Northern America: Maize Market 2023

Maize Market Size in Northern America

The North American maize market declined modestly to $X in 2021, approximately reflecting the previous year. Overall, consumption, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 4%. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Maize Production in Northern America

In value terms, maize production reduced to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Overall, production showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the production volume increased by 4.3%. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The country with the largest volume of maize production was the United States (X tons), comprising approx. 94% of total volume. Moreover, maize production in the United States exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Canada (X tons), more than tenfold.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of volume in the United States stood at -2.3%.

In 2021, the average maize yield in Northern America declined to X tons per ha, remaining stable against 2020. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% from 2012 to 2021; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 when the yield increased by 30% against the previous year. As a result, the yield reached the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2016 to 2021, the growth of the maize yield remained at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2021, the total area harvested in terms of maize (green) production in Northern America was estimated at X ha, standing approx. at the year before. In general, the harvested area, however, recorded a noticeable decline. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 when the harvested area increased by 17%. The level of harvested area peaked at X ha in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Maize Exports

Exports in Northern America

In 2021, exports of maize (green) in Northern America expanded rapidly to X tons, growing by 8.1% against the previous year's figure. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the period from 2012 to 2021; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 10% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, maize exports rose to $X in 2021. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% from 2012 to 2021; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of 12%. The level of export peaked in 2021 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

The United States prevails in exports structure, recording X tons, which was near 94% of total exports in 2021. It was distantly followed by Canada (X tons), achieving a 6.2% share of total exports.

The United States experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports of maize (green). At the same time, Canada (+10.6%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Canada emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Northern America, with a CAGR of +10.6% from 2012-2021. While the share of Canada (+3.4 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2021, the share of the United States (-3.4 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, the United States ($X) remains the largest maize supplier in Northern America, comprising 93% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Canada ($X), with a 7.5% share of total exports.

In the United States, maize exports expanded at an average annual rate of +2.3% over the period from 2012-2021.

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the export price in Northern America amounted to $X per ton, waning by -3.3% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2021, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.5%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when the export price increased by 10%. Over the period under review, the export prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2020, and then shrank modestly in the following year.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exporting countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Canada ($X per ton), while the United States totaled $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+1.5%).

Maize Imports

Imports in Northern America

For the tenth year in a row, Northern America recorded growth in supplies from abroad of maize (green), which increased by 7.7% to X tons in 2021. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.2% over the period from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 with an increase of 8.5% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked in 2021 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, maize imports rose rapidly to $X in 2021. Total imports indicated a resilient increase from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.9% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, imports increased by +68.1% against 2012 indices. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

The United States was the key importing country with an import of about X tons, which reached 78% of total imports. It was distantly followed by Canada (X tons), generating a 22% share of total imports.

The United States was also the fastest-growing in terms of the maize (green) imports, with a CAGR of +5.6% from 2012 to 2021. Canada experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. The United States (+8.7 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total imports, while Canada saw its share reduced by -8.7% from 2012 to 2021, respectively.

In value terms, the United States ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported maize (green) in Northern America, comprising 67% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Canada ($X), with a 33% share of total imports.

In the United States, maize imports expanded at an average annual rate of +7.7% over the period from 2012-2021.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Northern America stood at $X per ton in 2021, with an increase of 4% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2021, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.7%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 an increase of 6.3% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices reached the maximum in 2021 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Canada ($X per ton), while the United States amounted to $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada (+2.7%).

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

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