CIS: Pork Market 2023

Pork Market Size in CIS

In 2022, the CIS pork market increased by 1.4% to $X for the first time since 2017, thus ending a four-year declining trend. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Pork Production in CIS

In value terms, pork production totaled $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when the production volume increased by 15%. Over the period under review, production reached the peak level at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

Russia (X tons) remains the largest pork producing country in the CIS, comprising approx. 88% of total volume. Moreover, pork production in Russia exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Belarus (X tons), more than tenfold.

In Russia, pork production increased at an average annual rate of +5.3% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Belarus (-0.3% per year) and Kazakhstan (-1.9% per year).

The average pork yield dropped slightly to X kg per head in 2022, almost unchanged from the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the yield, however, continues to indicate modest growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when the yield increased by 2.9%. The level of yield peaked at X kg per head in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

In 2022, number of animals slaughtered for pork production in the CIS was estimated at X heads, remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year. This number increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of 7.6% against the previous year. The level of producing animals peaked at X heads in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, producing animals stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Pork Exports

Exports in CIS

In 2022, shipments abroad of pork increased by 0.3% to X tons, rising for the sixth consecutive year after four years of decline. Overall, exports showed a strong expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of 206%. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, pork exports dropped to $X in 2022. In general, exports enjoyed perceptible growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of 194%. The level of export peaked at $X in 2021, and then reduced in the following year.

Exports by Country

Russia (X tons) represented roughly 99% of total exports in 2022.

Russia was also the fastest-growing in terms of the pork exports, with a CAGR of +86.5% from 2012 to 2022. Russia (+98 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Russia ($X) also remains the largest pork supplier in the CIS.

In Russia, pork exports expanded at an average annual rate of +78.4% over the period from 2012-2022.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in the CIS amounted to $X per ton, dropping by -8.4% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price saw a noticeable slump. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 an increase of 46%. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2015 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

As there is only one major export destination, the average price level is determined by prices for Russia.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Russia amounted to -4.3% per year.

Pork Imports

Imports in CIS

In 2022, imports of pork in the CIS soared to X tons, jumping by 37% against the previous year's figure. Overall, imports, however, continue to indicate a deep reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 59%. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, pork imports soared to $X in 2022. In general, imports, however, continue to indicate a precipitous contraction. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when imports increased by 81% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

Belarus was the largest importing country with an import of around X tons, which accounted for 62% of total imports. It was distantly followed by Moldova (X tons), Armenia (X tons) and Kazakhstan (X tons), together comprising a 31% share of total imports. Russia (X tons) held a relatively small share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to pork imports into Belarus stood at -6.0%. At the same time, Moldova (+8.1%) and Armenia (+3.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Moldova emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the CIS, with a CAGR of +8.1% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Kazakhstan (-4.2%) and Russia (-40.1%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Belarus (+49 p.p.), Moldova (+11 p.p.), Armenia (+10 p.p.) and Kazakhstan (+6.4 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total imports from 2012-2022, the share of Russia (-78.8 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Belarus ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported pork in the CIS, comprising 62% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Moldova ($X), with a 12% share of total imports. It was followed by Armenia, with a 9.9% share.

In Belarus, pork imports decreased by an average annual rate of -8.4% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Moldova (+7.4% per year) and Armenia (+1.5% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The import price in the CIS stood at $X per ton in 2022, reducing by -4.1% against the previous year. Overall, the import price recorded a noticeable downturn. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when the import price increased by 18% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, major importing countries recorded the following prices: in Russia ($X per ton) and Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while Armenia ($X per ton) and Belarus ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (+2.6%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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