Paper Sack and Bag Market in Asia-Pacific Undergoes Robust Expansion

IndexBox has just published a new report: 'Asia-Pacific - paper sacks and bags - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights'. Here is a summary of the report's key findings.

The revenue of the paper sack and bag market in Asia-Pacific amounted to $22.6B in 2018. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% over the period from 2007 to 2018; however, the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The level of paper sack and bag consumption peaked in 2018 and is likely to continue its growth in the immediate term.

Consumption by Country

The country with the largest volume of paper sack and bag consumption was China (4.5M tons), accounting for 50% of total volume. Moreover, paper sack and bag consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (1.7M tons), threefold. Indonesia (768K tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 8.5% share.

In China, paper sack and bag consumption increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the period from 2007-2018. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+5.1% per year) and Indonesia (+3.3% per year).

In value terms, China ($11.2B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by India ($4.2B). It was followed by Indonesia.

The countries with the highest levels of paper sack and bag per capita consumption in 2018 were South Korea (4,002 kg per 1000 persons), China (3,086 kg per 1000 persons) and Indonesia (2,873 kg per 1000 persons).

Market Forecast to 2030

Driven by increasing demand for paper sack and bag in Asia-Pacific, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.4% for the period from 2018 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 11M tons by the end of 2030.

Production in Asia-Pacific

In 2018, the amount of paper sacks and bags produced in Asia-Pacific stood at 9.3M tons, growing by 3.9% against the previous year. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% from 2007 to 2018; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed over the period under review. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 when production volume increased by 4.3% y-o-y.

Production by Country

China (4.9M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of paper sack and bag production, comprising approx. 52% of total volume. Moreover, paper sack and bag production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (1.7M tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was occupied by Indonesia (769K tons), with a 8.3% share.

From 2007 to 2018, the average annual growth rate of volume in China amounted to +2.7%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: India (+5.0% per year) and Indonesia (+3.0% per year).

Exports in Asia-Pacific

In 2018, the amount of paper sacks and bags exported in Asia-Pacific totaled 543K tons, picking up by 3% against the previous year. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% over the period from 2007 to 2018; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. In value terms, paper sack and bag exports amounted to $1.7B (IndexBox estimates) in 2018.

Exports by Country

China prevails in paper sack and bag exports structure, accounting for 390K tons, which was near 72% of total exports in 2018. Vietnam (28K tons) occupied the second position in the ranking, followed by Malaysia (26K tons). All these countries together occupied approx. 9.9% share of total exports. Indonesia (23K tons), China, Hong Kong SAR (13K tons), Taiwan, Chinese (11K tons), South Korea (9.1K tons) and Sri Lanka (9K tons) occupied a little share of total exports.

Exports from China increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% from 2007 to 2018. At the same time, Vietnam (+42.2%), Sri Lanka (+16.7%), Taiwan, Chinese (+13.8%), South Korea (+3.4%) and Malaysia (+1.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Vietnam emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Asia-Pacific, with a CAGR of +42.2% from 2007-2018. Indonesia experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, China, Hong Kong SAR (-11.2%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. China (+18 p.p.) and Vietnam (+5 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while China, Hong Kong SAR saw its share reduced by -6.3% from 2007 to 2018, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, China ($1.3B) remains the largest paper sack and bag supplier in Asia-Pacific, comprising 76% of total paper sack and bag exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Vietnam ($90M), with a 5.1% share of total exports. It was followed by China, Hong Kong SAR, with a 3.8% share.

Export Prices by Country

In 2018, the paper sack and bag export price in Asia-Pacific amounted to $3,223 per ton, rising by 2.3% against the previous year. Over the last eleven-year period, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.0%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2008 an increase of 14% year-to-year. The level of export price peaked at $3,468 per ton in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2018, export prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by the country of origin; the country with the highest price was China, Hong Kong SAR ($5,150 per ton), while Sri Lanka ($1,514 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Hong Kong, while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports in Asia-Pacific

In 2018, the amount of paper sacks and bags imported in Asia-Pacific stood at 260K tons, jumping by 5.4% against the previous year. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% from 2007 to 2018; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. In value terms, paper sack and bag imports amounted to $721M (IndexBox estimates) in 2018.

Imports by Country

In 2018, Japan (44K tons), Australia (36K tons), China, Hong Kong SAR (26K tons), India (23K tons), Indonesia (22K tons), Singapore (17K tons), Malaysia (16K tons), South Korea (12K tons), New Zealand (11K tons), the Philippines (11K tons), Thailand (10K tons) and Taiwan, Chinese (9K tons) was the largest importer of paper sacks and bags imported in Asia-Pacific, mixing up 92% of total import.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of imports, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Indonesia, while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest paper sack and bag importing markets in Asia-Pacific were Japan ($166M), Australia ($109M) and China, Hong Kong SAR ($75M), together accounting for 49% of total imports. These countries were followed by Singapore, Indonesia, South Korea, New Zealand, Malaysia, India, the Philippines, Taiwan, Chinese and Thailand, which together accounted for a further 43%.

Import Prices by Country

In 2018, the paper sack and bag import price in Asia-Pacific amounted to $2,778 per ton, surging by 4.6% against the previous year. Over the period from 2007 to 2018, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.5%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2011 an increase of 10% against the previous year. The level of import price peaked at $2,868 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2018, import prices failed to regain their momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2018, the country with the highest price was Japan ($3,754 per ton), while India ($1,382 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2018, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Hong Kong while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform