SADC: Coal Market 2024

Coal Market Size in SADC

After two years of growth, the SADC coal market decreased by X% to $X in 2022. Overall, consumption recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.

Coal Production in SADC

In value terms, coal production shrank to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, showed a perceptible slump. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of X% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X. From 2018 to 2022, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Coal Exports

Exports in SADC

In 2022, shipments abroad of coal was finally on the rise to reach X tons for the first time since 2017, thus ending a four-year declining trend. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, coal exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Overall, exports saw a resilient expansion. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

South Africa was the main exporting country with an export of around X tons, which finished at X% of total exports. It was distantly followed by Mozambique (X tons), committing an X% share of total exports.

Exports from South Africa increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Mozambique (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Mozambique emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in SADC, with a CAGR of X% from 2012-2022. While the share of Mozambique (X p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2022, the share of South Africa (X p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, South Africa ($X) remains the largest coal supplier in SADC, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Mozambique ($X), with a X% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in South Africa stood at X%.

Export Prices by Country

The export price in SADC stood at $X per ton in 2022, picking up by X% against the previous year. In general, the export price saw pronounced growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the export price increased by X%. Over the period under review, the export prices hit record highs in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Mozambique ($X per ton), while South Africa stood at $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Africa (X%).

Coal Imports

Imports in SADC

Coal imports surged to X tons in 2022, rising by X% against 2021. Total imports indicated a buoyant expansion from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2020 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

In value terms, coal imports surged to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports showed a resilient expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The level of import peaked in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

South Africa represented the largest importer of coal in SADC, with the volume of imports accounting for X tons, which was approx. X% of total imports in 2022. Mauritius (X tons) ranks second in terms of the total imports with an X% share, followed by Democratic Republic of the Congo (X%) and Madagascar (X%). The following importers - Namibia (X tons), Zambia (X tons) and Swaziland (X tons) - together made up X% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to coal imports into South Africa stood at X%. At the same time, Democratic Republic of the Congo (X%), Zambia (X%), Madagascar (X%), Mauritius (X%), Swaziland (X%) and Namibia (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Democratic Republic of the Congo emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in SADC, with a CAGR of X% from 2012-2022. South Africa (X p.p.) and Democratic Republic of the Congo (X p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total imports, while Swaziland, Madagascar, Namibia and Mauritius saw its share reduced by X%, X%, X% and X% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, South Africa ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported coal in SADC, comprising X% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Mauritius ($X), with a X% share of total imports. It was followed by Madagascar, with a X% share.

In South Africa, coal imports expanded at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Mauritius (X% per year) and Madagascar (X% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The import price in SADC stood at $X per ton in 2022, surging by X% against the previous year. Import price indicated a slight increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, coal import price increased by X% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the import price increased by X% against the previous year. The level of import peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Madagascar ($X per ton), while Swaziland ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Madagascar (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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