Ulta Beauty Q4 2025 Earnings Report Preview
Ulta Beauty
Ulta Beauty set to report Q4 earnings Thursday
Analysts expect 9.7% revenue growth this quarter
Stock is down 6.9% ahead of the report
Stock video by Art-Production via Pixabay
Mar 11, 2026

Ulta Beauty Q4 2025 Earnings Report Preview

Ulta Beauty Earnings Report Preview

Ulta Beauty is scheduled to announce its earnings results after the market closes this Thursday.

In the previous quarter, the company exceeded analyst revenue expectations, reporting revenues of $2.86 billion, up 12.9% year on year. It was an exceptional quarter, with an impressive beat of analysts' EBITDA estimates and a solid beat of analysts' revenue estimates.

This quarter, the market is expecting Ulta's revenue to grow 9.7% year on year, a reversal from the 1.9% decrease it recorded in the same quarter last year.

Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. Ulta rarely misses Wall Street's revenue estimates.

Looking at Ulta's peers in the beauty and cosmetics retailer segment, some have already reported their Q4 results. Bath and Body Works's revenues decreased 2.3% year on year, beating analysts' expectations by 4.3%, and Sally Beauty reported flat revenue, in line with consensus estimates. Bath and Body Works's stock price was unchanged after the results while Sally Beauty was down 3.5%.

Debates around the economy's health and the impact of potential tariffs and corporate tax cuts have caused much uncertainty in 2025. While some of the beauty and cosmetics retailer stocks have shown solid performance in this choppy environment, the group has generally underperformed, with share prices down 9.3% on average over the last month. Ulta is down 6.9% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $698.79 (compared to the current share price of $648.20).

This report provides a comprehensive view of the global cosmetics industry, tracking demand, supply, and trade flows across the worldwide value chain. It explains how demand across key channels and end-use segments shapes consumption patterns, while also mapping the role of input availability, production efficiency, and regulatory standards on supply.

Beyond headline metrics, the study benchmarks prices, margins, and trade routes so you can see where value is created and how it moves between exporters and importers worldwide. The analysis is designed to support strategic planning, market entry, portfolio prioritization, and risk management in the global cosmetics landscape.

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Key findings

  • Global demand is shaped by both household and industrial usage, with trade flows linking cost-competitive producers to import-reliant markets.
  • Pricing dynamics reflect unit values, freight costs, exchange rates, and regulatory shifts that affect sourcing decisions.
  • Supply depends on input availability and production efficiency, creating distinct cost curves across regions.
  • Market concentration varies by country, creating different competitive landscapes and entry barriers.
  • The 2035 outlook highlights where capacity investment and demand growth are most aligned globally.

Report scope

The report combines market sizing with trade intelligence and price analytics. It covers both historical performance and the forward outlook to 2035, allowing you to compare cycles, structural shifts, and policy impacts across countries and regions.

  • Market size and growth in value and volume terms
  • Consumption structure by end-use segments and regions
  • Production capacity, output, and cost dynamics
  • Global trade flows, exporters, importers, and balances
  • Price benchmarks, unit values, and margin signals
  • Competitive context and market entry conditions

Product coverage

  • Prodcom 20421250 - Lip make-up preparations
  • Prodcom 20421270 - Eye make-up preparations
  • Prodcom 20421300 - Manicure or pedicure preparations
  • Prodcom 20421400 - Powders, whether or not compressed, for cosmetic use (including talcum powder)
  • Prodcom 20421500 - Beauty, make-up and skin care preparations including suntan (excluding medicaments, lip and eye make-up, manicure and pedicure preparations, powders for cosmetic use and talcum powder)

Country coverage

Country profiles and benchmarks

For the global report, country profiles provide a consistent view of market size, trade balance, prices, and per-capita indicators. The profiles highlight the largest consuming and producing markets and allow direct benchmarking across peers.

Methodology

The analysis is built on a multi-source framework that combines official statistics, trade records, company disclosures, and expert validation. Data are standardized, reconciled, and cross-checked to ensure consistency across time series.

  • International trade data (exports, imports, and mirror statistics)
  • National production and consumption statistics
  • Company-level information from financial filings and public releases
  • Price series and unit value benchmarks
  • Analyst review, outlier checks, and time-series validation

All data are normalized to a common product definition and mapped to a consistent set of codes. This ensures that comparisons across time are aligned and actionable.

Forecasts to 2035

The forecast horizon extends to 2035 and is based on a structured model that links cosmetics demand and supply to macroeconomic indicators, trade patterns, and sector-specific drivers. The model captures both cyclical and structural factors and reflects known policy and technology shifts.

  • Historical baseline: 2012-2025
  • Forecast horizon: 2026-2035
  • Scenario-based sensitivity to income growth, substitution, and regulation
  • Capacity and investment outlook for major producing countries

Each country projection is built from its own historical pattern and the regional context, allowing the report to show where growth is concentrated and where risks are elevated.

Price analysis and trade dynamics

Prices are analyzed in detail, including export and import unit values, regional spreads, and changes in trade costs. The report highlights how seasonality, freight rates, exchange rates, and supply disruptions influence pricing and margins.

  • Price benchmarks by country and sub-region
  • Export and import unit value trends
  • Seasonality and calendar effects in trade flows
  • Price outlook to 2035 under baseline assumptions

Profiles of market participants

Key producers, exporters, and distributors are profiled with a focus on their operational scale, geographic footprint, product mix, and market positioning. This helps identify competitive pressure points, partnership opportunities, and routes to differentiation.

  • Business focus and production capabilities
  • Geographic reach and distribution networks
  • Cost structure and pricing strategy indicators
  • Compliance, certification, and sustainability context

How to use this report

  • Quantify global demand and identify the most attractive markets
  • Evaluate export opportunities and prioritize target countries
  • Track price dynamics and protect margins
  • Benchmark performance against major competitors
  • Build evidence-based forecasts for investment decisions

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, wholesalers, investors, and advisors who need a clear, data-driven picture of global cosmetics dynamics.

FAQ

What is included in the global cosmetics market?

The market size aggregates consumption and trade data at country and regional levels, presented in both value and volume terms.

How are the forecasts to 2035 built?

The projections combine historical trends with macroeconomic indicators, trade dynamics, and sector-specific drivers.

Does the report cover prices and margins?

Yes, it includes export and import unit values, regional spreads, and a pricing outlook to 2035.

Which countries are profiled in detail?

The report provides profiles for the largest consuming and producing countries, enabling benchmarking across peers.

Can this report support market entry decisions?

Yes, it highlights demand hotspots, trade routes, pricing trends, and competitive context.

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

    1. REPORT DESCRIPTION
    2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND THE AI PLATFORM
    3. DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
    4. GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS

  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    A Quick Overview of Market Performance

    1. KEY FINDINGS
    2. MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO

  3. 3. MARKET OVERVIEW

    Understanding the Current State of The Market and its Prospects

    1. MARKET SIZE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    2. CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    3. CONSUMPTION BY TYPE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    4. MARKET FORECAST TO 2035

  4. 4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS FOR DIVERSIFICATION

    Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

    1. TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
    2. BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
    3. MOST CONSUMED PRODUCTS
    4. MOST TRADED PRODUCTS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCTS FOR EXPORT

  5. 5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

    Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

    1. TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
    3. TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
    4. LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES

  6. 6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

    Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Export

    1. TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
    2. TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
    3. UNSATURATED MARKETS
    4. TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
    5. MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS

  7. 7. PRODUCTION

    The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

    1. PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    2. PRODUCTION BY TYPE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    3. PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)

  8. 8. IMPORTS

    The Largest Import Supplying Countries

    1. IMPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    2. IMPORTS BY TYPE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    3. IMPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    4. IMPORT PRICES BY TYPE AND COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)

  9. 9. EXPORTS

    The Largest Destinations for Exports

    1. EXPORTS: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    2. EXPORTS BY TYPE: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    3. EXPORTS BY COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)
    4. EXPORT PRICES BY TYPE AND COUNTRY: HISTORICAL DATA (2012–2025) AND FORECAST (2026–2035)

  10. 10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

    The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

  11. 11. COUNTRY PROFILES

    The Largest Markets And Their Profiles

    This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
    1. 11.1
      United States
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    2. 11.2
      China
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    3. 11.3
      Japan
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    4. 11.4
      Germany
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    5. 11.5
      United Kingdom
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    6. 11.6
      France
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    7. 11.7
      Brazil
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    8. 11.8
      Italy
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    9. 11.9
      Russian Federation
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    10. 11.10
      India
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    11. 11.11
      Canada
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    12. 11.12
      Australia
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    13. 11.13
      Republic of Korea
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    14. 11.14
      Spain
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    15. 11.15
      Mexico
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    16. 11.16
      Indonesia
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    17. 11.17
      Netherlands
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    18. 11.18
      Turkey
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    19. 11.19
      Saudi Arabia
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    20. 11.20
      Switzerland
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    21. 11.21
      Sweden
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    22. 11.22
      Nigeria
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    23. 11.23
      Poland
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    24. 11.24
      Belgium
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    25. 11.25
      Argentina
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    26. 11.26
      Norway
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    27. 11.27
      Austria
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    28. 11.28
      Thailand
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    29. 11.29
      United Arab Emirates
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    30. 11.30
      Colombia
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    31. 11.31
      Denmark
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    32. 11.32
      South Africa
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    33. 11.33
      Malaysia
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    34. 11.34
      Israel
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    35. 11.35
      Singapore
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    36. 11.36
      Egypt
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    37. 11.37
      Philippines
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    38. 11.38
      Finland
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    39. 11.39
      Chile
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    40. 11.40
      Ireland
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    41. 11.41
      Pakistan
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    42. 11.42
      Greece
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    43. 11.43
      Portugal
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    44. 11.44
      Kazakhstan
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    45. 11.45
      Algeria
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    46. 11.46
      Czech Republic
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    47. 11.47
      Qatar
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    48. 11.48
      Peru
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    49. 11.49
      Romania
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports
    50. 11.50
      Vietnam
      • Market Size
      • Production
      • Imports
      • Exports

  12. LIST OF TABLES

    1. Key Findings In 2025
    2. Market Volume, In Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    3. Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    4. Per Capita Consumption, by Country, 2022–2025
    5. Consumption, in Physical and Value Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    6. Production, in Physical and Value Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    7. Production, In Physical Terms, By Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    8. Imports, in Physical and Value Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    9. Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    10. Imports, in Value Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    11. Import Prices, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    12. Import Prices, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    13. Exports, in Physical and Value Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    14. Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    15. Exports, in Value Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    16. Export Prices, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    17. Export Prices, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)

  13. LIST OF FIGURES

    1. Market Volume, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    2. Market Value: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    3. Consumption, by Country, 2025
    4. Consumption, By Type, 2025
    5. Consumption, in Physical Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    6. Consumption, in Value Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    7. Consumption, Per Capita, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    8. Market Volume Forecast to 2035
    9. Market Value Forecast to 2035
    10. Market Size and Growth, by Product
    11. Average Per Capita Consumption, by Product
    12. Exports and Growth, by Product
    13. Export Prices and Growth, by Product
    14. Production Volume and Growth
    15. Exports and Growth
    16. Export Prices and Growth
    17. Market Size and Growth
    18. Per Capita Consumption
    19. Imports and Growth
    20. Import Prices
    21. Production, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    22. Production, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    23. Production, By Type, 2025
    24. Production, in Physical Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    25. Production, in Value Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    26. Production, in Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    27. Imports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    28. Imports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    29. Imports, By Type, 2025
    30. Imports, in Physical Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    31. Imports, in Value Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    32. Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2025
    33. Imports, in Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    34. Imports, in Value Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    35. Import Prices, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    36. Import Prices, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    37. Exports, in Physical Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    38. Exports, in Value Terms: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    39. Exports, By Type, 2025
    40. Exports, in Physical Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    41. Exports, in Value Terms, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    42. Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country, 2025
    43. Exports, in Physical Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    44. Exports, in Value Terms, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    45. Export Prices, by Country: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)
    46. Export Prices, by Type: Historical Data (2012–2025) and Forecast (2026–2035)

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