Phosphinates And Phosphonates Market

Driven by increasing demand for phosphinates (hypophosphites) and phosphonates (phosphites) worldwide, the market is forecasted to experience growth in both consumption and value over the next eight years. Consumption volume is expected to reach 295K tons by 2030, while market value is projected to rise to $1.2B. Key players in the market include China, India, and the United States. Global production and exports have shown fluctuations, with China dominating the market as the largest producer and exporter of phosphinates and phosphonates. Import prices have surged, with notable growth trends in various countries such as Italy and Pakistan. Overall, the phosphinates and phosphonates market is poised for steady growth in the coming years.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for phosphinates (hypophosphites) and phosphonates (phosphites) worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to accelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +4.0% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 295K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +6.2% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $1.2B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Phosphinates (Hypophosphites) And Phosphonates (Phosphites)

In 2022, consumption of phosphinates (hypophosphites) and phosphonates (phosphites) was finally on the rise to reach 215K tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year declining trend. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.3% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. Global consumption peaked at 218K tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

The global phosphinates and phosphonates market value soared to $740M in 2022, growing by 16% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, the total consumption indicated a moderate increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +63.7% against 2016 indices. Global consumption peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Consumption By Country

The country with the largest volume of phosphinates and phosphonates consumption was China (43K tons), comprising approx. 20% of total volume. Moreover, phosphinates and phosphonates consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (20K tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by the United States (17K tons), with a 7.7% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China totaled +3.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+4.7% per year) and the United States (+7.6% per year).

In value terms, the largest phosphinates and phosphonates markets worldwide were China ($93M), India ($89M) and Germany ($81M), with a combined 36% share of the global market. The United States, Indonesia, Pakistan, Japan, Mexico, Italy, Turkey, the UK, the Netherlands and Thailand lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 35%.

Among the main consuming countries, Italy, with a CAGR of +13.4%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of phosphinates and phosphonates per capita consumption in 2022 were the Netherlands (252 kg per 1000 persons), Germany (182 kg per 1000 persons) and Italy (71 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by the Netherlands (with a CAGR of +8.8%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Phosphinates (Hypophosphites) And Phosphonates (Phosphites)

Global phosphinates and phosphonates production declined to 210K tons in 2022, approximately reflecting the year before. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 17%. Over the period under review, global production reached the maximum volume at 217K tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, phosphinates and phosphonates production contracted modestly to $616M in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, the total production indicated a measured expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -1.4% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of 19% against the previous year. Global production peaked at $625M in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

The country with the largest volume of phosphinates and phosphonates production was China (94K tons), comprising approx. 45% of total volume. Moreover, phosphinates and phosphonates production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (18K tons), fivefold. The third position in this ranking was held by Pakistan (12K tons), with a 5.8% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China stood at +3.7%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: India (+3.2% per year) and Pakistan (+1.9% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Phosphinates (Hypophosphites) And Phosphonates (Phosphites)

In 2022, overseas purchases of phosphinates (hypophosphites) and phosphonates (phosphites) increased by 1% to 84K tons, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 33% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports attained the peak figure in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

In value terms, phosphinates and phosphonates imports surged to $400M in 2022. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate prominent growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when imports increased by 87%. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Imports By Country

In 2022, Germany (16K tons), distantly followed by the United States (9.2K tons), Japan (6.6K tons), the Netherlands (5.6K tons), Italy (5.2K tons), Malaysia (4.5K tons) and Belgium (4.4K tons) represented the major importers of phosphinates (hypophosphites) and phosphonates (phosphites), together achieving 61% of total imports. France (3.7K tons), Switzerland (3.4K tons), South Korea (3.3K tons), India (2.7K tons), Israel (2.2K tons) and Turkey (1.4K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the Netherlands (with a CAGR of +20.3%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest phosphinates and phosphonates importing markets worldwide were Germany ($83M), the United States ($44M) and Japan ($35M), together comprising 41% of global imports. Italy, Malaysia, South Korea, France, India, the Netherlands, Belgium, Switzerland, Turkey and Israel lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 40%.

Among the main importing countries, India, with a CAGR of +25.7%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average phosphinates and phosphonates import price stood at $4,745 per ton in 2022, surging by 46% against the previous year. Overall, the import price showed prominent growth. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was South Korea ($5,961 per ton), while the Netherlands ($2,606 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Italy (+11.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Phosphinates (Hypophosphites) And Phosphonates (Phosphites)

Global phosphinates and phosphonates exports shrank to 79K tons in 2022, which is down by -13.1% compared with the year before. In general, total exports indicated a noticeable increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +26.5% against 2020 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 45%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of 90K tons, and then declined in the following year.

In value terms, phosphinates and phosphonates exports soared to $352M in 2022. Overall, exports, however, continue to indicate a buoyant expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 118% against the previous year. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in the near future.

Exports By Country

China dominates exports structure, resulting at 52K tons, which was near 66% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Switzerland (6.6K tons), making up an 8.4% share of total exports. Belgium (3.1K tons), the Netherlands (3.1K tons), Pakistan (1.9K tons), Italy (1.6K tons), the United States (1.5K tons) and Turkey (1.3K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Exports from China increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Pakistan (+63.7%), the Netherlands (+21.0%), Italy (+9.5%) and Belgium (+5.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Pakistan emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +63.7% from 2012-2022. Switzerland experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Turkey (-2.2%) and the United States (-6.8%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. China (+3.8 p.p.), the Netherlands (+3.1 p.p.) and Pakistan (+2.4 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global exports, while Switzerland and the United States saw its share reduced by -2% and -3.2% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, China ($256M) remains the largest phosphinates and phosphonates supplier worldwide, comprising 73% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Switzerland ($17M), with a 4.7% share of global exports. It was followed by Belgium, with a 2.8% share.

In China, phosphinates and phosphonates exports increased at an average annual rate of +11.7% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Switzerland (+3.1% per year) and Belgium (+11.1% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average phosphinates and phosphonates export price stood at $4,475 per ton in 2022, picking up by 35% against the previous year. In general, the export price showed prominent growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 50% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the peak figure in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was China ($4,945 per ton), while Pakistan ($315 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+7.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform