Kenya: Uncooked Pasta Market 2024

Uncooked Pasta Market Size in Kenya

After three years of growth, the Kenyan uncooked pasta market decreased by -11.2% to $X in 2021. In general, consumption saw a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2020, and then reduced in the following year.

Uncooked Pasta Production in Kenya

In value terms, uncooked pasta production fell to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. In general, production showed a perceptible curtailment. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 50%. Uncooked pasta production peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, production remained at a lower figure.

Uncooked Pasta Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2021, after four years of growth, there was significant decline in shipments abroad of uncooked pasta (containing eggs), when their volume decreased by -37.3% to X tons. In general, exports, however, posted a significant expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 173%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2020, and then declined markedly in the following year.

In value terms, uncooked pasta exports contracted remarkably to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, exports, however, posted a buoyant expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when exports increased by 96% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2020 to 2021, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Rwanda (X tons) was the main destination for uncooked pasta exports from Kenya, with a 66% share of total exports. Moreover, uncooked pasta exports to Rwanda exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, the United Arab Emirates (X kg), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Tanzania (X kg), with an 11% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Rwanda totaled +70.6%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: the United Arab Emirates (+11.8% per year) and Tanzania (+57.7% per year).

In value terms, Tanzania ($X), Rwanda ($X) and the United Arab Emirates ($X) were the largest markets for uncooked pasta exported from Kenya worldwide, together comprising 98% of total exports.

Tanzania, with a CAGR of +42.0%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average uncooked pasta export price stood at $X per ton in 2021, with an increase of 7.7% against the previous year. Overall, the export price, however, saw a deep downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the average export price increased by 31% against the previous year. The export price peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Tanzania ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Uganda ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Somalia (+5.3%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced a decline.

Uncooked Pasta Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2021, supplies from abroad of uncooked pasta (containing eggs) decreased by -4.7% to X tons, falling for the fourth year in a row after three years of growth. In general, imports continue to indicate a abrupt decrease. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when imports increased by 62%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, uncooked pasta imports surged to $X in 2021. Overall, imports faced a abrupt descent. Imports peaked at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

In 2021, Saudi Arabia (X tons) constituted the largest uncooked pasta supplier to Kenya, accounting for a 87% share of total imports. Moreover, uncooked pasta imports from Saudi Arabia exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Egypt (X tons), more than tenfold. The third position in this ranking was held by the United Arab Emirates (X tons), with a 5.6% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of volume from Saudi Arabia stood at -14.6%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Egypt (-24.8% per year) and the United Arab Emirates (-27.3% per year).

In value terms, Saudi Arabia ($X) constituted the largest supplier of uncooked pasta (containing eggs) to Kenya, comprising 89% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Egypt ($X), with a 5.8% share of total imports. It was followed by the United Arab Emirates, with a 4% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Saudi Arabia totaled -14.8%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Egypt (-21.2% per year) and the United Arab Emirates (-27.2% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average uncooked pasta import price stood at $X per ton in 2021, rising by 72% against the previous year. In general, import price indicated a mild expansion from 2012 to 2021: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, uncooked pasta import price increased by +118.7% against 2019 indices. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably country of origin: the country with the highest price was Egypt ($X per ton), while the price for Oman ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Oman (+12.5%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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