Central Asia: Uncoated Kraft Liner Market 2023

Uncoated Kraft Liner Market Size in Central Asia

The Central Asian uncoated kraft liner market was finally on the rise to reach $X in 2021, after three years of decline. The total consumption indicated resilient growth from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +8.1% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, consumption decreased by -16.6% against 2017 indices. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2021, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Uncoated Kraft Liner Production in Central Asia

In value terms, uncoated kraft liner production reached $X in 2021 estimated in export price. The total production indicated a buoyant increase from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +8.9% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, production decreased by -19.0% against 2018 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 57% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, production remained at a lower figure.

Uncoated Kraft Liner Exports

Exports in Central Asia

In 2021, overseas shipments of uncoated kraft liner increased by 26% to X tons, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. Over the period under review, exports posted a resilient increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 when exports increased by 179% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at X tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2021, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, uncoated kraft liner exports soared to $X in 2021. In general, exports posted a significant increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of 175% against the previous year. The level of export peaked in 2021 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Exports by Country

Kyrgyzstan represented the key exporter of uncoated kraft liner in Central Asia, with the volume of exports recording X tons, which was near 82% of total exports in 2021. It was distantly followed by Uzbekistan (X tons), achieving a 15% share of total exports. Kazakhstan (X tons) held a relatively small share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, average annual rates of growth with regard to uncoated kraft liner exports from Kyrgyzstan stood at +20.7%. At the same time, Uzbekistan (+1,625.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Uzbekistan emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Central Asia, with a CAGR of +1,625.2% from 2012-2021. By contrast, Kazakhstan (-8.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Uzbekistan (+15 p.p.) and Kyrgyzstan (+14 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2021, the share of Kazakhstan (-29.6 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Kyrgyzstan ($X), Uzbekistan ($X) and Kazakhstan ($X) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2021.

Among the main exporting countries, Uzbekistan, with a CAGR of +1,798.0%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the exports figures.

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Central Asia stood at $X per ton in 2021, growing by 42% against the previous year. Export price indicated strong growth from 2012 to 2021: its price increased at an average annual rate of +5.4% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, uncoated kraft liner export price increased by +111.8% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 an increase of 45% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices hit record highs in 2021 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Uzbekistan ($X per ton), while Kazakhstan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uzbekistan (+10.0%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Uncoated Kraft Liner Imports

Imports in Central Asia

In 2021, imports of uncoated kraft liner in Central Asia totaled X tons, surging by 8% against the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, imports, however, continue to indicate a slight slump. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when imports increased by 21%. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, uncoated kraft liner imports soared to $X in 2021. In general, imports, however, showed a mild setback. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when imports increased by 36%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

Kazakhstan was the major importer of uncoated kraft liner in Central Asia, with the volume of imports reaching X tons, which was near 47% of total imports in 2021. Uzbekistan (X tons) held a 31% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Mongolia (16%). Kyrgyzstan (X tons) and Tajikistan (X tons) took a relatively small share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key importing countries, was attained by Mongolia (with a CAGR of +34.6%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X), Uzbekistan ($X) and Mongolia ($X) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2021, with a combined 95% share of total imports.

In terms of the main importing countries, Mongolia, with a CAGR of +41.4%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Central Asia stood at $X per ton in 2021, surging by 9.9% against the previous year. In general, the import price, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 an increase of 12%. The level of import peaked at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, import prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while Tajikistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Mongolia (+5.0%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

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