Hershey's Stock Outperforms S&P 500 Despite Underlying Business Concerns

This report provides a comprehensive view of the chocolate industry in the United States, tracking demand, supply, and trade flows across the national value chain. It explains how demand across key channels and end-use segments shapes consumption patterns, while also mapping the role of input availability, production efficiency, and regulatory standards on supply.

Beyond headline metrics, the study benchmarks prices, margins, and trade routes so you can see where value is created and how it moves between domestic suppliers and international partners. The analysis is designed to support strategic planning, market entry, portfolio prioritization, and risk management in the chocolate landscape in the United States.

Quick navigation

• Key findings
• Report scope
• Product coverage
• Country coverage
• Methodology
• Forecasts to 2035
• Price analysis
• Market participants
• Country profiles
• How to use this report
• FAQ

Key findings

• Domestic demand is shaped by both household and industrial usage, with trade flows linking local supply to imports and exports.
• Pricing dynamics reflect unit values, freight costs, exchange rates, and regulatory shifts that affect sourcing decisions.
• Supply depends on input availability and production efficiency, creating a distinct national cost curve.
• Market concentration varies by segment, creating different competitive landscapes and entry barriers.
• The 2035 outlook highlights where capacity investment and demand growth are most aligned within the country.

Report scope

The report combines market sizing with trade intelligence and price analytics for the United States. It covers both historical performance and the forward outlook to 2035, allowing you to compare cycles, structural shifts, and policy impacts.

• Market size and growth in value and volume terms
• Consumption structure by end-use segments
• Production capacity, output, and cost dynamics
• Trade flows, exporters, importers, and balances
• Price benchmarks, unit values, and margin signals
• Competitive context and market entry conditions

Product coverage

• Prodcom 10821400 - Cocoa powder, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter
• Prodcom 10822130 - Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa, in blocks, slabs or bars > 2 kg or in liquid, paste, powder, g ranular or other bulk form, in containers or immediate packings of a content > 2 kg, containing . .18 % by weight of
• Prodcom 10822150 - Chocolate milk crumb containing .18 % or more by weight of cocoa butter and in packings weighing > 2 kg
• Prodcom 10822170 - Chocolate flavour coating containing .18 % or more by weight of cocoa butter and in packings weighing > 2 kg
• Prodcom 10822190 - Food preparations containing <18 % of cocoa butter and in packings weighing > 2 kg (excluding chocolate flavour coating, chocolate milk crumb)
• Prodcom 10822233 - Filled chocolate blocks, slabs or bars consisting of a centre (including of cream, liqueur or fruit paste, excluding chocolate biscuits)
• Prodcom 10822235 - Chocolate blocks, slabs or bars with added cereal, fruit or nuts (excluding filled, chocolate biscuits)
• Prodcom 10822239 - Chocolate blocks, slabs or bars (excluding filled, with added cereal, fruit or nuts, chocolate biscuits)
• Prodcom 10822243 - Chocolates (including pralines) containing alcohol (excluding in blocks, slabs or bars)
• Prodcom 10822245 - Chocolates (excluding those containing alcohol, in blocks, s labs or bars)
• Prodcom 10822253 - Filled chocolate confectionery (excluding in blocks, slabs or bars, chocolate biscuits, chocolates)
• Prodcom 10822255 - Chocolate confectionery (excluding filled, in blocks, slabs or bars, chocolate biscuits, chocolates)
• Prodcom 10822260 - Sugar confectionery and substitutes therefor made from sugar substitution products, containing cocoa (including chocolate nougat) (excluding white chocolate)
• Prodcom 10822270 - Chocolate spreads
• Prodcom 10822280 - Preparations containing cocoa for making beverages
• Prodcom 10822290 - Food products with cocoa (excluding cocoa paste, butter, p owder, blocks, slabs, bars, liquid, paste, powder, granular, o ther bulk form in packings > 2 kg, to make beverages, c hocolate spreads)

Country coverage

• United States

Country profile and benchmarks

This report provides a consistent view of market size, trade balance, prices, and per-capita indicators for the United States. The profile highlights demand structure and trade position, enabling benchmarking against regional and global peers.

Methodology

The analysis is built on a multi-source framework that combines official statistics, trade records, company disclosures, and expert validation. Data are standardized, reconciled, and cross-checked to ensure consistency across time series.

• International trade data (exports, imports, and mirror statistics)
• National production and consumption statistics
• Company-level information from financial filings and public releases
• Price series and unit value benchmarks
• Analyst review, outlier checks, and time-series validation

All data are normalized to a common product definition and mapped to a consistent set of codes. This ensures that comparisons across time are aligned and actionable.

Forecasts to 2035

The forecast horizon extends to 2035 and is based on a structured model that links chocolate demand and supply to macroeconomic indicators, trade patterns, and sector-specific drivers. The model captures both cyclical and structural factors and reflects known policy and technology shifts in the United States.

• Historical baseline: 2012-2025
• Forecast horizon: 2026-2035
• Scenario-based sensitivity to income growth, substitution, and regulation
• Capacity and investment outlook for major producing companies

Each projection is built from national historical patterns and the broader regional context, allowing the report to show where growth is concentrated and where risks are elevated.

Price analysis and trade dynamics

Prices are analyzed in detail, including export and import unit values, regional spreads, and changes in trade costs. The report highlights how seasonality, freight rates, exchange rates, and supply disruptions influence pricing and margins.

• Price benchmarks by country and sub-region
• Export and import unit value trends
• Seasonality and calendar effects in trade flows
• Price outlook to 2035 under baseline assumptions

Profiles of market participants

Key producers, exporters, and distributors are profiled with a focus on their operational scale, geographic footprint, product mix, and market positioning. This helps identify competitive pressure points, partnership opportunities, and routes to differentiation.

• Business focus and production capabilities
• Geographic reach and distribution networks
• Cost structure and pricing strategy indicators
• Compliance, certification, and sustainability context

How to use this report

• Quantify domestic demand and identify the most attractive segments
• Evaluate export opportunities and prioritize target destinations
• Track price dynamics and protect margins
• Benchmark performance against leading competitors
• Build evidence-based forecasts for investment decisions

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, wholesalers, investors, and advisors who need a clear, data-driven picture of chocolate dynamics in the United States.

FAQ

What is included in the chocolate market in the United States?

The market size aggregates consumption and trade data, presented in both value and volume terms.

How are the forecasts to 2035 built?

The projections combine historical trends with macroeconomic indicators, trade dynamics, and sector-specific drivers.

Does the report cover prices and margins?

Yes, it includes export and import unit values, regional spreads, and a pricing outlook to 2035.

Which benchmarks are included?

The report benchmarks market size, trade balance, prices, and per-capita indicators for the United States.

Can this report support market entry decisions?

Yes, it highlights demand hotspots, trade routes, pricing trends, and competitive context.