CIS: Fruit Market 2023

Fruit Market Size in CIS

After two years of growth, the CIS fruit market decreased by -2.2% to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, consumption continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of 8.7%. Over the period under review, the market reached the maximum level at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Fruit Production in CIS

In value terms, fruit production fell to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production saw a slight decrease. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 19%. The level of production peaked at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were Uzbekistan (X tons), Russia (X tons) and Kazakhstan (X tons), with a combined 70% share of total production.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Kazakhstan (with a CAGR of +4.7%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2022, the average yield of fruits in the CIS dropped to X tons per ha, which is down by -1.6% against the previous year. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 4.8% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the fruit yield attained the peak level at X tons per ha in 2021, and then fell modestly in the following year. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The fruit harvested area dropped to X ha in 2022, approximately mirroring 2021. In general, the harvested area, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 3.4%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to fruit production attained the peak figure at X ha in 2016; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

Fruit Exports

Exports in CIS

In 2022, shipments abroad of fruits was finally on the rise to reach X tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year declining trend. Total exports indicated a buoyant expansion from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +8.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 57% against the previous year. The volume of export peaked in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.

In value terms, fruit exports rose remarkably to $X in 2022. Overall, exports saw resilient growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 95%. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in the near future.

Exports by Country

In 2022, Uzbekistan (X tons) was the key exporter of fruits, constituting 38% of total exports. Azerbaijan (X tons) held a 22% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Moldova (19%), Russia (7.7%) and Belarus (5.4%). The following exporters - Kazakhstan (X tons) and Kyrgyzstan (X tons) - each recorded a 6.2% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Uzbekistan (with a CAGR of +136.7%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest fruit supplying countries in the CIS were Uzbekistan ($X), Azerbaijan ($X) and Moldova ($X), together accounting for 82% of total exports.

Uzbekistan, with a CAGR of +141.6%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in the CIS amounted to $X per ton, surging by 4.3% against the previous year. Export price indicated a mild expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, fruit export price increased by +117.6% against 2015 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the export price increased by 24%. The level of export peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Azerbaijan ($X per ton), while Kyrgyzstan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Moldova (+3.4%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Fruit Imports

Imports in CIS

In 2022, fruit imports in the CIS declined slightly to X tons, flattening at the previous year's figure. In general, imports recorded a slight reduction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 9.2%. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, fruit imports fell to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate a mild curtailment. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when imports increased by 16%. The level of import peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

Russia prevails in imports structure, recording X tons, which was near 77% of total imports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Belarus (X tons) and Kazakhstan (X tons), together making up a 13% share of total imports. Uzbekistan (X tons), Kyrgyzstan (X tons) and Azerbaijan (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Imports into Russia decreased at an average annual rate of -2.5% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Uzbekistan (+116.8%), Kyrgyzstan (+15.8%), Azerbaijan (+7.4%) and Belarus (+2.6%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Uzbekistan emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the CIS, with a CAGR of +116.8% from 2012-2022. Kazakhstan experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. While the share of Uzbekistan (+3.8 p.p.) and Belarus (+2.3 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total imports from 2012-2022, the share of Russia (-10.6 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Russia ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported fruits in the CIS, comprising 80% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Belarus ($X), with a 7.4% share of total imports. It was followed by Kazakhstan, with a 4.4% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Russia stood at -2.2%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Belarus (+3.3% per year) and Kazakhstan (-2.4% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in the CIS amounted to $X per ton, standing approx. at the previous year. In general, the import price, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when the import price increased by 6.6%. Over the period under review, import prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Azerbaijan ($X per ton), while Uzbekistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Azerbaijan (+4.6%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

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