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U.S. - Garlic - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
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Article Publishing Date: Feb 7, 2020

How the Coronavirus Outbreak in China May Affect the U.S. Garlic Market

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The ongoing outbreak of coronavirus in China may affect garlic shipments into the U.S. and result in a shortage of garlic supplies, which firstly is to push the prices up. But then the question will arise: who will be able to compensate for this shortage and who will benefit from price increases?

Currently, near 30% of the U.S. garlic market is supplied by imports, which amounted to approx. 90K tonnes. From this amount, China constituted the largest supplier, accounting for 63% of total imports. In terms of domestic consumption, Chinese garlic holds a tangible share of 28% in the U.S market.

According to the report  ‘U.S. - Garlic - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights’ by IndexBox, the revenue of the U.S. garlic market rose 6% in 2018 to $1.1B. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which are to be included in the final consumer price). Driven by increasing demand for garlic in the U.S., the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to expand with an anticipated CAGR of +0.6% for the period from 2018 to 2030 (IndexBox estimates), which is projected to bring the market volume to 348K tonnes by the end of 2030.

Production in the U.S.

Garlic production in the U.S. stood at 237K tonnes in 2018, surging by 2.2% against the previous year. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2007 to 2018; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Garlic production peaked in 2018 and is likely to continue its growth in the near future. Garlic output in the U.S. indicated a measured increase, which was largely conditioned by measured growth of the harvested area and a relatively flat trend pattern in yield figures.

Local garlic producers constitute the first-tier challengers to buoy the supply if imports from China plummet. Domestic production currently supplies over 70% of the U.S. market, and the output is growing gradually. Moreover, U.S. manufacturers have already benefited from the rise of the import tariffs implemented by President Trump's administration because this at some extent relaxed the price pressure on the market. This, however, was not enough to provide the industry with strong growth impetus because any rapid expansion of the output is still hampered by tight pressure from cheaper and available imports from China. 

Harvested Area in the U.S.

Garlic harvested area in the U.S. totaled 14K ha in 2018, surging by 2.9% against the previous year. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% over the period from 2007 to 2018; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded over the period under review. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to garlic production attained its maximum in 2018 and is likely to see steady growth in the immediate term.

Yield in the U.S.

Average yield of garlic in the U.S. stood at 17 tonne per ha in 2018, standing approx. at the previous year. Over the period under review, the garlic yield continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. 

Imports into the U.S.

In 2018, approx. 90K tonnes of garlic were imported into the U.S.; jumping by 4.9% against the previous year. Overall, garlic imports continue to indicate remarkable growth.  Over the period under review, garlic imports attained their peak figure in 2018 and are expected to retain its growth in the near future. In value terms, garlic imports stood at $203M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018. 

Imports by Country

In 2018, China (57K tonnes) constituted the largest supplier of garlic to the U.S., accounting for a 63% share of total imports. Moreover, garlic imports from China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Spain (13K tonnes), fivefold. Mexico (12K tonnes) ranked third in terms of total imports with a 13% share.

From 2007 to 2018, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from China amounted to -1.9%. 

By contrast, imports from Spain posted solid gains over the last decade, and this country may also challenge to supply the market gap if Chinese supplies will drop. Mexico (+3.6% per year) also experienced a tangible increase in terms of imports. Moreover, Peru, Egypt, and Uzbekistan emerge as the most promising supplying countries (IndexBox estimates), as they boast both strong growth in terms of exports and affordable prices. 

In value terms, China ($118M) constituted the largest supplier of garlic to the U.S., comprising 58% of total garlic imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Spain ($41M), with a 20% share of total imports. It was followed by Mexico, with a 12% share.

Import Prices by Country

The average garlic import price stood at $2,253 per tonne in 2018, remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year. Over the period under review, the garlic import price, however, continues to indicate a strong increase. Over the period under review, the average import prices for garlic reached their maximum at $2,537 per tonne in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2018, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of origin; the country with the highest price was Spain ($3,238 per tonne), while the price for Mexico ($1,942 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Spain, while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

Product coverage:
• FCL 406 - Garlic

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the garlic market in the U.S.. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.


Country coverage:
• USA

Data coverage:
• Market volume and value
• Per Capita consumption
• Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
• Trade (exports and imports) in the U.S.
• Export and import prices
• Market trends, drivers and restraints
• Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:
• Take advantage of the latest data
• Find deeper insights into current market developments
• Discover vital success factors affecting the market
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:
1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
2. How to load your idle production capacity
3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
4. How to increase your profit margins
5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
7. How to outsource production to other countries
8. How to prepare your business for global expansion
While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
1. INTRODUCTION

Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

1.1
REPORT DESCRIPTION
1.2
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
1.3
DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
1.4
GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A Quick Overview of Market Performance

2.1
KEY FINDINGS
2.2
MARKET TRENDS
3. MARKET OVERVIEW

Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

3.1
MARKET SIZE
3.2
MARKET STRUCTURE
3.3
TRADE BALANCE
3.4
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
3.5
MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS

Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

4.1
TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
4.2
BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
4.3
MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
4.4
MOST TRADED PRODUCT
4.5
MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

5.1
TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
5.2
TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
5.3
COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
5.4
TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
5.5
LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

6.1
TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
6.2
TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
6.3
UNSATURATED MARKETS
6.4
TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
6.5
MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
7. PRODUCTION

The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

7.1
PRODUCTION, HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD
8. IMPORTS

The Largest Import Supplying Countries

8.1
IMPORTS FROM 2007–2019
8.2
IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
8.3
IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
9. EXPORTS

The Largest Destinations for Exports

9.1
EXPORTS FROM 2007–2019
9.2
EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
9.3
EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

LIST OF TABLES
Table 1:
Key Findings In 2019
Table 2:
Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Table 3:
Market Value, 2007–2019
Table 4:
Per Capita Consumption In 2007-2019
Table 5:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Table 6:
Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Table 7:
Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2007–2019
Table 8:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Table 9:
Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Table 10:
Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2007–2019
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1:
Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 2:
Market Value, 2007–2019
Figure 3:
Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007-2019
Figure 4:
Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Value Terms, 2007-2019
Figure 5:
Trade Balance, In Physical Terms, 2007-2019
Figure 6:
Trade Balance, In Value Terms, 2007-2019
Figure 7:
Per Capita Consumption, 2007-2019
Figure 8:
Market Forecast To 2025
Figure 9:
Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
Figure 10:
Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
Figure 11:
Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
Figure 12:
Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
Figure 13:
Production Volume And Growth
Figure 14:
Yield And Growth
Figure 15:
Exports And Growth
Figure 16:
Export Prices And Growth
Figure 17:
Market Size And Growth
Figure 18:
Per Capita Consumption
Figure 19:
Imports And Growth
Figure 20:
Import Prices
Figure 21:
Production, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 22:
Production, In Value Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 23:
Area Harvested, 2007–2019
Figure 24:
Yield, 2007–2019
Figure 25:
Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 26:
Imports, In Value Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 27:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2019
Figure 28:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Figure 29:
Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Figure 30:
Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2007–2019
Figure 31:
Exports, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 32:
Exports, In Value Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 33:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2019
Figure 34:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Figure 35:
Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Figure 36:
Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2007–2019

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