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Kenya - Coffee (Green) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
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Kenya: Green Coffee Market Overview 2021

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Green Coffee Market Size in Kenya

In 2019, the Kenyan green coffee market decreased by -X% to $X for the first time since 2014, thus ending a four-year rising trend. In general, consumption showed strong growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2011 with an increase of X% year-to-year. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2012 to 2019, the growth of the market failed to regain the momentum.

Green Coffee Production in Kenya

In value terms, green coffee production dropped markedly to $X in 2019 estimated in export prices. Over the period under review, production, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when the production volume increased by X% y-o-y. Over the period under review, production reached the peak level at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2019, production remained at a lower figure.

In 2019, the average yield of coffee (green) in Kenya soared to X kg per ha, increasing by X% compared with the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the yield indicated perceptible growth from 2007 to 2019: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +X% over the last twelve-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2019 figures, green coffee yield increased by +X% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2009 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The green coffee yield peaked in 2019 and is expected to retain growth in years to come. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2019, approx. X ha of coffee (green) were harvested in Kenya; which is down by -X% compared with the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area showed a perceptible decline. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2009 when the harvested area increased by X% y-o-y. The green coffee harvested area peaked at X ha in 2007; however, from 2008 to 2019, the harvested area failed to regain the momentum.

Green Coffee Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2019, shipments abroad of coffee (green) increased by X% to X tonnes, rising for the second year in a row after three years of decline. In general, exports, however, recorded a mild shrinkage. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2009 when exports increased by X% year-to-year. As a result, exports attained the peak of X tonnes. From 2010 to 2019, the growth exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, green coffee exports declined to $X in 2019. Overall, exports, however, showed a pronounced expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2009 when exports increased by X% y-o-y. Over the period under review, exports attained the maximum at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2019, exports failed to regain the momentum.

Exports by Country

Belgium (X tonnes), Germany (X tonnes) and the U.S. (X tonnes) were the main destinations of green coffee exports from Kenya, together accounting for X% of total exports. South Korea, Sweden, Norway, Finland, Australia, the UK, Romania, Spain, Canada and Japan lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X 2007 to 2019, the biggest increases were in South Korea, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Belgium ($X), Germany ($X) and the U.S. ($X) were the largest markets for green coffee exported from Kenya worldwide, with a combined X% share of total exports. South Korea, Sweden, Norway, Australia, the UK, Japan, Finland, Canada, Spain and Romania lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X Korea saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average green coffee export price stood at $X per tonne in 2019, shrinking by -X% against the previous year. In general, the export price, however, showed a moderate expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2010 an increase of X% year-to-year. The export price peaked at $X per tonne in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2019, export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major external markets. In 2019, the country with the highest price was Japan ($X per tonne), while the average price for exports to Romania ($X per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Norway, while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Green Coffee Imports

Imports into Kenya

Green coffee imports into Kenya dropped notably to X tonnes in 2019, shrinking by -X% against the previous year. Overall, imports, however, saw a noticeable increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2012 when imports increased by X% year-to-year. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at X tonnes in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2019, imports failed to regain the momentum.

In value terms, green coffee imports fell remarkably to $X in 2019. In general, imports, however, continue to indicate a resilient increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2012 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2019, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

Rwanda (X tonnes), Burundi (X tonnes) and Nicaragua (X tonnes) were the main suppliers of green coffee imports to Kenya, with a combined X% share of total imports. These countries were followed by Switzerland, India, Germany and the United Arab Emirates, which together accounted for a further X 2007 to 2019, the biggest increases were in Switzerland (+X% per year), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Rwanda ($X) constituted the largest supplier of green coffee to Kenya, comprising X% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Burundi ($X), with a X% share of total imports. It was followed by Switzerland, with a X% share.

From 2007 to 2019, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Rwanda totaled +X%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Burundi (+X% per year) and Switzerland (+X% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2019, the average green coffee import price amounted to $X per tonne, rising by X% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a resilient expansion from 2007 to 2019: its price increased at an average annual rate of +X% over the last twelve years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2019 figures, green coffee import price increased by +X% against 2017 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2011 when the average import price increased by X% against the previous year. The import price peaked at $X per tonne in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2019, import prices failed to regain the momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2019, the country with the highest price was Switzerland ($X per tonne), while the price for Burundi ($X per tonne) was amongst the lowest.

From 2007 to 2019, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Switzerland, while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) :

What are the largest markets for coffee (green) in the world?
+
The countries with the highest volumes of green coffee consumption in 2019 were Brazil (1.5M tonnes), the U.S. (1.5M tonnes) and Germany (876K tonnes), with a combined 36% share of global consumption. Italy, Indonesia, Japan, Viet Nam, Spain, Ethiopia, France, Canada, Russia and India lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 29%.
What are the largest producers of coffee (green) in the world?
+
The country with the largest volume of green coffee production was Brazil (3.7M tonnes), accounting for 35% of total volume. Moreover, green coffee production in Brazil exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Viet Nam (1.7M tonnes), twofold. The third position in this ranking was occupied by Indonesia (727K tonnes), with a 6.8% share.
What are the leading suppliers of coffee (green) to Kenya?
+
In value terms, Rwanda ($736K) constituted the largest supplier of green coffee to Kenya, comprising 48% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Burundi ($338K), with a 22% share of total imports. It was followed by Switzerland, with a 11% share.
What are the leading importers of coffee (green) from Kenya?
+
In value terms, the largest markets for green coffee exported from Kenya were Belgium ($38M), Germany ($31M) and the U.S. ($31M), with a combined 50% share of total exports. These countries were followed by South Korea, Sweden, Norway, Australia, the UK, Japan, Finland, Canada, Spain and Romania, which together accounted for a further 37%.
What is the average export price for coffee (green) in Kenya?
+
The average green coffee export price stood at $4,096 per tonne in 2019, dropping by -20.4% against the previous year.
What is the average import price for coffee (green) in Kenya?
+
The average green coffee import price stood at $3,610 per tonne in 2019, increasing by 5.8% against the previous year.

Product coverage:
• FCL 656 - Coffee green

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the green coffee market in Kenya. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2025.


Country coverage:
• Kenya

Data coverage:
• Market volume and value
• Per Capita consumption
• Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
• Trade (exports and imports) in Kenya
• Export and import prices
• Market trends, drivers and restraints
• Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:
• Take advantage of the latest data
• Find deeper insights into current market developments
• Discover vital success factors affecting the market
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:
1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
2. How to load your idle production capacity
3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
4. How to increase your profit margins
5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
7. How to outsource production to other countries
8. How to prepare your business for global expansion
While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
1. INTRODUCTION

Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

1.1
REPORT DESCRIPTION
1.2
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
1.3
DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
1.4
GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A Quick Overview of Market Performance

2.1
KEY FINDINGS
2.2
MARKET TRENDS
3. MARKET OVERVIEW

Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

3.1
MARKET SIZE
3.2
MARKET STRUCTURE
3.3
TRADE BALANCE
3.4
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
3.5
MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS

Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

4.1
TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
4.2
BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
4.3
MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
4.4
MOST TRADED PRODUCT
4.5
MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

5.1
TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
5.2
TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
5.3
COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
5.4
TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
5.5
LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

6.1
TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
6.2
TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
6.3
UNSATURATED MARKETS
6.4
TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
6.5
MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
7. PRODUCTION

The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

7.1
PRODUCTION, HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD
8. IMPORTS

The Largest Import Supplying Countries

8.1
IMPORTS FROM 2007–2019
8.2
IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
8.3
IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
9. EXPORTS

The Largest Destinations for Exports

9.1
EXPORTS FROM 2007–2019
9.2
EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
9.3
EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

LIST OF TABLES
Table 1:
Key Findings In 2019
Table 2:
Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Table 3:
Market Value, 2007–2019
Table 4:
Per Capita Consumption In 2007–2019
Table 5:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Table 6:
Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Table 7:
Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2007–2019
Table 8:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Table 9:
Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Table 10:
Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2007–2019
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1:
Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 2:
Market Value, 2007–2019
Figure 3:
Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 4:
Market Structure – Domestic Supply vs. Imports, In Value Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 5:
Trade Balance, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 6:
Trade Balance, In Value Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 7:
Per Capita Consumption, 2007–2019
Figure 8:
Market Forecast To 2025
Figure 9:
Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
Figure 10:
Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
Figure 11:
Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
Figure 12:
Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
Figure 13:
Production Volume And Growth
Figure 14:
Yield And Growth
Figure 15:
Exports And Growth
Figure 16:
Export Prices And Growth
Figure 17:
Market Size And Growth
Figure 18:
Per Capita Consumption
Figure 19:
Imports And Growth
Figure 20:
Import Prices
Figure 21:
Production, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 22:
Production, In Value Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 23:
Area Harvested, 2007–2019
Figure 24:
Yield, 2007–2019
Figure 25:
Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 26:
Imports, In Value Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 27:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2019
Figure 28:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Figure 29:
Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Figure 30:
Import Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2007–2019
Figure 31:
Exports, In Physical Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 32:
Exports, In Value Terms, 2007–2019
Figure 33:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2019
Figure 34:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Figure 35:
Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2019
Figure 36:
Export Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2007–2019

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