Kenya: Unmanufactured Tobacco Market 2024

Unmanufactured Tobacco Market Size in Kenya

The Kenyan unmanufactured tobacco market skyrocketed to $X in 2022, increasing by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, consumption posted pronounced growth. Unmanufactured tobacco consumption peaked at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Production in Kenya

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco production rose modestly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the production volume increased by X%. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In 2022, the average yield of tobacco (unmanufactured) in Kenya dropped to X kg per ha, approximately equating 2021 figures. Overall, the yield showed a slight slump. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 with an increase of X%. As a result, the yield reached the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the average unmanufactured tobacco yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The unmanufactured tobacco harvested area in Kenya was estimated at X ha in 2022, stabilizing at the year before. Overall, the harvested area showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to unmanufactured tobacco production attained the maximum at X ha in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2022, unmanufactured tobacco exports from Kenya shrank remarkably to X tons, with a decrease of X% against 2021 figures. In general, exports showed a abrupt setback. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by X%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco exports fell significantly to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports faced a drastic downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 with an increase of X%. The exports peaked at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Belgium (X tons) was the main destination for unmanufactured tobacco exports from Kenya, accounting for a X% share of total exports. Moreover, unmanufactured tobacco exports to Belgium exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, the Netherlands (X tons), twofold. South Africa (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Belgium stood at X%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: the Netherlands (X% per year) and South Africa (X% per year).

In value terms, Belgium ($X) emerged as the key foreign market for tobacco (unmanufactured) exports from Kenya, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by South Africa ($X), with a X% share of total exports. It was followed by Romania, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Belgium totaled X%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: South Africa (X% per year) and Romania (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average unmanufactured tobacco export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of X%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the average export price increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Romania ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Sudan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Belgium (X%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2022, supplies from abroad of tobacco (unmanufactured) increased by X% to X tons, rising for the sixth year in a row after three years of decline. Overall, imports saw a strong expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by X%. Imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco imports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports enjoyed notable growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by X%. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Bangladesh (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of unmanufactured tobacco to Kenya, with a X% share of total imports. Moreover, unmanufactured tobacco imports from Bangladesh exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Brazil (X tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Zimbabwe (X tons), with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from Bangladesh stood at X%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Brazil (X% per year) and Zimbabwe (X% per year).

In value terms, India ($X), Zimbabwe ($X) and South Africa ($X) constituted the largest unmanufactured tobacco suppliers to Kenya, together comprising X% of total imports. Pakistan, Bangladesh, Brazil, Tanzania, Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

Pakistan, with a CAGR of X%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main suppliers over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average unmanufactured tobacco import price amounted to $X per ton, which is down by X% against the previous year. Overall, the import price continues to indicate a perceptible decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of X%. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was South Africa ($X per ton), while the price for Bangladesh ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Pakistan (X%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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