China: Grapefruit Market 2023

Grapefruit Market Size in China

In 2022, the Chinese grapefruit market decreased by -1.4% to $X for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.

Grapefruit Production in China

In value terms, grapefruit production stood at $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when the production volume increased by 29% against the previous year. Grapefruit production peaked at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

The average yield of grapefruits in China declined modestly to X tons per ha in 2022, approximately reflecting the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the yield, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 11%. Over the period under review, the average grapefruit yield hit record highs at X tons per ha in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. X ha of grapefruits were harvested in China; with a decrease of -1.6% against 2021 figures. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 when the harvested area increased by 42% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to grapefruit production attained the peak figure at X ha in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Grapefruit Exports

Exports from China

In 2022, shipments abroad of grapefruits was finally on the rise to reach X tons after two years of decline. Over the period under review, total exports indicated a modest increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports decreased by -42.7% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when exports increased by 34%. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, grapefruit exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Overall, total exports indicated a mild expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports decreased by -36.0% against 2018 indices. The exports peaked at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

The Netherlands (X tons), Russia (X tons) and Kyrgyzstan (X tons) were the main destinations of grapefruit exports from China, together comprising 64% of total exports. These countries were followed by Romania, Canada, Ukraine, Lithuania, the United States, Germany, the UK, Belarus and Poland, which together accounted for a further 22%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by the United States (with a CAGR of +263.8%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest markets for grapefruit exported from China were the Netherlands ($X), Russia ($X) and Kyrgyzstan ($X), together accounting for 64% of total exports. These countries were followed by Romania, Canada, the United States, Ukraine, Lithuania, Germany, the UK, Belarus and Poland, which together accounted for a further 21%.

In terms of the main countries of destination, the United States, with a CAGR of +233.9%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average grapefruit export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, approximately reflecting the previous year. In general, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 an increase of 24% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major external markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Poland ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Belarus ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Hong Kong SAR (+14.5%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grapefruit Imports

Imports into China

After two years of growth, purchases abroad of grapefruits decreased by -13.6% to X tons in 2022. Over the period under review, imports, however, saw a significant increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 when imports increased by 87% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

In value terms, grapefruit imports declined to $X in 2022. Overall, imports, however, saw a significant increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 70%. Imports peaked at $X in 2021, and then fell in the following year.

Imports by Country

In 2022, South Africa (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of grapefruit to China, accounting for a 60% share of total imports. Moreover, grapefruit imports from South Africa exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Thailand (X tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Israel (X tons), with a 5.5% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from South Africa stood at +39.3%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Thailand (+20.9% per year) and Israel (+17.9% per year).

In value terms, South Africa ($X), Thailand ($X) and Israel ($X) appeared to be the largest grapefruit suppliers to China, together comprising 90% of total imports.

South Africa, with a CAGR of +35.2%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main suppliers over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average grapefruit import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, growing by 5.7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the average import price increased by 15%. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the maximum at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Thailand ($X per ton), while the price for South Africa ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Taiwan (Chinese) (+5.5%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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