Asia: Mustard Seed Market 2023

Mustard Seed Market Size in Asia

In 2021, after two years of decline, there was significant growth in the Asian mustard seed market, when its value increased by 13% to $X. Over the period under review, consumption, however, continues to indicate a perceptible decline. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Mustard Seed Production in Asia

In value terms, mustard seed production rose to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, showed a noticeable descent. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the production volume increased by 15% against the previous year. The level of production peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, production failed to regain momentum.

Nepal (X tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of mustard seed production, accounting for 61% of total volume. Moreover, mustard seed production in Nepal exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (X tons), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Myanmar (X tons), with an 11% share.

In Nepal, mustard seed production expanded at an average annual rate of +4.3% over the period from 2012-2021. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: India (+0.9% per year) and Myanmar (-2.9% per year).

In 2021, the average yield of mustard seed in Asia fell slightly to X tons per ha, with a decrease of -4.7% against the year before. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2012 to 2021; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 12% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the mustard seed yield attained the maximum level at X tons per ha in 2020, and then declined slightly in the following year. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2021, approx. X ha of mustard seed were harvested in Asia; with an increase of 5.3% against the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the harvested area recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 when the harvested area increased by 13% against the previous year. As a result, the harvested area attained the peak level of X ha. From 2020 to 2021, the growth of the mustard seed harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Mustard Seed Exports

Exports in Asia

After two years of growth, shipments abroad of mustard seed decreased by -23.4% to X tons in 2021. Overall, exports, however, saw a remarkable increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by 132% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2020, and then shrank sharply in the following year.

In value terms, mustard seed exports expanded to $X in 2021. In general, exports, however, posted strong growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by 109%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum in 2021 and are likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Exports by Country

India represented the major exporter of mustard seed in Asia, with the volume of exports recording X tons, which was near 81% of total exports in 2021. It was distantly followed by Kazakhstan (X tons), constituting a 13% share of total exports. The following exporters - the United Arab Emirates (X tons) and Myanmar (X tons) - each finished at a 3.7% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, average annual rates of growth with regard to mustard seed exports from India stood at +6.2%. At the same time, the United Arab Emirates (+32.1%) and Myanmar (+16.5%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, the United Arab Emirates emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Asia, with a CAGR of +32.1% from 2012-2021. Kazakhstan experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. India (+5.3 p.p.) and the United Arab Emirates (+1.6 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while Kazakhstan saw its share reduced by -8.6% from 2012 to 2021, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, India ($X) remains the largest mustard seed supplier in Asia, comprising 86% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Kazakhstan ($X), with an 8.9% share of total exports. It was followed by the United Arab Emirates, with a 1.8% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in India totaled +7.3%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Kazakhstan (-0.9% per year) and the United Arab Emirates (+32.2% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Asia stood at $X per ton in 2021, surging by 37% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was India ($X per ton), while Myanmar ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by India (+1.0%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Mustard Seed Imports

Imports in Asia

In 2021, approx. X tons of mustard seed were imported in Asia; jumping by 38% on 2020. Overall, imports saw modest growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when imports increased by 44% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2021 and are likely to see steady growth in years to come.

In value terms, mustard seed imports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. In general, imports saw moderate growth. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Bangladesh (X tons) and Nepal (X tons) dominates imports structure, together generating 76% of total imports. The following importers - Japan (X tons), Thailand (X tons), Sri Lanka (X tons) and Mongolia (X tons) - together made up 15% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were in Mongolia (with a CAGR of +9.7%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest mustard seed importing markets in Asia were Bangladesh ($X), Nepal ($X) and Japan ($X), with a combined 78% share of total imports. Thailand, Sri Lanka and Mongolia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 11%.

Mongolia, with a CAGR of +13.3%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2021, the import price in Asia amounted to $X per ton, increasing by 21% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2021, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.8%. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Japan ($X per ton), while Mongolia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Nepal (+3.5%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

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