Uzbekistan: Cereal Market 2024

Cereal Market Size in Uzbekistan

The Uzbek cereal market contracted slightly to $X in 2022, declining by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a notable increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by X% against 2020 indices. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2020 to 2022, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.

Cereal Production in Uzbekistan

In value terms, cereal production shrank markedly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Cereal production peaked at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In 2022, the average cereal yield in Uzbekistan reduced to X tons per ha, dropping by X% compared with the previous year. Overall, the yield showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the average cereal yield hit record highs at X tons per ha in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. X ha of cereals were harvested in Uzbekistan; picking up by X% compared with 2021. In general, the harvested area, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to cereal production reached the peak figure at X ha in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

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Cereal Exports

Exports from Uzbekistan

In 2022, the amount of cereals exported from Uzbekistan declined sharply to X tons, with a decrease of X% compared with 2021 figures. In general, exports, however, recorded resilient growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 when exports increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at X tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, cereal exports shrank to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, saw a prominent increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 when exports increased by X%. Over the period under review, the exports attained the peak figure at $X in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

Afghanistan (X tons), Iraq (X tons) and Pakistan (X tons) were the main destinations of cereal exports from Uzbekistan, with a combined X% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Iraq (with a CAGR of X.7%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Pakistan ($X) emerged as the key foreign market for cereals exports from Uzbekistan, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Afghanistan ($X), with a X% share of total exports. It was followed by Iraq, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Pakistan was relatively modest. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Afghanistan (X% per year) and Iraq (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average cereal export price amounted to $X per ton, rising by X% against the previous year. Overall, the export price saw a buoyant increase. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Pakistan ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Afghanistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Tajikistan (X%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced mixed trend patterns.

Cereal Imports

Imports into Uzbekistan

Cereal imports into Uzbekistan soared to X tons in 2022, picking up by X% compared with the previous year. Over the period under review, imports saw a significant increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, cereal imports surged to $X in 2022. Overall, imports enjoyed a significant increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when imports increased by X%. Imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Kazakhstan (X tons) was the main supplier of cereal to Uzbekistan, with a approx. X% share of total imports.

From 2014 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from Kazakhstan amounted to X%.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) constituted the largest supplier of cereals to Uzbekistan.

From 2014 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from Kazakhstan totaled X%.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average cereal import price amounted to $X per ton, leveling off at the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, continues to indicate a deep contraction. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 an increase of X%. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

As there is only one major supplying country, the average price level is determined by prices for Kazakhstan.

From 2014 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Kazakhstan amounted to X% per year.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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