Orange Market - Citrus Greening Will Strike Orange Yield in 2016

Citrus Fruits July 01, 2016
World - Oranges - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights

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Abstract
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The global orange market is in crisis, with the average annual growth rates over the last X years at -X%. As a result, market volume decreased to X million tonnes in 2015. One of the main reasons is the "citrus greening" disease, widespread in the key centers of orange cultivation. To help agronomists, genetic scientists announced their readiness to provide modified forms of crop, but it will take a lot of time and resources to overcome this disease. Therefore, a reduction of the global orange market volume is expected once again in 2016, with continuous adjustments corresponding to the nature of the product consumption.

Brazil (X thousand tonnes in 2014), China (X thousand tonnes.), and the U.S. (X thousand tonnes) account for a significant amount of production on the global orange market, together supplying X% of total global volume. In turn, the largest plantations of orange trees are located in Florida (the U.S.) and Sao Paulo (Brazil). Unfortunately, citrus greening has already stricken these territories, which has affected production volume. From 2010 to 2014, average annual rates of orange production growth amounted to -X% both in Brazil and the U.S. China, in contrast, showed positive dynamics, with positive + X% growth over the same period.

Orange yield reduction affects consumption worldwide. In this case, a distinction should be made between fresh orange consumption and the processing of fruits into juice. Brazil is known to be the largest global supplier of concentrated orange juice, and the U.S. products are demanded mainly domestically. The industry impact of a decrease in orange harvest in these countries is analyzed below.

While approximately X% of all oranges produced in Brazil and the U.S. were processed in 2010, this value decreased by 2014, to X% in Brazil and to X% in the US. Yield reduction largely affected the volume of processing and volume of concentrated juice supply to the foreign markets.

Indeed, global exports of concentrated orange juice have slowed their pace. In 2014, the volume of concentrated juice exports amounted to approximately X thousand tonnes, which was X% less y/y. At the same time, Brazil remained the largest supplier of products, with a X% share (volume decline by X% y/y). The U.S. took a X% share (a X% decline in volume y/y). The fall in exports was caused by a combination of the reduction of orange yield in key concentrated juice producing countries with a weakening demand from importers. It should be noted that the decline in concentrated orange juice supply does not necessarily imply a reduction in the consumption volume of packaged juice containing oranges. Juice manufacturers can combine mixtures of other, more affordable fruits and berries, or manufacture products with a low content of orange concentrate.

China is still an imperceptible supplier of concentrated juice (with a X% share of global exports). The bulk of Chinese oranges is supplied to the domestic market in fresh form. However, the share of processing grew from X% in 2010 to X% in 2014. If this trend continues, China has a chance to increase its presence on the global and the domestic market of concentrated juices. At the same time, this country has the resources necessary to increase production volumes. Yields of oranges in China, standing at X Hg/Ha, are significantly inferior to the yields of the leading countries, with Brazil, the U.S., and the Mediterranean exceeding X Hg/Ha. Yield capacity will depend primarily on the weather conditions and the support of the industry at state level.

While global consumption of concentrated orange juice experienced a significant decline, the demand for fresh oranges decreased slightly. The following table shows the per capita rates among the top X countries in terms of consumption of fresh oranges. From 2010 to 2014, almost all countries observed negative average annual growth rates of per capita consumption value (around X%), except China. In 2014, the average per capita consumption rate of fresh oranges in China amounted to X kg/person per year, which was considerably less than in the leading countries. This means that there is an opportunity for growth of fresh produce consumption in China. Demand is increasing, fueled by the growth of urban population and the standard of living.

The top X countries in terms of consumption of fresh oranges include the countries which grow oranges themselves. The first place is taken by Brazil, with X kg of fresh oranges consumed per person per year. This is the lowest value recorded over the analyzed period; however, it still far exceeds the global average value, which is no greater than X kg/person.

Large countries without their own extensive plantations of orange trees, that have to import the product, are not on this list. Spain (X% in 2014), South Africa (X%), and Egypt (X%) are the suppliers of fresh oranges in this case. Netherlands (X%), Russia (X%), France (X%), Germany (X%), and other countries comprise the countries of destination. In 2014, X thousand tonnes of fresh oranges were exported overall, X% less y/y. However, a drop in the volume of supplies did not begin until 2014, before that, it was preceded by growth. Reduction of fresh orange trade volume in 2014 can be attributed to weaker demand caused by the crisis in the economies of countries of destination. In addition, Russia introduced a ban on imports of fruits from the EU countries in 2014, and a ban on supply of oranges from Turkey at the end of 2015, which also affected trade volumes. However, this decline in fresh orange trade in 2014 was caused by political and economic reasons, not the weather or tree diseases.

Orange industry in the U.S. and Brazil is in crisis, as yield perishes because of a spreading "citrus greening" disease, which affects the volume of processing, and has a direct impact on the global concentrated juice market. The share of products supplied for processing decreases as a result, same as the consumption of fresh products, both in Brazil and in the U.S. The reduction in consumption of fresh oranges also occurs among countries importing products from the Mediterranean region and South Africa. However, in this case, this is caused primarily by political and economic factors.

While the orange market around the world is experiencing difficulties, China displays positive dynamics. The country is increasing production of oranges and concentrate, and per capita consumption of fresh produce is growing. For now, China's orange industry supplies its products mainly to the domestic market, but it is possible that China may increase its presence in the global market, replacing American products.

Do you want to know more about the global orange market? Get the latest trends and insight from our report. It includes a wide range of statistics on

  • orange market share
  • orange prices
  • orange industry
  • orange sales
  • orange market forecast
  • orange price forecast
  • key orange producers

Source: World: Oranges - Market Report. Analysis And Forecast To X

Product coverage:
HS 080510 - Fruit, edible; oranges, fresh or dried;
FCL 490 - Oranges.

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global orange market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2025.

Country coverage: Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries (United States, China, Japan, Germany, United Kingdom, France, Brazil, Italy, Russian Federation, India, Canada, Australia, Republic of Korea, Spain, Mexico, Indonesia, Netherlands, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Switzerland, Sweden, Nigeria, Poland, Belgium, Argentina, Norway, Austria, Thailand, United Arab Emirates, Colombia, Denmark, South Africa, Malaysia, Israel, Singapore, Egypt, Philippines, Finland, Chile, Ireland, Pakistan, Greece, Portugal, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Czech Republic, Qatar, Peru, Romania, Vietnam) + the largest producing countries.

Data coverage:
• Market volume and value;
• Per Capita consumption;
• Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term;
• Production, split by region and country;
• Trade (exports and imports);
• Export and import prices;
• Market trends, drivers and restraints;
• Key market players and their profiles.

Reasons to buy this report:
• Take advantage of the latest data;
• Find deeper insights into current market developments;
• Discover vital success factors affecting the market.

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues

1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
2. How to load your idle production capacity
3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
4. How to increase your profit margins
5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
7. How to outsource production to other countries
8. How to prepare your business for global expansion

While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
1. INTRODUCTION
Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business
1.1 REPORT DESCRIPTION
1.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
1.3 DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
1.4 GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS

2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A Quick Overview of Market Performance
2.1 KEY FINDINGS
2.2 MARKET TRENDS

3. MARKET OVERVIEW
Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects
3.1 MARKET SIZE
3.2 CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
3.3 MARKET FORECAST TO 2025

4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS
Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business
NOTE: THIS CHAPTER IS AVAILABLE ONLY FOR PROFESSIONAL EDITION
4.1 TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
4.2 BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
4.3 MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
4.4 MOST TRADED PRODUCT
4.5 MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT

5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES
Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain
NOTE: THIS CHAPTER IS AVAILABLE ONLY FOR PROFESSIONAL EDITION
5.1 TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
5.2 TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
5.3 COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
5.4 TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
5.5 LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES

6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS
Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports
NOTE: THIS CHAPTER IS AVAILABLE ONLY FOR PROFESSIONAL EDITION
6.1 TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
6.2 TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
6.3 UNSATURATED MARKETS
6.4 TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
6.5 MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS

7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION
The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry
7.1 PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
7.2 PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
7.3 HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD BY COUNTRY

8. GLOBAL IMPORTS
The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed
8.1 IMPORTS FROM 2007–2017
8.2 IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
8.3 IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

9. GLOBAL EXPORTS
The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed
9.1 EXPORTS FROM 2007–2017
9.2 EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
9.3 EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY

10. PRICES AND PRICE DEVELOPMENT
The Best Market Prices and Their Trend Patterns
10.1 PRODUCER PRICES
10.2 PRODUCER PRICES INDEX

11. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS
The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles
NOTE: THIS CHAPTER IS AVAILABLE ONLY FOR PROFESSIONAL EDITION

12. COUNTRY PROFILES
The Largest Markets And Their Profiles
NOTE: THIS CHAPTER IS AVAILABLE ONLY FOR PROFESSIONAL EDITION
United States
China
Japan
Germany
United Kingdom
France
Brazil
Italy
Russian Federation
India
Canada
Australia
Republic of Korea
Spain
Mexico
Indonesia
Netherlands
Turkey
Saudi Arabia
Switzerland
Sweden
Nigeria
Poland
Belgium
Argentina
Norway
Austria
Thailand
United Arab Emirates
Colombia
Denmark
South Africa
Malaysia
Israel
Singapore
Egypt
Philippines
Finland
Chile
Ireland
Pakistan
Greece
Portugal
Kazakhstan
Algeria
Czech Republic
Qatar
Peru
Romania
Vietnam

LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Key Findings In 2017
Table 2: Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007–2017
Table 3: Market Value, 2007–2017
Table 4: Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2015-2017
Table 5: Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2017
Table 6: Harvested Area, By Country, 2007-2017
Table 7: Yield, By Country, 2007-2017
Table 8: Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2017
Table 9: Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2017
Table 10: Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2007–2017
Table 11: Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2017
Table 12: Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2017
Table 13: Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2007–2017
Table 14: Producer Prices, By Major Producing Country, 2017
Table 15: Producer Prices Index - Annual Data (2004-2006 = 100), By Major Producing Country

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007–2017
Figure 2: Market Value, 2007–2017
Figure 3: Consumption, By Country, 2017
Figure 4: Market Forecast To 2025
Figure 5: Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
Figure 6: Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
Figure 7: Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
Figure 8: Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
Figure 9: Production Volume And Growth
Figure 10: Yield And Growth
Figure 11: Exports And Growth
Figure 12: Export Prices And Growth
Figure 13: Market Size And Growth
Figure 14: Per Capita Consumption
Figure 15: Imports And Growth
Figure 16: Import Prices
Figure 17: Production, In Physical Terms, 2007–2017
Figure 18: Production, In Value Terms, 2007–2017
Figure 19: Area Harvested, 2007–2017
Figure 20: Yield, 2007–2017
Figure 21: Production, By Country, 2017
Figure 22: Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2017
Figure 23: Harvested Area, By Country, 2017
Figure 24: Harvested Area, By Country, 2007-2017
Figure 25: Yield, By Country, 2007-2017
Figure 26: Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007–2017
Figure 27: Imports, In Value Terms, 2007–2017
Figure 28: Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2017
Figure 29: Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2017
Figure 30: Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2017
Figure 31: Import Prices, By Country, 2007–2017
Figure 32: Exports, In Physical Terms, 2007–2017
Figure 33: Exports, In Value Terms, 2007–2017
Figure 34: Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2017
Figure 35: Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2017
Figure 36: Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2017
Figure 37: Export Prices, 2007–2017