Register Book Market

The global register book market is projected to experience a downward trend in consumption and production volumes over the next eight years. From 2022 to 2030, the market is forecasted to decrease slightly in performance with an anticipated CAGR of -0.3% in volume and +2.1% in value. Consumption of registers, account books, order books, and receipt books decreased in 2022, falling for the third consecutive year after three years of growth. The United States, China, and India were the highest consuming countries in 2022, while China dominated in production and exports. Global import and export volumes and prices also experienced fluctuations over the period under review.

Market Forecast

The register book market is expected to start a downward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. The performance of the market is forecast to decrease slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of -0.3% for the eight-year period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to depress the market volume to 1.2M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to contract with an anticipated CAGR of +2.1% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $6B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Registers, Account Books, Order Books And Receipt Books

In 2022, consumption of registers, account books, order books and receipt books decreased by -4.6% to 1.2M tons, falling for the third consecutive year after three years of growth. Over the period under review, consumption, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the consumption volume increased by 9% against the previous year. Global consumption peaked at 1.4M tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The global register book market size reached $5.1B in 2022, approximately equating the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the market value increased by 9.3%. Over the period under review, the global market attained the maximum level at $5.7B in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were the United States (226K tons), China (191K tons) and India (95K tons), together comprising 42% of global consumption. Japan, Russia, Indonesia, the UK, Mexico, France, South Korea, Canada and Saudi Arabia lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 26%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by South Korea (with a CAGR of +6.3%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest register book markets worldwide were Japan ($985M), the United States ($884M) and China ($601M), together comprising 48% of the global market. Russia, India, the UK, Mexico, France, Canada, Indonesia, South Korea and Saudi Arabia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 22%.

Among the main consuming countries, South Korea, with a CAGR of +6.5%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of register book per capita consumption in 2022 were the United States (673 kg per 1000 persons), Japan (546 kg per 1000 persons) and Saudi Arabia (532 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by South Korea (with a CAGR of +6.0%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Registers, Account Books, Order Books And Receipt Books

In 2022, after two years of decline, there was growth in production of registers, account books, order books and receipt books, when its volume increased by 0.3% to 1.3M tons. Overall, production recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the production volume increased by 18% against the previous year. Global production peaked at 1.5M tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, register book production expanded to $4.9B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 when the production volume increased by 11%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $5.5B. From 2020 to 2022, global production growth failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

The country with the largest volume of register book production was China (617K tons), comprising approx. 47% of total volume. Moreover, register book production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (165K tons), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Indonesia (56K tons), with a 4.3% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China was relatively modest. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: India (+3.7% per year) and Indonesia (-0.5% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Registers, Account Books, Order Books And Receipt Books

In 2022, purchases abroad of registers, account books, order books and receipt books increased by 9.8% to 655K tons, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 10% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of 672K tons. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of global imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, register book imports rose remarkably to $2.7B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, global imports attained the maximum at $2.7B in 2018; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

Imports By Country

The United States was the major importing country with an import of around 206K tons, which finished at 31% of total imports. The UK (37K tons) ranks second in terms of the total imports with a 5.7% share, followed by Germany (5%) and the Netherlands (4.9%). The following importers - France (22K tons), Canada (19K tons), Australia (18K tons), Iraq (18K tons), Japan (14K tons), Spain (12K tons), Italy (12K tons) and Poland (11K tons) - together made up 19% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to register book imports into the United States stood at +6.0%. At the same time, Poland (+14.9%), Iraq (+9.7%), the Netherlands (+5.4%), Italy (+4.3%), France (+4.1%) and Spain (+2.8%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Poland emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +14.9% from 2012-2022. Germany and Canada experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Australia (-1.8%), the UK (-3.4%) and Japan (-4.2%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of the United States (+11 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2012-2022, the share of Japan (-1.8 p.p.) and the UK (-3.8 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($705M) constitutes the largest market for imported registers, account books, order books and receipt books worldwide, comprising 27% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by the UK ($196M), with a 7.4% share of global imports. It was followed by Germany, with a 6.5% share.

In the United States, register book imports remained relatively stable over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the UK (+0.7% per year) and Germany (+1.4% per year).

Import Prices By Country

The average register book import price stood at $4,058 per ton in 2022, with an increase of 3.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the average import price increased by 4.9%. Global import price peaked at $4,299 per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($5,819 per ton), while the United States ($3,426 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Iraq (+5.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Registers, Account Books, Order Books And Receipt Books

Global register book exports soared to 744K tons in 2022, rising by 19% compared with 2021. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 20% against the previous year. The global exports peaked at 748K tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, register book exports surged to $3.1B in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

China prevails in exports structure, reaching 428K tons, which was near 57% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by India (73K tons), creating a 9.8% share of total exports. Germany (28K tons), Vietnam (26K tons), the Netherlands (21K tons), Poland (16K tons), Indonesia (14K tons), Malaysia (13K tons), Turkey (13K tons) and the United States (12K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to register book exports from China stood at +2.2%. At the same time, Turkey (+12.7%), Poland (+9.9%), the Netherlands (+8.7%), India (+7.7%) and Vietnam (+5.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Turkey emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +12.7% from 2012-2022. Germany and Malaysia experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Indonesia (-3.0%) and the United States (-5.5%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2012 to 2022, the share of China and India increased by +5 and +4.5 percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, China ($1.6B) remains the largest register book supplier worldwide, comprising 52% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Germany ($178M), with a 5.8% share of global exports. It was followed by India, with a 4.5% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in China totaled +5.8%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Germany (+2.4% per year) and India (+10.3% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average register book export price stood at $4,168 per ton in 2022, leveling off at the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.6%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 an increase of 12% against the previous year. The global export price peaked in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($9,826 per ton), while India ($1,934 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Poland (+5.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform