Bumper Market

The global bumper market is forecasted to see a slight increase in both volume and value terms from 2022 to 2030, with consumption and production trends showing fluctuating patterns. Japan leads both consumption and production of bumpers, while the United States is the largest importer and exporter. Pricing trends vary by country, with the United States having the highest export prices. Overall, the market is expected to continue growing steadily in the coming years.

Market Forecast

Driven by rising demand for bumper worldwide, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +1.9% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 20M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.8% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $318.2B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Bumpers

In 2022, consumption of bumpers increased by 0.3% to 17M tons, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. Over the period under review, consumption, however, recorded a slight decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the consumption volume increased by 4.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global consumption hit record highs at 19M tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global bumper market size totaled $236.7B in 2022, almost unchanged from the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of 6.4%. Global consumption peaked at $237.8B in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

The country with the largest volume of bumper consumption was Japan (6.3M tons), accounting for 37% of total volume. Moreover, bumper consumption in Japan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (2.9M tons), twofold. China (2.3M tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 14% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume in Japan amounted to -3.5%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: India (-1.8% per year) and China (+9.1% per year).

In value terms, Japan ($124.8B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was taken by the United States ($21.9B). It was followed by India.

In Japan, the bumper market shrank by an average annual rate of -1.9% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+17.2% per year) and India (-0.7% per year).

In 2022, the highest levels of bumper per capita consumption was registered in Japan (50 kg per person), followed by Italy (11 kg per person), Mexico (5 kg per person) and Brazil (4.2 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of bumper was estimated at less than 0.1 kg per person.

In Japan, bumper per capita consumption contracted by an average annual rate of -3.3% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Italy (+56.1% per year) and Mexico (-3.4% per year).

Production

World Production of Bumpers

In 2022, production of bumpers increased by less than 0.1% to 17M tons, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. In general, production, however, recorded a slight decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the production volume increased by 4.5% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production reached the peak volume at 19M tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, bumper production amounted to $228.6B in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 7.5%. Over the period under review, global production attained the peak level at $234.8B in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Production By Country

Japan (6.3M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of bumper production, comprising approx. 37% of total volume. Moreover, bumper production in Japan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (2.9M tons), twofold. China (2.4M tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 14% share.

In Japan, bumper production declined by an average annual rate of -3.6% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: India (-1.9% per year) and China (+9.1% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Bumpers

In 2022, overseas purchases of bumpers increased by 14% to 722K tons, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, bumper imports expanded sharply to $8.8B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 20%. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Imports By Country

The countries with the highest levels of bumper imports in 2022 were the United States (87K tons), Germany (80K tons) and Slovakia (57K tons), together accounting for 31% of total import. The UK (32K tons), Nigeria (29K tons), France (27K tons), the Netherlands (23K tons), Malaysia (22K tons), Spain (21K tons), China (18K tons), the Czech Republic (18K tons), Hungary (17K tons) and the United Arab Emirates (17K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Hungary (with a CAGR of +26.3%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest bumper importing markets worldwide were the United States ($1.4B), Germany ($814M) and China ($482M), together comprising 31% of global imports. Slovakia, France, the UK, Malaysia, Spain, the Netherlands, the Czech Republic, the United Arab Emirates, Hungary and Nigeria lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 26%.

Malaysia, with a CAGR of +16.8%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average bumper import price stood at $12,177 per ton in 2022, reducing by -3.7% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.2%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 an increase of 7.6%. Global import price peaked at $12,651 per ton in 2021, and then shrank modestly in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was China ($27,041 per ton), while Nigeria ($851 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+6.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Bumpers

In 2022, overseas shipments of bumpers increased by 7.9% to 665K tons, rising for the second consecutive year after three years of decline. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 12% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports reached the maximum at 668K tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, bumper exports stood at $8.5B in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +3.2% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 21% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the peak figure in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

The biggest shipments were from China (87K tons), the Czech Republic (61K tons), Germany (59K tons), Spain (44K tons), Taiwan (Chinese) (34K tons), Poland (27K tons), the United States (27K tons), Thailand (26K tons), France (21K tons), India (21K tons), Italy (20K tons) and Sweden (19K tons), together finishing at 67% of total export. Japan (18K tons) held a minor share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the Czech Republic (with a CAGR of +15.5%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($1.6B) remains the largest bumper supplier worldwide, comprising 19% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by the United States ($783M), with a 9.2% share of global exports. It was followed by China, with a 7.6% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Germany totaled +4.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+2.4% per year) and China (+9.6% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average bumper export price stood at $12,778 per ton in 2022, approximately mirroring the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.0%. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 an increase of 10% against the previous year. The global export price peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($29,222 per ton), while India ($6,579 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+8.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform