Western Africa: Cigarettes Containing Tobacco Market 2023

Cigarettes Containing Tobacco Market Size in Western Africa

The West African cigarettes containing tobacco market totaled $X in 2022, growing by 3.1% against the previous year. Overall, consumption, however, recorded a mild downturn. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Cigarettes Containing Tobacco Production in Western Africa

In value terms, cigarettes containing tobacco production stood at $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, showed a slight descent. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 24%. Over the period under review, production attained the maximum level at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Cigarettes Containing Tobacco Exports

Exports in Western Africa

In 2022, overseas shipments of cigarettes containing tobacco increased by 13% to X tons, rising for the third consecutive year after seven years of decline. Overall, exports, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 140%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, cigarettes containing tobacco exports expanded significantly to $X in 2022. In general, exports, however, continue to indicate a pronounced downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when exports increased by 89% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Nigeria dominates exports structure, amounting to X tons, which was approx. 88% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Senegal (X tons), creating a 7.6% share of total exports. The following exporters - Burkina Faso (X tons) and Cote d'Ivoire (X tons) - each reached a 3.7% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to cigarettes containing tobacco exports from Nigeria stood at +1.6%. At the same time, Burkina Faso (+9.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Burkina Faso emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Western Africa, with a CAGR of +9.3% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Senegal (-2.8%) and Cote d'Ivoire (-6.7%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Nigeria (+13 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2022, the share of Cote d'Ivoire (-1.8 p.p.) and Senegal (-2.5 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Nigeria ($X) remains the largest cigarettes containing tobacco supplier in Western Africa, comprising 68% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Senegal ($X), with a 24% share of total exports. It was followed by Burkina Faso, with a 3.9% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Nigeria stood at -6.1%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Senegal (-0.3% per year) and Burkina Faso (+6.7% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Western Africa stood at $X per ton in 2022, shrinking by -4.4% against the previous year. Overall, the export price continues to indicate a noticeable contraction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 an increase of 22%. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Senegal ($X per ton), while Nigeria ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Senegal (+2.6%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Cigarettes Containing Tobacco Imports

Imports in Western Africa

In 2022, imports of cigarettes containing tobacco in Western Africa rose notably to X tons, growing by 6.8% compared with the year before. Total imports indicated a pronounced expansion from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +83.9% against 2015 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when imports increased by 30% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, cigarettes containing tobacco imports contracted to $X in 2022. Overall, imports posted perceptible growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 550%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $X. From 2014 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

Guinea represented the largest importing country with an import of about X tons, which resulted at 31% of total imports. Nigeria (X tons) held a 15% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Niger (12%), Mali (8.8%), Mauritania (6.5%) and Ghana (6.4%). The following importers - Togo (X tons) and Cote d'Ivoire (X tons) - each finished at an 8.3% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Ghana (with a CAGR of +15.5%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Guinea ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported cigarettes containing tobacco in Western Africa, comprising 32% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Niger ($X), with a 16% share of total imports. It was followed by Mali, with a 10% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Guinea amounted to +3.5%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Niger (+3.7% per year) and Mali (+5.9% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in Western Africa amounted to $X per ton, reducing by -6.4% against the previous year. In general, the import price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 when the import price increased by 399%. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2014 to 2022, the import prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Cote d'Ivoire ($X per ton), while Nigeria ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Togo (+4.8%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

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