Kenya: Green Coffee Market Overview 2021

Green Coffee Market Size in Kenya

In 2019, the Kenyan green coffee market decreased by -X% to $X for the first time since 2014, thus ending a four-year rising trend. In general, consumption showed strong growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2011 with an increase of X% year-to-year. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2012 to 2019, the growth of the market failed to regain the momentum.

Green Coffee Production in Kenya

In value terms, green coffee production dropped markedly to $X in 2019 estimated in export prices. Over the period under review, production, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when the production volume increased by X% y-o-y. Over the period under review, production reached the peak level at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2019, production remained at a lower figure.

In 2019, the average yield of coffee (green) in Kenya soared to X kg per ha, increasing by X% compared with the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the yield indicated perceptible growth from 2007 to 2019: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +X% over the last twelve-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2019 figures, green coffee yield increased by +X% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2009 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The green coffee yield peaked in 2019 and is expected to retain growth in years to come. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2019, approx. X ha of coffee (green) were harvested in Kenya; which is down by -X% compared with the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area showed a perceptible decline. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2009 when the harvested area increased by X% y-o-y. The green coffee harvested area peaked at X ha in 2007; however, from 2008 to 2019, the harvested area failed to regain the momentum.

Green Coffee Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2019, shipments abroad of coffee (green) increased by X% to X tonnes, rising for the second year in a row after three years of decline. In general, exports, however, recorded a mild shrinkage. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2009 when exports increased by X% year-to-year. As a result, exports attained the peak of X tonnes. From 2010 to 2019, the growth exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, green coffee exports declined to $X in 2019. Overall, exports, however, showed a pronounced expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2009 when exports increased by X% y-o-y. Over the period under review, exports attained the maximum at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2019, exports failed to regain the momentum.

Exports by Country

Belgium (X tonnes), Germany (X tonnes) and the U.S. (X tonnes) were the main destinations of green coffee exports from Kenya, together accounting for X% of total exports. South Korea, Sweden, Norway, Finland, Australia, the UK, Romania, Spain, Canada and Japan lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X 2007 to 2019, the biggest increases were in South Korea, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Belgium ($X), Germany ($X) and the U.S. ($X) were the largest markets for green coffee exported from Kenya worldwide, with a combined X% share of total exports. South Korea, Sweden, Norway, Australia, the UK, Japan, Finland, Canada, Spain and Romania lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X Korea saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average green coffee export price stood at $X per tonne in 2019, shrinking by -X% against the previous year. In general, the export price, however, showed a moderate expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2010 an increase of X% year-to-year. The export price peaked at $X per tonne in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2019, export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major external markets. In 2019, the country with the highest price was Japan ($X per tonne), while the average price for exports to Romania ($X per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Norway, while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Green Coffee Imports

Imports into Kenya

Green coffee imports into Kenya dropped notably to X tonnes in 2019, shrinking by -X% against the previous year. Overall, imports, however, saw a noticeable increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2012 when imports increased by X% year-to-year. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at X tonnes in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2019, imports failed to regain the momentum.

In value terms, green coffee imports fell remarkably to $X in 2019. In general, imports, however, continue to indicate a resilient increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2012 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2019, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

Rwanda (X tonnes), Burundi (X tonnes) and Nicaragua (X tonnes) were the main suppliers of green coffee imports to Kenya, with a combined X% share of total imports. These countries were followed by Switzerland, India, Germany and the United Arab Emirates, which together accounted for a further X 2007 to 2019, the biggest increases were in Switzerland (+X% per year), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Rwanda ($X) constituted the largest supplier of green coffee to Kenya, comprising X% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Burundi ($X), with a X% share of total imports. It was followed by Switzerland, with a X% share.

From 2007 to 2019, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Rwanda totaled +X%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Burundi (+X% per year) and Switzerland (+X% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2019, the average green coffee import price amounted to $X per tonne, rising by X% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a resilient expansion from 2007 to 2019: its price increased at an average annual rate of +X% over the last twelve years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2019 figures, green coffee import price increased by +X% against 2017 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2011 when the average import price increased by X% against the previous year. The import price peaked at $X per tonne in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2019, import prices failed to regain the momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2019, the country with the highest price was Switzerland ($X per tonne), while the price for Burundi ($X per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Switzerland, while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) :

What are the largest markets for coffee (green) in the world?

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The countries with the highest volumes of green coffee consumption in 2019 were Brazil (1.5M tonnes), the U.S. (1.5M tonnes) and Germany (876K tonnes), with a combined 36% share of global consumption. Italy, Indonesia, Japan, Viet Nam, Spain, Ethiopia, France, Canada, Russia and India lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 29%.

What are the largest producers of coffee (green) in the world?

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The country with the largest volume of green coffee production was Brazil (3.7M tonnes), accounting for 35% of total volume. Moreover, green coffee production in Brazil exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Viet Nam (1.7M tonnes), twofold. The third position in this ranking was occupied by Indonesia (727K tonnes), with a 6.8% share.

What are the leading suppliers of coffee (green) to Kenya?

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In value terms, Rwanda ($736K) constituted the largest supplier of green coffee to Kenya, comprising 48% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Burundi ($338K), with a 22% share of total imports. It was followed by Switzerland, with a 11% share.

What are the leading importers of coffee (green) from Kenya?

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In value terms, the largest markets for green coffee exported from Kenya were Belgium ($38M), Germany ($31M) and the U.S. ($31M), with a combined 50% share of total exports. These countries were followed by South Korea, Sweden, Norway, Australia, the UK, Japan, Finland, Canada, Spain and Romania, which together accounted for a further 37%.

What is the average export price for coffee (green) in Kenya?

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The average green coffee export price stood at $4,096 per tonne in 2019, dropping by -20.4% against the previous year.

What is the average import price for coffee (green) in Kenya?

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The average green coffee import price stood at $3,610 per tonne in 2019, increasing by 5.8% against the previous year.