Global Adipic Acid Market to Witness Steady Growth with CAGR of +2.5% from 2023 to 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Adipic Acid, Its Salts And Esters - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The global market for adipic acid, its salts, and esters is experiencing a rise in demand, driving an upward consumption trend expected to continue over the next seven years. Projections indicate a CAGR of +2.5% in volume and +4.3% in value from 2023 to 2030, resulting in a market volume of 6.8M tons and a value of $15.6B by the end of 2030.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for adipic acid, its salts and esters worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to accelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.5% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 6.8M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.3% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $15.6B (in in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Adipic Acid, Its Salts And Esters

In 2023, global consumption of adipic acid, its salts and esters was estimated at 5.7M tons, remaining stable against 2022 figures. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 when the consumption volume increased by 8.8%. Global consumption peaked at 6M tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2023, consumption failed to regain momentum.

The global adipic acid market value reached $11.6B in 2023, picking up by 2% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the market value increased by 8.5% against the previous year. Global consumption peaked in 2023 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

Consumption By Country

China (1.4M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of adipic acid consumption, accounting for 25% of total volume. Moreover, adipic acid consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States (684K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by India (612K tons), with an 11% share.

In China, adipic acid consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +2.6% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+0.6% per year) and India (+2.5% per year).

In value terms, China ($2.1B), India ($1.7B) and the United States ($1.2B) were the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2023, together comprising 42% of the global market. The UK, Germany, Japan, Ethiopia, France, Brazil, Spain, Italy, Turkey and South Korea lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 34%.

In terms of the main consuming countries, Germany, with a CAGR of +8.9%, saw the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of adipic acid per capita consumption in 2023 were Germany (3.3 kg per person), France (3.3 kg per person) and the UK (2.5 kg per person).

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Germany (with a CAGR of +7.1%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Adipic Acid, Its Salts And Esters

In 2023, the amount of adipic acid, its salts and esters produced worldwide reduced slightly to 5.6M tons, remaining relatively unchanged against 2022 figures. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the production volume increased by 7.3%. Global production peaked at 5.9M tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2023, production remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, adipic acid production totaled $11.3B in 2023 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 17%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $11.6B. From 2022 to 2023, global production growth remained at a lower figure.

Production By Country

China (1.9M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of adipic acid production, accounting for 33% of total volume. Moreover, adipic acid production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (781K tons), twofold. India (547K tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 9.7% share.

In China, adipic acid production increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the period from 2013-2023. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: the United States (-1.4% per year) and India (+1.8% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Adipic Acid, Its Salts And Esters

In 2023, global adipic acid imports dropped to 893K tons, waning by -6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 18% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of 1M tons. From 2022 to 2023, the growth of global imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, adipic acid imports plummeted to $1.5B in 2023. In general, imports saw a mild reduction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 74% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at $2B in 2022, and then declined sharply in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2023, Italy (127K tons), followed by Turkey (84K tons), the Netherlands (69K tons), Canada (66K tons), India (66K tons), Taiwan (Chinese) (66K tons), Singapore (55K tons), Germany (48K tons) and Spain (41K tons) represented the largest importers of adipic acid, its salts and esters, together constituting 70% of total imports. South Korea (34K tons), Japan (30K tons), France (23K tons) and the United States (18K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by India (with a CAGR of +12.8%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest adipic acid importing markets worldwide were Italy ($215M), Canada ($137M) and Turkey ($122M), together accounting for 31% of global imports. The Netherlands, Taiwan (Chinese), Germany, India, Spain, South Korea, Singapore, Japan, France and the United States lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 48%.

Among the main importing countries, India, with a CAGR of +9.5%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average adipic acid import price stood at $1,703 per ton in 2023, falling by -19.9% against the previous year. In general, the import price continues to indicate a mild decrease. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 47% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs at $2,126 per ton in 2022, and then contracted markedly in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2023, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($2,330 per ton), while Singapore ($927 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada (-0.1%), while the other global leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Exports

World Exports of Adipic Acid, Its Salts And Esters

In 2023, approx. 843K tons of adipic acid, its salts and esters were exported worldwide; waning by -14.5% on the year before. Over the period under review, total exports indicated a mild increase from 2013 to 2023: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, exports decreased by -22.4% against 2021 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 45% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of 1.1M tons. From 2022 to 2023, the growth of the global exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, adipic acid exports declined dramatically to $1.4B in 2023. In general, exports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 109% against the previous year. The global exports peaked at $2B in 2022, and then declined dramatically in the following year.

Exports By Country

In 2023, China (448K tons) was the key exporter of adipic acid, its salts and esters, committing 53% of total exports. The United States (114K tons) ranks second in terms of the total exports with a 14% share, followed by South Korea (9%) and France (8.8%). The Netherlands (31K tons), Germany (25K tons) and Italy (20K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

China was also the fastest-growing in terms of the adipic acid, its salts and esters exports, with a CAGR of +14.9% from 2013 to 2023. At the same time, the Netherlands (+8.8%) and Italy (+3.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. South Korea experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, the United States (-8.2%), Germany (-18.7%) and France (-29.5%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2013 to 2023, the share of China, France and the Netherlands increased by +37, +8.8 and +1.8 percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, China ($564M) remains the largest adipic acid supplier worldwide, comprising 42% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by the United States ($245M), with an 18% share of global exports. It was followed by France, with a 10% share.

In China, adipic acid exports expanded at an average annual rate of +11.5% over the period from 2013-2023. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (-7.0% per year) and France (-25.4% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average adipic acid export price stood at $1,607 per ton in 2023, falling by -20.9% against the previous year. In general, the export price showed a mild curtailment. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the average export price increased by 44%. The global export price peaked at $2,031 per ton in 2022, and then contracted notably in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Italy ($2,313 per ton), while China ($1,260 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France (+5.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform