U.S. - Cereal Grains - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights
Report Update: Apr 1, 2024

U.S. - Cereal Grains - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights

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Grain Price in the United States - 2023

Contents:

  1. Grain Price in the United States (FOB) - 2022
  2. Grain Price in the United States (CIF) - 2022
  3. Grain Exports in the United States
  4. Grain Imports in the United States

Grain Price in the United States (FOB) - 2022

In 2022, the average grain export price amounted to $348 per ton, jumping by 23% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated modest growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain export price increased by +76.7% against 2017 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 37% against the previous year. The export price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied somewhat for the major export markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the highest price was recorded for prices to Nigeria ($408 per ton) and the Philippines ($407 per ton), while the average price for exports to Canada ($304 per ton) and Guatemala ($328 per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to South Korea (+2.7%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grain Price in the United States (CIF) - 2022

In 2022, the average grain import price amounted to $449 per ton, picking up by 31% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import price indicated a slight expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain import price increased by +56.9% against 2016 indices. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the highest price was recorded for prices from Canada ($413 per ton) and Argentina ($402 per ton), while the price for Germany ($310 per ton) and Brazil ($381 per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada (+2.3%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grain Exports in the United States

In 2022, overseas shipments of cereal grains decreased by -15.3% to 86M tons for the first time since 2018, thus ending a three-year rising trend. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% over the period from 2019 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when exports increased by 18%.

In value terms, grain exports expanded slightly to $30B in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, enjoyed a significant expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when exports increased by 61% against the previous year. The exports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Export of Grain in the United States (Billion USD)
COUNTRY2019202020212022CAGR,
2019-2022
China0.33.07.67.4191.1%
Mexico4.03.86.46.919.9%
Japan2.72.63.94.014.0%
Canada0.60.50.91.535.7%
Colombia0.91.11.31.313.0%
South Korea0.70.91.41.012.6%
Philippines0.70.80.90.98.7%
Taiwan (Chinese)0.60.50.70.60.0%
Honduras0.20.20.30.535.7%
Guatemala0.30.40.50.518.6%
Nigeria0.50.30.50.50.0%
Others4.03.94.55.07.7%
Total15.518.029.030.024.6%

Top Export Markets for Grain from the United States in 2022:

  1. China (22.2M tons)
  2. Mexico (20.2M tons)
  3. Japan (11.2M tons)
  4. Canada (5.1M tons)
  5. Colombia (3.8M tons)
  6. South Korea (2.6M tons)
  7. Philippines (2.3M tons)
  8. Taiwan (Chinese) (1.6M tons)
  9. Honduras (1.4M tons)
  10. Guatemala (1.4M tons)
  11. Nigeria (1.2M tons)

Grain Imports in the United States

In 2022, purchases abroad of cereal grains was finally on the rise to reach 4.4M tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year declining trend. In general, imports, however, saw a perceptible shrinkage.

In value terms, grain imports surged to $2B in 2022. Overall, total imports indicated a buoyant increase from 2019 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +10.3% over the last three years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Import of Grain in the United States (Million USD)
COUNTRY2019202020212022CAGR,
2019-2022
Canada9489781,0051,51316.9%
Argentina76.889.987.310511.0%
Brazil94.514.537.147.8-20.3%
Germany35.313.918.134.8-0.5%
Others332356253295-3.9%
Total1,4861,4521,4001,99610.3%

Top Suppliers of Grain to the United States in 2022:

  1. Canada (3668.1K tons)
  2. Argentina (261.6K tons)
  3. Brazil (125.7K tons)
  4. Germany (112.2K tons)

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the grain market in the U.S.. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

Product coverage:

  • FCL 108 - Cereals, nes
  • FCL 103 - Mixed grain
  • FCL 92 - Quinoa
  • FCL 15 - Wheat
  • FCL 71 - Rye
  • FCL 44 - Barley
  • FCL 75 - Oats
  • FCL 56 - Maize
  • FCL 27 - Rice, paddy
  • FCL 83 - Sorghum
  • FCL 89 - Buckwheat
  • FCL 101 - Canary seed
  • FCL 94 - Fonio
  • FCL 97 - Triticale
  • FCL 79 - Millet

Country coverage:

  • United States

Data coverage:

  • Market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Trade (exports and imports) in the U.S.
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:

  • Take advantage of the latest data
  • Find deeper insights into current market developments
  • Discover vital success factors affecting the market

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:

  1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
  2. How to load your idle production capacity
  3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
  4. How to increase your profit margins
  5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
  6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
  7. How to outsource production to other countries
  8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE
    2. MARKET STRUCTURE
    3. TRADE BALANCE
    4. PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
    5. MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCT
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
    4. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    5. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
  7. 7. PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION, HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD
  8. 8. IMPORTS

    The Largest Import Supplying Countries

    1. IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
  9. 9. EXPORTS

    The Largest Destinations for Exports

    1. EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
    2. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
    3. EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
  11. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2023
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    3. Market Value, 2012–2023
    4. Per Capita Consumption In 2012-2023
    5. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    6. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    7. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
    8. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    9. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    10. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
  12. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    2. Market Value, 2012–2023
    3. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012-2023
    4. Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012-2023
    5. Trade Balance, In Physical Terms, 2012-2023
    6. Trade Balance, In Value Terms, 2012-2023
    7. Per Capita Consumption, 2012-2023
    8. Market Volume Forecast to 2030
    9. Market Value Forecast to 2030
    10. Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
    11. Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
    12. Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
    13. Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
    14. Production Volume And Growth
    15. Yield And Growth
    16. Exports And Growth
    17. Export Prices And Growth
    18. Market Size And Growth
    19. Per Capita Consumption
    20. Imports And Growth
    21. Import Prices
    22. Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    23. Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    24. Area Harvested, 2012–2023
    25. Yield, 2012–2023
    26. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    27. Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    28. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    29. Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    30. Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    31. Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
    32. Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
    33. Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
    34. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
    35. Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    36. Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
    37. Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
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