Central Asia: Durum Wheat Market 2024

Durum Wheat Market Size in Central Asia

The Central Asian durum wheat market expanded modestly to $X in 2022, increasing by X% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2014 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Durum Wheat Production in Central Asia

In value terms, durum wheat production expanded to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total production indicated a mild increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by X% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when the production volume increased by X%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2014 to 2022, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Kazakhstan (X tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of durum wheat production, comprising approx. X% of total volume. Moreover, durum wheat production in Kazakhstan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Uzbekistan (X tons), twofold. Turkmenistan (X tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume in Kazakhstan totaled X%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Uzbekistan (X% per year) and Turkmenistan (X% per year).

The average durum wheat yield rose slightly to X tons per ha in 2022, picking up by X% compared with 2021. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of X%. The level of yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2016; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The durum wheat harvested area stood at X ha in 2022, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year's figure. In general, the harvested area, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when the harvested area increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to durum wheat production reached the peak figure at X ha in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Durum Wheat Exports

Exports in Central Asia

In 2022, overseas shipments of durum wheat decreased by X% to X tons, falling for the fifth consecutive year after two years of growth. In general, exports showed a pronounced setback. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of X%. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, durum wheat exports totaled $X in 2022. Overall, exports, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by X% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

In 2022, Kazakhstan (X tons) represented the main exporter of durum wheat in Central Asia, making up X% of total export.

Kazakhstan was also the fastest-growing in terms of the durum wheat exports, with a CAGR of X% from 2012 to 2022. The shares of the largest exporters remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) also remains the largest durum wheat supplier in Central Asia.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Kazakhstan was relatively modest.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of X% against the previous year. Export price indicated temperate growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, durum wheat export price increased by X% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices reached the maximum in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

As there is only one major export destination, the average price level is determined by prices for Kazakhstan.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Kazakhstan amounted to X% per year.

Durum Wheat Imports

Imports in Central Asia

In 2022, purchases abroad of durum wheat decreased by X% to X tons for the first time since 2018, thus ending a three-year rising trend. Over the period under review, imports, however, showed a remarkable increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when imports increased by X%. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2021, and then shrank notably in the following year.

In value terms, durum wheat imports contracted sharply to $X in 2022. In general, imports, however, continue to indicate a buoyant increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The level of import peaked at $X in 2021, and then shrank sharply in the following year.

Imports by Country

Kazakhstan represented the key importer of durum wheat in Central Asia, with the volume of imports reaching X tons, which was near X% of total imports in 2022. Mongolia (X tons) held the second position in the ranking, followed by Kyrgyzstan (X tons). All these countries together took approx. X% share of total imports. Uzbekistan (X tons) took a relatively small share of total imports.

Kazakhstan was also the fastest-growing in terms of the durum wheat imports, with a CAGR of X% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Mongolia (X%) and Kyrgyzstan (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. By contrast, Uzbekistan (X%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Kazakhstan and Mongolia increased by X and X percentage points, respectively.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported durum wheat in Central Asia, comprising X% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Mongolia ($X), with an X% share of total imports. It was followed by Kyrgyzstan, with an X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Kazakhstan totaled X%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Mongolia (X% per year) and Kyrgyzstan (X% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Central Asia stood at $X per ton in 2022, dropping by X% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of X%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the import price increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Uzbekistan ($X per ton), while Kazakhstan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uzbekistan (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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