Uncooked Pasta Market in the EU - Key Insights

IndexBox has just published a new report, the EU - Uncooked Pasta - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights. Here is a summary of the report's key findings.

The revenue of the uncooked pasta market in the European Union amounted to $4.9B in 2017, declining by -7.5% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +5.4% over the period from 2007 to 2017; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2008, with an increase of 77% y-o-y. Over the period under review, the uncooked pasta market reached its peak figure level at $5.5B in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2017, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Production in the EU

The uncooked pasta production amounted to 5.5M tonnes in 2017, dropping by -4.3% against the previous year. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% from 2007 to 2017; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded over the period under review.

Exports in the EU

In 2017, approx. 2.4M tonnes of uncooked pasta were exported in the European Union; rising by 4.5% against the previous year. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% from 2007 to 2017; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed over the period under review.

In value terms, uncooked pasta exports totaled $2.7B (IndexBox estimates) in 2017. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the period from 2007 to 2017; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, uncooked pasta exports attained their maximum at $3B in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2017, exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Italy dominates uncooked pasta exports structure, amounting to 1.8M tonnes, which was near 76% of total exports in 2017. It was distantly followed by Spain (108K tonnes), constituting 4.5% share of total exports. The following exporters - Belgium (106K tonnes), Greece (55K tonnes), Germany (54K tonnes) and France (37K tonnes) together made up 11% of total exports.

From 2007 to 2017, average annual rates of growth with regard to uncooked pasta exports from Italy stood at +1.2%. At the same time, Spain (+14.4%), Belgium (+6.6%), France (+5.4%), Germany (+5.2%) and Greece (+2.5%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Spain emerged as the fastest growing exporter in the European Union, with a CAGR of +14.4% from 2007-2017. While the share of Belgium (-2.1%), Spain (-3.4%) and Italy (-8.4%) decreased significantly, the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Italy ($2B) remains the largest uncooked pasta supplier in the European Union, comprising 74% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Belgium ($119M), with a 4.4% share of global exports. It was followed by Germany, with a 3.3% share.

Export Prices by Country

The uncooked pasta export price in the European Union stood at $1.1 per kg in 2017, waning by -1.7% against the previous year. The the uncooked pasta export price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2008, when it surged by 48% year-to-year. In that year, the export prices for uncooked pasta attained their peak level of $1.6 per kg. From 2009 to 2017, the growth in terms of the export prices for uncooked pasta failed to regain its momentum.

Export prices varied noticeably by the country of destination; the country with the highest export price was France ($1,695 per tonne), while Spain ($805 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2017, the most notable rate of growth in terms of export prices was attained by France, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports in the EU

In 2017, approx. 1.4M tonnes of uncooked pasta were imported in the European Union; going up by 3.5% against the previous year. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2007 to 2017; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed over the period under review. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2008, when the imports increased by 5.9% year-to-year. Over the period under review, uncooked pasta imports attained their maximum in 2017, and are likely to see steady growth in the near future.

In value terms, uncooked pasta imports stood at $1.7B (IndexBox estimates) in 2017. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% over the period from 2007 to 2017; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. In that year, uncooked pasta imports reached their peak of $2B. From 2009 to 2017, the growth of uncooked pasta imports failed to regain its momentum.

Imports by Country

Germany (364K tonnes) and France (334K tonnes) were the key importers of uncooked pasta in 2017, finishing at approx. 25% and 23% of total imports, respectively. The UK (137K tonnes) ranks next in terms of the global imports with a 9.5% share, followed by the Netherlands (6.5%) and Belgium (5.4%). Sweden (52K tonnes), Poland (52K tonnes), Austria (45K tonnes), Spain (39K tonnes), the Czech Republic (34K tonnes) and Denmark (24K tonnes) took the relatively small share of total imports.

From 2007 to 2017, the most notable rate of growth in terms of imports, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by the Netherlands, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($386M), France ($338M) and the UK ($167M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2017, with a combined 53% share of total imports. The Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden, Spain, Austria, Poland, the Czech Republic and Denmark lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 33%.

Import Prices by Country

The uncooked pasta import price in the European Union stood at $1.2 per kg in 2017, stabilizing at the previous year. The the uncooked pasta import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

There were significant differences in the average import prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2017, the country with the highest import price was Spain ($1,634 per tonne), while France ($1,011 per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2017, the most notable rate of growth in terms of import prices was attained by the Czech Republic, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform