seven years. With a projected CAGR of +1.7% for volume and +3.5% for value from 2023 to 2030, the market is expected to expand significantly by the end of the forecast period.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for aluminium alloy tubes and pipes worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.7% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1.2M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.5% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $8.5B (in in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Aluminium Alloy Tubes And Pipes

In 2023, the amount of aluminium alloy tubes and pipes consumed worldwide reached 1M tons, leveling off at 2022 figures. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 5.5%. Global consumption peaked in 2023 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

The global aluminium alloy tube market value rose to $6.7B in 2023, growing by 2.1% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, the global market attained the maximum level in 2023 and is likely to see steady growth in the immediate term.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2023 were China (210K tons), the United States (108K tons) and India (87K tons), with a combined 39% share of global consumption. Japan, Russia, Germany, Indonesia, Mexico, Turkey, Belgium, Italy, South Korea and Democratic Republic of the Congo lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 27%.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Belgium (with a CAGR of +14.8%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($857M), the United States ($702M) and Turkey ($677M) were the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2023, together accounting for 33% of the global market. Japan, India, Germany, Mexico, Russia, Indonesia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, South Korea, Belgium and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 31%.

In terms of the main consuming countries, Belgium, with a CAGR of +14.3%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2023, the highest levels of aluminium alloy tube per capita consumption was registered in Belgium (1,594 kg per 1000 persons), followed by Germany (459 kg per 1000 persons), Japan (427 kg per 1000 persons) and South Korea (330 kg per 1000 persons), while the world average per capita consumption of aluminium alloy tube was estimated at 130 kg per 1000 persons.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of the aluminium alloy tube per capita consumption in Belgium totaled +14.3%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Germany (-2.1% per year) and Japan (+0.7% per year).

Production

World Production of Aluminium Alloy Tubes And Pipes

In 2023, approx. 1M tons of aluminium alloy tubes and pipes were produced worldwide; flattening at the previous year's figure. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the production volume increased by 9.8%. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum volume at 1.1M tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, production remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, aluminium alloy tube production rose to $7.3B in 2023 estimated in export price. Overall, the total production indicated buoyant growth from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, production decreased by -3.8% against 2021 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the production volume increased by 28%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $7.6B. From 2022 to 2023, global production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

China (327K tons) remains the largest aluminium alloy tube producing country worldwide, comprising approx. 31% of total volume. Moreover, aluminium alloy tube production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (115K tons), threefold. India (79K tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 7.5% share.

In China, aluminium alloy tube production expanded at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+4.5% per year) and India (+2.9% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Aluminium Alloy Tubes And Pipes

In 2023, global aluminium alloy tube imports declined slightly to 353K tons, falling by -2.8% against 2022. Overall, imports saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 18%. As a result, imports attained the peak of 381K tons. From 2022 to 2023, the growth of global imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, aluminium alloy tube imports contracted modestly to $2.3B in 2023. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 32%. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at $2.4B in 2022, and then dropped in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2023, Germany (43K tons), followed by Mexico (28K tons), the United States (28K tons) and Poland (17K tons) represented the main importers of aluminium alloy tubes and pipes, together making up 33% of total imports. The following importers - the Czech Republic (15K tons), Canada (14K tons), Thailand (14K tons), France (12K tons), India (11K tons), Slovenia (10K tons), the Netherlands (9.9K tons), Austria (9.2K tons) and Australia (7.3K tons) - together made up 29% of total imports.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Slovenia (with a CAGR of +22.9%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest aluminium alloy tube importing markets worldwide were Germany ($234M), the United States ($208M) and Mexico ($205M), together accounting for 28% of global imports. The Czech Republic, Poland, France, Thailand, Canada, the Netherlands, India, Slovenia, Austria and Australia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 33%.

Among the main importing countries, Slovenia, with a CAGR of +25.3%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2023, the average aluminium alloy tube import price amounted to $6,483 per ton, approximately equating the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.8%. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2022 when the average import price increased by 20%. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $6,558 per ton, and then dropped in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2023, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the Czech Republic ($8,934 per ton), while Australia ($3,549 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Australia (+9.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Aluminium Alloy Tubes And Pipes

In 2023, the amount of aluminium alloy tubes and pipes exported worldwide shrank modestly to 366K tons, leveling off at the previous year. In general, exports, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 26% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of 414K tons. From 2022 to 2023, the growth of the global exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, aluminium alloy tube exports dropped to $2.4B in 2023. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 35%. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the peak figure at $2.5B in 2022, and then contracted slightly in the following year.

Exports By Country

China represented the main exporter of aluminium alloy tubes and pipes in the world, with the volume of exports resulting at 121K tons, which was near 33% of total exports in 2023. It was distantly followed by the United States (35K tons), Germany (27K tons) and Belgium (17K tons), together constituting a 22% share of total exports. The following exporters - Denmark (15K tons), Mexico (14K tons), Italy (13K tons), South Africa (12K tons), Vietnam (11K tons), Russia (9.7K tons), the Czech Republic (8.3K tons), Bulgaria (7.7K tons) and Turkey (7.1K tons) - together made up 27% of total exports.

From 2013 to 2023, average annual rates of growth with regard to aluminium alloy tube exports from China stood at +2.9%. At the same time, Vietnam (+24.8%), Russia (+10.2%), Mexico (+5.8%), Belgium (+5.7%), Turkey (+5.5%) and the Czech Republic (+1.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Vietnam emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +24.8% from 2013-2023. The United States, Denmark and Italy experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Bulgaria (-1.2%), South Africa (-2.3%) and Germany (-2.6%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2013 to 2023, the share of China, Vietnam, Belgium and Russia increased by +6.4, +2.7, +1.7 and +1.6 percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the largest aluminium alloy tube supplying countries worldwide were China ($529M), Germany ($297M) and the United States ($283M), with a combined 46% share of global exports. Belgium, Denmark, Italy, South Africa, Mexico, Vietnam, the Czech Republic, Turkey, Russia and Bulgaria lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 30%.

Vietnam, with a CAGR of +24.3%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2023, the average aluminium alloy tube export price amounted to $6,522 per ton, remaining constant against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.3%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 an increase of 16%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $6,610 per ton, and then contracted in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($10,888 per ton), while Russia ($3,907 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Turkey (+4.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform