Semiconductor LED Market

The semiconductor LED market is projected to decline in both volume and value over the next eight years, with China leading in both consumption and production. Imports and exports show fluctuations in volume and value, with notable growth rates in certain countries. The market continues to face changes in terms of consumption, production, imports, and exports, indicating a dynamic and evolving industry landscape.

Market Forecast

The semiconductor LED market is expected to start a downward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. The performance of the market is forecast to decrease slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of -4.1% for the eight-year period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to depress the market volume to 45B units by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to contract with an anticipated CAGR of -5.2% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $3,114,222,430.4B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Semiconductor Light Emitting Diodes (LEDs)

In 2022, consumption of semiconductor light emitting diodes (LEDs) increased by 123% to 63B units, rising for the sixth year in a row after two years of decline. Over the period under review, consumption posted strong growth. Over the period under review, global consumption reached the maximum volume in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

The global semiconductor LED market size soared to $4,792,566,154.4B in 2022, surging by 1,691% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption enjoyed significant growth. As a result, consumption reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Consumption By Country

China (35B units) remains the largest semiconductor LED consuming country worldwide, accounting for 55% of total volume. Moreover, semiconductor LED consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, Thailand (9.1B units), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was held by Malaysia (4.7B units), with a 7.4% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume in China stood at +36.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Thailand (+5.1% per year) and Malaysia (+46.1% per year).

In value terms, China ($4,792,565,961.3B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by Vietnam ($53.6B). It was followed by Thailand.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in China stood at +36.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Vietnam (+24.4% per year) and Thailand (+5.0% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of semiconductor LED per capita consumption in 2022 were Malaysia (142 units per person), Thailand (130 units per person) and China (25 units per person).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Malaysia (with a CAGR of +44.2%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Semiconductor Light Emitting Diodes (LEDs)

In 2022, production of semiconductor light emitting diodes (LEDs) was finally on the rise to reach 63B units after three years of decline. Overall, production posted a remarkable increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of 686%. As a result, production reached the peak volume of 137B units. From 2019 to 2022, global production growth failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, semiconductor LED production surged to $20,330,609.2B in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production saw significant growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the production volume increased by 6,002% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak level of $70,523,014.5B. From 2019 to 2022, global production growth remained at a lower figure.

Production By Country

China (35B units) constituted the country with the largest volume of semiconductor LED production, accounting for 56% of total volume. Moreover, semiconductor LED production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Thailand (9.1B units), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Malaysia (4.7B units), with a 7.5% share.

In China, semiconductor LED production increased at an average annual rate of +43.4% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Thailand (+3.6% per year) and Malaysia (+2.1% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Semiconductor Light Emitting Diodes (LEDs)

After two years of growth, supplies from abroad of semiconductor light emitting diodes (LEDs) decreased by -99.7% to 1.1B units in 2022. In general, imports showed a significant contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 433%. Over the period under review, global imports reached the maximum at 338B units in 2021, and then contracted remarkably in the following year.

In value terms, semiconductor LED imports declined markedly to $5.3B in 2022. Overall, imports faced a precipitous curtailment. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 25% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of $75.8B, and then declined significantly in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2022, Argentina (215M units) and the United Arab Emirates (183M units) were the main importers of semiconductor light emitting diodes (LEDs)across the globe, together achieving 35% of total imports. Tunisia (99M units) ranks next in terms of the total imports with an 8.6% share, followed by Taiwan (Chinese) (7.5%), Lebanon (7.3%) and Colombia (4.8%). The Philippines (48M units), Hong Kong SAR (38M units), Cambodia (38M units), North Macedonia (31M units), Jordan (25M units), Bangladesh (21M units) and Moldova (20M units) held a minor share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Lebanon (with a CAGR of +57.9%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Taiwan (Chinese) ($1.1B), the Philippines ($621M) and Hong Kong SAR ($496M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, with a combined 42% share of global imports. Lebanon, the United Arab Emirates, Argentina, Jordan, Colombia, Tunisia, Cambodia, Bangladesh, Moldova and North Macedonia lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 24%.

Lebanon, with a CAGR of +77.2%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average semiconductor LED import price stood at $4.6 per unit in 2022, increasing by 1,942% against the previous year. In general, the import price showed a significant increase. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the Philippines ($13 per unit), while North Macedonia ($0.4 per unit) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Moldova (+30.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Semiconductor Light Emitting Diodes (LEDs)

After two years of growth, shipments abroad of semiconductor light emitting diodes (LEDs) decreased by -99.9% to 351M units in 2022. In general, exports saw a significant decrease. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when exports increased by 741% against the previous year. The global exports peaked at 345B units in 2021, and then contracted notably in the following year.

In value terms, semiconductor LED exports fell rapidly to $5.8B in 2022. Overall, exports faced a precipitous curtailment. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 27% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $76.3B, and then fell notably in the following year.

Exports By Country

Singapore (126M units) and Taiwan (Chinese) (110M units) were the key exporters of semiconductor light emitting diodes (LEDs) in 2022, reaching near 36% and 31% of total exports, respectively. It was distantly followed by Vietnam (52M units) and Oman (16M units), together achieving a 19% share of total exports. India (11M units), Japan (11M units) and the Philippines (8.2M units) held a minor share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Oman (with a CAGR of +131.8%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest semiconductor LED supplying countries worldwide were Singapore ($2.4B), Taiwan (Chinese) ($2.1B) and the Philippines ($512M), with a combined 87% share of global exports. Vietnam, Japan, India and Oman lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 10%.

In terms of the main exporting countries, Oman, with a CAGR of +42.7%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average semiconductor LED export price stood at $16 per unit in 2022, with an increase of 7,311% against the previous year. In general, the export price continues to indicate a significant increase. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the Philippines ($62 per unit), while Oman ($1.2 per unit) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Philippines (+18.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform