Tanzania: Cereal Market 2024

Cereal Market Size in Tanzania

In 2022, after two years of growth, there was decline in the Tanzanian cereal market, when its value decreased by less than X% to $X. The market value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2021, and then shrank slightly in the following year.

Cereal Production in Tanzania

In value terms, cereal production expanded slightly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production attained the maximum level at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

The average yield of cereals in Tanzania amounted to X tons per ha in 2022, approximately mirroring the year before. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when the yield increased by X%. As a result, the yield attained the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the average cereal yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The cereal harvested area in Tanzania declined slightly to X ha in 2022, standing approx. at 2021. In general, the harvested area, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when the harvested area increased by X%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to cereal production reached the maximum at X ha in 2021, and then shrank modestly in the following year.

Cereal Exports

Exports from Tanzania

In 2022, approx. X tons of cereals were exported from Tanzania; waning by X% on 2021. Overall, exports, however, recorded a prominent expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of X%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of X tons, and then dropped notably in the following year.

In value terms, cereal exports contracted significantly to $X in 2022. In general, exports, however, saw a prominent expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of X%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X, and then contracted rapidly in the following year.

Exports by Country

Kenya (X tons) was the main destination for cereal exports from Tanzania, with a X% share of total exports. Moreover, cereal exports to Kenya exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Uganda (X tons), fourfold. Rwanda (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Kenya amounted to X%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Uganda (X% per year) and Rwanda (X% per year).

In value terms, Kenya ($X) remains the key foreign market for cereals exports from Tanzania, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Uganda ($X), with a X% share of total exports. It was followed by Rwanda, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Kenya stood at X%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Uganda (X% per year) and Rwanda (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average cereal export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, reducing by X% against the previous year. In general, export price indicated a modest expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, cereal export price decreased by X% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the average export price increased by X% against the previous year. The export price peaked at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was South Sudan ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Kenya ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Uganda (X%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced mixed trend patterns.

Cereal Imports

Imports into Tanzania

In 2022, the amount of cereals imported into Tanzania soared to X tons, rising by X% on the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, imports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, cereal imports soared to $X in 2022. In general, imports recorded a tangible increase. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Argentina (X tons), Australia (X tons) and Russia (X tons) were the main suppliers of cereal imports to Tanzania, with a combined X% share of total imports. Poland, Latvia, Ukraine, India, Germany, Canada, Lithuania and Uganda lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Poland (with a CAGR of X%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest cereal suppliers to Tanzania were Argentina ($X), Australia ($X) and Russia ($X), with a combined X% share of total imports. Poland, Latvia, Germany, India, Canada, Ukraine, Lithuania and Uganda lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

Among the main suppliers, Poland, with a CAGR of X%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average cereal import price amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of X% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a measured increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, cereal import price increased by X% against 2020 indices. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($X per ton), while the price for Uganda ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uganda (X%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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