Kenya: Grain Market 2024

Grain Market Size in Kenya

The Kenyan grain market expanded rapidly to $X in 2022, growing by X% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, the market reached the maximum level in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Grain Production in Kenya

In value terms, grain production rose slightly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, the total production indicated a prominent increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by X% against 2018 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, production reached the maximum level at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

The average yield of grain in Kenya expanded significantly to X tons per ha in 2022, growing by X% against 2021. In general, the yield, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 when the yield increased by X%. The grain yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the yield failed to regain momentum. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of grain production in Kenya reduced modestly to X ha, remaining constant against the previous year's figure. Overall, the harvested area continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to grain production reached the peak figure at X ha in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the harvested area stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Join Us at HANNOVER MESSE 2024

Don’t miss your chance to connect with us directly. Schedule a personal meeting to dive deeper into how solutions.
Hall 002, Stand C10. 22 - 26 April 2024 | Hannover, Germany

Book Your Meeting

Grain Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2022, overseas shipments of grain decreased by X% to X tons, falling for the second consecutive year after four years of growth. Over the period under review, exports, however, posted a buoyant increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, grain exports contracted notably to $X in 2022. In general, exports saw a pronounced descent. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of X%. The exports peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Uganda (X tons) was the main destination for grain exports from Kenya, accounting for a X% share of total exports. Moreover, grain exports to Uganda exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Canada (X tons), sevenfold. Saudi Arabia (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Uganda amounted to X%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Canada (X% per year) and Saudi Arabia (X% per year).

In value terms, Uganda ($X) remains the key foreign market for grain exports from Kenya, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Canada ($X), with a X% share of total exports. It was followed by Tanzania, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Uganda totaled X%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Canada (X% per year) and Tanzania (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average grain export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, with a decrease of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price showed a deep downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the average export price increased by X%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2015 to 2022, the average export prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major export markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Tanzania ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Uganda ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Tanzania (X%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced mixed trend patterns.

Grain Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2022, approx. X tons of grain were imported into Kenya; remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports, however, continue to indicate a remarkable increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, grain imports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. In general, imports, however, recorded a strong increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when imports increased by X%. Imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

Tanzania (X tons), Argentina (X tons) and Russia (X tons) were the main suppliers of grain imports to Kenya, with a combined X% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Tanzania (with a CAGR of X%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest grain suppliers to Kenya were Argentina ($X), Tanzania ($X) and Russia ($X), together comprising X% of total imports. Australia, Lithuania, Poland, the United States, Canada, Ukraine and the United Arab Emirates lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

Among the main suppliers, Australia, with a CAGR of X%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average grain import price amounted to $X per ton, increasing by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import price indicated a slight expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain import price increased by X% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the average import price increased by X%. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United Arab Emirates ($X per ton), while the price for Tanzania ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United Arab Emirates (X%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) :