Fruit Market

The global fruit market is expected to see continued growth in consumption, production, imports, exports, and prices over the next eight years. Key insights include projections for market volume and value, top consuming countries, types of fruits with highest consumption and production levels, price trends, and growth rates across different segments. Detailed analysis covers key trends, fluctuations in market performance, and notable patterns observed in global fruit market dynamics.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for fruits worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.8% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1,058M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.6% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $1,333.2B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Fruits

For the sixth consecutive year, the global market recorded growth in consumption of fruits, which increased by 0.4% to 919M tons in 2022. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. Global consumption peaked in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

The global fruit market size contracted to $1,006.5B in 2022, remaining constant against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.2% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. Over the period under review, the global market attained the peak level at $1,016.3B in 2021, and then fell slightly in the following year.

Consumption By Country

China (259M tons) remains the largest fruit consuming country worldwide, comprising approx. 28% of total volume. Moreover, fruit consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (113M tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Brazil (40M tons), with a 4.3% share.

In China, fruit consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +2.0% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+3.8% per year) and Brazil (+0.1% per year).

In value terms, China ($323.8B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by India ($78.1B). It was followed by the United States.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in China amounted to +5.4%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of market growth: India (+4.5% per year) and the United States (-0.0% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of fruit per capita consumption in 2022 were Italy (292 kg per person), Turkey (243 kg per person) and Brazil (185 kg per person).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by India (with a CAGR of +2.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Consumption By Type

The products with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were bananas and plantains (182M tons), watermelons (100M tons) and apples (96M tons), together accounting for 41% of global consumption. Oranges, grapes, non-citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, mangoes, mangosteens and guavas, tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, pineapples, melons, pears and quinces, peaches and nectarines, lemons and limes, citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, papayas, plums and sloes, grapefruits, dates, avocados, persimmons, kiwi fruits, apricots and figs lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 59%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for avocados (with a CAGR of +7.0%), while consumption for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest types of fruits in terms of market size were grapes ($152.2B), bananas and plantains ($122B) and non-citrus fruits not elsewhere classified ($112.2B), together comprising 38% of the global market. Apples, mangoes, mangosteens and guavas, watermelons, tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, oranges, melons, peaches and nectarines, pears and quinces, citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, pineapples, lemons and limes, avocados, plums and sloes, papayas, dates, grapefruits, persimmons, kiwi fruits, apricots and figs lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 62%.

Avocados, with a CAGR of +9.0%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size in terms of the main consumed products over the period under review, while market for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Fruits

For the eleventh year in a row, the global market recorded growth in production of fruits, which increased by 0.5% to 918M tons in 2022. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when the production volume increased by 4.2% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by modest growth of the harvested area and a slight increase in yield figures.

In value terms, fruit production fell modestly to $1,047.1B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +4.3% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when the production volume increased by 13%. Global production peaked at $1,048.9B in 2021, and then shrank in the following year.

Production By Country

China (257M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of fruit production, accounting for 28% of total volume. Moreover, fruit production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (113M tons), twofold. Brazil (40M tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 4.4% share.

In China, fruit production increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+3.8% per year) and Brazil (+0.2% per year).

Production By Type

The products with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were bananas and plantains (181M tons), watermelons (100M tons) and apples (96M tons), with a combined 41% share of global production. Oranges, grapes, non-citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, mangoes, mangosteens and guavas, tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, pineapples, melons, pears and quinces, peaches and nectarines, lemons and limes, citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, papayas, plums and sloes, grapefruits, dates, avocados, persimmons, kiwi fruits, apricots and figs lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 59%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for avocados (with a CAGR of +7.0%), while production for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest types of fruits in terms of market size were grapes ($154.8B), bananas and plantains ($126.4B) and non-citrus fruits not elsewhere classified ($120B), with a combined 38% share of global production. Apples, mangoes, mangosteens and guavas, watermelons, oranges, tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, peaches and nectarines, melons, pears and quinces, citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, pineapples, lemons and limes, avocados, plums and sloes, papayas, dates, persimmons, grapefruits, kiwi fruits, apricots and figs lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 62%.

In terms of the main produced products, citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, with a CAGR of +11.1%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while production for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Yield

The global average fruit yield stood at 14 tons per ha in 2022, leveling off at the previous year's figure. Overall, the yield showed a slight increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 2.1%. The global yield peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Harvested Area

In 2022, the global fruit harvested area contracted modestly to 65M ha, flattening at 2021 figures. Over the period under review, the harvested area, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the harvested area increased by 3.7% against the previous year. The global harvested area peaked at 66M ha in 2021, and then dropped modestly in the following year.

Imports

World Imports of Fruits

In 2022, after ten years of growth, there was significant decline in supplies from abroad of fruits, when their volume decreased by -8.1% to 80M tons. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when imports increased by 7.9%. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs at 87M tons in 2021, and then reduced in the following year.

In value terms, fruit imports declined to $89.7B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when imports increased by 9.7% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at $95.2B in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2022, the United States (12M tons), distantly followed by China (5.4M tons), the Netherlands (5.3M tons), Russia (5.1M tons) and Germany (4.9M tons) represented the key importers of fruits, together comprising 42% of total imports. France (3.4M tons), the UK (3.1M tons), Canada (2.3M tons), Belgium (2M tons), Spain (1.9M tons), Italy (1.8M tons), Japan (1.6M tons) and Poland (1.5M tons) held a minor share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to fruit imports into the United States stood at +2.7%. At the same time, China (+6.8%), the Netherlands (+5.3%), Spain (+5.1%), Poland (+3.2%), France (+1.5%) and Italy (+1.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, China emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +6.8% from 2012-2022. Canada, Germany, the UK and Russia experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Japan (-1.0%) and Belgium (-1.5%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. China (+2.6 p.p.), the Netherlands (+2 p.p.) and the United States (+1.6 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global imports, while Russia saw its share reduced by -1.8% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($13.2B), China ($9.6B) and the Netherlands ($6.9B) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together comprising 33% of global imports.

China, with a CAGR of +13.5%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports By Type

In 2022, bananas and plantains (24M tons) was the major type of fruits, achieving 29% of total imports. Apples (7.5M tons) took the second position in the ranking, followed by oranges (6.2M tons), tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas (5M tons), grapes (5M tons), non-citrus fruits not elsewhere classified (3.9M tons), lemons and limes (3.8M tons) and watermelons (3.7M tons). All these products together took near 44% share of total imports. The following types - pineapples (3.5M tons), avocados (3.1M tons), pears and quinces (2.5M tons), mangoes, mangosteens and guavas (2.3M tons), melons (1.9M tons), peaches and nectarines (1.6M tons), dates (1.6M tons) and kiwi fruits (1.6M tons) - together made up 23% of total imports.

Imports of bananas and plantains increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, avocados (+10.8%), dates (+4.7%), mangoes, mangosteens and guavas (+4.6%), lemons and limes (+4.5%), grapes (+2.6%), non-citrus fruits not elsewhere classified (+2.5%), watermelons (+2.3%), pineapples (+1.7%) and kiwi fruits (+1.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, avocados emerged as the fastest-growing type imported in the world, with a CAGR of +10.8% from 2012-2022. Tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, melons, oranges and pears and quinces experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, apples (-1.2%) and peaches and nectarines (-1.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of avocados (+2.2 p.p.) and bananas and plantains (+1.5 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2012-2022, the share of oranges (-1.7 p.p.) and apples (-3 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other products remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the largest types of imported fruits were bananas and plantains ($15.3B), grapes ($10.4B) and non-citrus fruits not elsewhere classified ($8.4B), together comprising 38% of global imports. Avocados, apples, tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, oranges, lemons and limes, mangoes, mangosteens and guavas, kiwi fruits, pears and quinces, pineapples, peaches and nectarines, watermelons, dates, melons, plums and sloes, grapefruits, figs, persimmons, apricots, papayas and citrus fruits not elsewhere classified lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 62%.

Among the main imported products, avocados, with a CAGR of +14.0%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Type

In 2022, the average fruit import price amounted to $1,123 per ton, rising by 2.5% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.0%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the average import price increased by 4.8% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Prices varied noticeably by the product type; the product with the highest price was figs ($3,485 per ton), while the price for watermelons ($604 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by non-citrus fruits not elsewhere classified (+7.5%), while the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average fruit import price amounted to $1,123 per ton, surging by 2.5% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.0%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 4.8%. Global import price peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was China ($1,774 per ton), while Russia ($719 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+6.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Fruits

In 2022, overseas shipments of fruits decreased by -7.4% to 79M tons for the first time since 2015, thus ending a six-year rising trend. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 9.2%. The global exports peaked at 86M tons in 2021, and then dropped in the following year.

In value terms, fruit exports reduced to $83.2B in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when exports increased by 10% against the previous year. The global exports peaked at $90.2B in 2021, and then reduced in the following year.

Exports By Country

In 2022, Spain (6.3M tons), Ecuador (4.6M tons), Costa Rica (4.4M tons), South Africa (4.2M tons), the Netherlands (4M tons), Mexico (3.6M tons), Turkey (3.5M tons), Guatemala (3.4M tons), China (3.1M tons), the United States (2.9M tons), Colombia (2.6M tons) and Italy (2.5M tons) was the key exporter of fruits in the world, constituting 57% of total export. Chile (2.1M tons) held a minor share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by Turkey (with a CAGR of +6.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Spain ($7.5B), the Netherlands ($6.3B) and Mexico ($5.4B) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2022, together accounting for 23% of global exports.

In terms of the main exporting countries, Mexico, with a CAGR of +9.7%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports By Type

Bananas and plantains represented the largest type of fruits in the world, with the volume of exports finishing at 22M tons, which was near 28% of total exports in 2022. Apples (7.6M tons) took a 9.6% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by oranges (8.3%), tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas (6.8%), grapes (6.1%), watermelons (5%) and lemons and limes (5%). Non-citrus fruits not elsewhere classified (3.3M tons), pineapples (3.2M tons), avocados (3M tons), pears and quinces (2.7M tons), mangoes, mangosteens and guavas (2.5M tons), melons (2M tons), peaches and nectarines (1.6M tons), kiwi fruits (1.6M tons) and dates (1.6M tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Exports of bananas and plantains increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, avocados (+11.0%), dates (+5.2%), mangoes, mangosteens and guavas (+4.2%), lemons and limes (+4.1%), watermelons (+3.8%), non-citrus fruits not elsewhere classified (+2.5%), grapes (+2.2%), kiwi fruits (+1.2%) and tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas (+1.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, avocados emerged as the fastest-growing type exported in the world, with a CAGR of +11.0% from 2012-2022. Oranges, pears and quinces and pineapples experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, peaches and nectarines (-1.0%), apples (-1.0%) and melons (-1.2%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of avocados (+2.3 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global exports from 2012-2022, the share of apples (-2.5 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other products remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the largest types of exported fruits were bananas and plantains ($14B), grapes ($8.9B) and avocados ($7.9B), together accounting for 37% of global exports.

Avocados, with a CAGR of +14.7%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, in terms of the main exported products over the period under review, while shipments for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Type

In 2022, the average fruit export price amounted to $1,051 per ton, standing approx. at the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.3%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 an increase of 7.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs at $1,054 per ton in 2021, and then shrank slightly in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exported products. In 2022, the product with the highest price was figs ($3,353 per ton), while the average price for exports of watermelons ($538 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by non-citrus fruits not elsewhere classified (+9.4%), while the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2022, the average fruit export price amounted to $1,051 per ton, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.3%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 when the average export price increased by 7.1%. The global export price peaked at $1,054 per ton in 2021, and then declined in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the Netherlands ($1,563 per ton), while Guatemala ($399 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Mexico (+6.5%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform