Silencer Market

The article provides a comprehensive analysis of the global market for silencers and exhaust pipes, including consumption, production, imports, and exports. Key findings include steady growth in market volume and value, with projections for continued expansion in the coming years. The top consuming countries, production statistics, import/export trends, and average prices are also discussed in detail. Overall, the article offers valuable insights into the current state and future prospects of the global silencer market.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for silencers and exhaust pipes worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.5% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 6.8M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.0% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $100.9B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Silencers And Exhaust Pipes

Global silencer consumption fell slightly to 5.6M tons in 2022, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year's figure. In general, the total consumption indicated a moderate increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +56.1% against 2014 indices. Global consumption peaked at 5.6M tons in 2021, and then shrank slightly in the following year.

The global silencer market revenue was estimated at $73.8B in 2022, rising by 2.3% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated tangible growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +74.0% against 2015 indices. Global consumption peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were China (1.2M tons), the United States (658K tons) and Germany (526K tons), with a combined 42% share of global consumption. India, Japan, Italy, Brazil, Pakistan, Nigeria, Mexico, South Korea, Spain and Democratic Republic of the Congo lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 36%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Italy (with a CAGR of +12.9%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($21.2B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by China ($9.2B). It was followed by Germany.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in the United States stood at +4.8%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: China (+5.8% per year) and Germany (+6.9% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of silencer per capita consumption in 2022 were Germany (6.3 kg per person), Italy (4 kg per person) and Japan (2.3 kg per person).

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Italy (with a CAGR of +12.9%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Silencers And Exhaust Pipes

In 2022, approx. 5.7M tons of silencers and exhaust pipes were produced worldwide; flattening at the previous year. In general, the total production indicated a measured increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production increased by +58.0% against 2014 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the production volume increased by 15% against the previous year. Global production peaked at 5.7M tons in 2021, and then contracted modestly in the following year.

In value terms, silencer production stood at $76.2B in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, the total production indicated a prominent expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production increased by +76.4% against 2014 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of 17% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production reached the maximum level in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Production By Country

China (1.3M tons) remains the largest silencer producing country worldwide, comprising approx. 23% of total volume. Moreover, silencer production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (610K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by Germany (511K tons), with a 9% share.

In China, silencer production expanded at an average annual rate of +5.7% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+1.8% per year) and Germany (+7.6% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Silencers And Exhaust Pipes

In 2022, supplies from abroad of silencers and exhaust pipes increased by 4.7% to 660K tons, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. Overall, imports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 8.1% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of 722K tons. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of global imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, silencer imports expanded modestly to $10.2B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 20%. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Imports By Country

The countries with the highest levels of silencer imports in 2022 were Germany (87K tons), the United States (77K tons) and the Czech Republic (55K tons), together recording 33% of total import. It was distantly followed by Poland (36K tons), France (35K tons) and Mexico (30K tons), together creating a 15% share of total imports. The UK (23K tons), Belgium (23K tons), the Netherlands (22K tons), Canada (22K tons), Portugal (20K tons), Slovakia (20K tons) and Hungary (15K tons) held a relatively small share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Poland (with a CAGR of +11.5%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($1.5B), the Czech Republic ($1.1B) and Germany ($1B) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, with a combined 34% share of global imports. Mexico, France, Poland, Canada, the Netherlands, Slovakia, the UK, Belgium, Portugal and Hungary lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 34%.

Among the main importing countries, Poland, with a CAGR of +13.2%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average silencer import price amounted to $15,495 per ton, approximately mirroring the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +3.1%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the average import price increased by 12%. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $15,497 per ton, leveling off in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($19,016 per ton), while Germany ($11,690 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Slovakia (+8.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Silencers And Exhaust Pipes

In 2022, overseas shipments of silencers and exhaust pipes increased by 5.6% to 738K tons, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. Overall, exports saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 12%. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs at 766K tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, silencer exports reached $11.5B in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 23% against the previous year. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

In 2022, China (132K tons), distantly followed by Germany (72K tons), Poland (68K tons), the Czech Republic (56K tons), Italy (45K tons) and Mexico (34K tons) were the key exporters of silencers and exhaust pipes, together creating 55% of total exports. The United States (29K tons), Portugal (23K tons), India (23K tons), Canada (19K tons), France (18K tons), Belgium (18K tons) and Spain (17K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by India (with a CAGR of +25.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the Czech Republic ($1.7B), Germany ($1.6B) and China ($1.2B) constituted the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2022, together accounting for 39% of global exports. Portugal, Poland, the United States, Mexico, France, Italy, Canada, Belgium, Spain and India lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 39%.

India, with a CAGR of +29.3%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2022, the average silencer export price amounted to $15,589 per ton, which is down by -3.2% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +3.3%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 an increase of 12%. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the peak figure at $16,109 per ton in 2021, and then shrank slightly in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Portugal ($37,508 per ton), while Italy ($7,309 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Czech Republic (+8.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform