Kenya - Ethyl Alcohol - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
Report Update: May 1, 2024

Kenya - Ethyl Alcohol - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights

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Ethanol Price in Kenya - 2021

Contents:

  1. Ethanol Price in Kenya (CIF) - 2022
  2. Ethanol Price in Kenya (FOB) - 2022
  3. Ethanol Imports in Kenya
  4. Ethanol Exports in Kenya

Ethanol Price in Kenya (CIF) - 2022

In 2022, the average ethanol import price amounted to $0.7 per litre, falling by -12.9% against the previous year. Overall, the import price showed a perceptible reduction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 an increase of 41%. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $1.1 per litre. From 2021 to 2022, the average import prices remained at a lower figure.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the countries with the highest prices were Mauritius ($0.8 per litre) and Tanzania ($0.8 per litre), while the price for the United States ($0.6 per litre) and India ($0.6 per litre) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Africa (+0.3%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced a decline.

Ethanol Price in Kenya (FOB) - 2022

The average ethanol export price stood at $0.9 per litre in 2022, dropping by -2.8% against the previous year. Overall, the export price recorded a perceptible shrinkage. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 an increase of 31%. The export price peaked at $1.2 per litre in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major export markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Rwanda ($2 per litre), while the average price for exports to Tanzania ($0.7 per litre) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Rwanda (+6.5%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced mixed trend patterns.

Ethanol Imports in Kenya

In 2022, the amount of ethyl alcohol imported into Kenya dropped modestly to 22M litres, reducing by -2.5% compared with the previous year. Over the period under review, imports, however, recorded a prominent expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 100% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of 22M litres, and then shrank slightly in the following year.

In value terms, ethanol imports fell rapidly to $15M in 2022. Overall, total imports indicated strong growth from 2019 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +8.8% over the last three years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +28.6% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 43% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of $18M, and then contracted sharply in the following year.

Import of Ethanol in Kenya (Million USD)
COUNTRY2019202020212022CAGR,
2019-2022
UgandaN/AN/AN/A4.80%
Mauritius6.55.73.63.7-17.1%
South Africa0.90.60.92.846.0%
United States0.24.45.42.4128.9%
Tanzania3.20.91.00.9-34.5%
SudanN/AN/A6.1N/A0%
Others0.80.80.80.4-20.6%
Total11.712.417.815.18.9%

Top Suppliers of Ethanol to Kenya in 2022:

  1. Uganda (7.0M litres)
  2. Mauritius (4.9M litres)
  3. United States (4.3M litres)
  4. South Africa (3.9M litres)
  5. Tanzania (1.2M litres)

Ethanol Exports in Kenya

In 2022, ethanol exports from Kenya fell dramatically to 770K litres, which is down by -20.6% against 2021. Overall, total exports indicated a noticeable increase from 2019 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the last three years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +31.8% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 66%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 969K litres, and then contracted dramatically in the following year.

In value terms, ethanol exports shrank significantly to $681K in 2022. Over the period under review, total exports indicated a strong expansion from 2019 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +8.3% over the last three years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +42.0% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when exports increased by 84% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $883K, and then fell remarkably in the following year.

Export of Ethanol in Kenya (Thousand USD)
COUNTRY2019202020212022CAGR,
2019-2022
Tanzania2661261663054.7%
Democratic Republic of the Congo56.454.635614436.7%
Rwanda56.743.756.311325.8%
Uganda11514924486.3-9.1%
Others43.210760.132.9-8.7%
Total5374808836818.2%

Top Export Markets for Ethanol from Kenya in 2022:

  1. Tanzania (451.0K litres)
  2. Democratic Republic of the Congo (131.0K litres)
  3. Uganda (119.1K litres)
  4. Rwanda (56.5K litres)

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the ethanol market in Kenya. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

  • Prodcom 20147400 - Undenatured ethyl alcohol of an alcoholic strength by volume. .80 % (important: excluding alcohol duty)
  • Prodcom 20147500 - Denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits, of any strength

Country coverage:

  • Kenya

Data coverage:

  • Market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Trade (exports and imports) in Kenya
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

  1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
  2. How to load your idle production capacity
  3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
  4. How to increase your profit margins
  5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
  6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
  7. How to outsource production to other countries
  8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE
    2. MARKET STRUCTURE
    3. TRADE BALANCE
    4. PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
    5. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    4. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
  7. 7. PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
  8. 8. IMPORTS

    The Largest Import Supplying Countries

    1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
  9. 9. EXPORTS

    The Largest Destinations for Exports

    1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
  11. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2023
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    3. Market Value, 2012–2023
    4. Per Capita Consumption In 2012-2023
    5. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    6. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    7. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
    8. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    9. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    10. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
  12. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    2. Market Value, 2012–2023
    3. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012-2023
    4. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012-2023
    5. Trade Balance, In Physical Terms, 2012-2023
    6. Trade Balance, In Value Terms, 2012-2023
    7. Per Capita Consumption, 2012-2023
    8. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
    9. Market Value Forecast to 2030
    10. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
    11. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
    12. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
    13. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
    14. Production Volume And Growth
    15. Exports And Growth
    16. Export Prices And Growth
    17. Market Size And Growth
    18. Per Capita Consumption
    19. Imports And Growth
    20. Import Prices
    21. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    22. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    23. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    24. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    25. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    26. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    27. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    28. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
    29. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    30. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    31. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    32. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    33. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    34. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
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