Africa: Market for Uncooked Pasta (Not Containing Eggs) 2024

Market Size for Uncooked Pasta (Not Containing Eggs) in Africa

In 2021, after five years of growth, there was decline in the African market for uncooked pasta (not containing eggs), when its value decreased by -3% to $X. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 8.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2020, and then fell modestly in the following year.

Production of Uncooked Pasta (Not Containing Eggs) in Africa

In value terms, uncooked pasta (not containing eggs) production shrank modestly to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% from 2012 to 2021; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the production volume increased by 14%. Over the period under review, production reached the peak level at $X in 2020, and then dropped in the following year.

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Exports of Uncooked Pasta (Not Containing Eggs)

Exports in Africa

In 2021, after two years of decline, there was significant growth in shipments abroad of uncooked pasta (not containing eggs), when their volume increased by 7.8% to X tons. Over the period under review, exports saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 45% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at X tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, uncooked pasta (not containing eggs) exports rose remarkably to $X in 2021. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% over the period from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when exports increased by 42% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

Egypt (X tons) and Tunisia (X tons) represented roughly 54% of total exports in 2021. Cote d'Ivoire (X tons) held the next position in the ranking, followed by Namibia (X tons), Rwanda (X tons) and Morocco (X tons). All these countries together took approx. 31% share of total exports. South Africa (X tons) held a relatively small share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were recorded for Rwanda (with a CAGR of +192.0%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Egypt ($X) remains the largest uncooked pasta (not containing eggs) supplier in Africa, comprising 42% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Tunisia ($X), with a 19% share of total exports. It was followed by Namibia, with a 7.8% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Egypt amounted to +6.7%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Tunisia (-5.0% per year) and Namibia (+47.3% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Africa stood at $X per ton in 2021, remaining constant against the previous year. Overall, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 when the export price increased by 46%. Over the period under review, the export prices reached the maximum in 2021 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Egypt ($X per ton), while Cote d'Ivoire ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Egypt (+1.4%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Imports of Uncooked Pasta (Not Containing Eggs)

Imports in Africa

In 2021, purchases abroad of uncooked pasta (not containing eggs) decreased by -4.6% to X tons, falling for the third year in a row after seven years of growth. Total imports indicated a strong increase from 2012 to 2021: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, imports decreased by -20.1% against 2018 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when imports increased by 28%. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, uncooked pasta (not containing eggs) imports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the period from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The level of import peaked at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

Somalia was the major importing country with an import of about X tons, which recorded 29% of total imports. It was distantly followed by Ghana (X tons), South Africa (X tons) and Benin (X tons), together creating a 26% share of total imports. Burkina Faso (X tons), Libya (X tons), Democratic Republic of the Congo (X tons), Niger (X tons), Uganda (X tons), Rwanda (X tons), Kenya (X tons), Tanzania (X tons) and Guinea (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Imports into Somalia increased at an average annual rate of +16.4% from 2012 to 2021. At the same time, Uganda (+28.3%), Democratic Republic of the Congo (+27.0%), Rwanda (+22.0%), South Africa (+19.7%), Guinea (+18.4%), Ghana (+17.4%), Benin (+15.6%) and Tanzania (+8.0%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Uganda emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in Africa, with a CAGR of +28.3% from 2012-2021. Burkina Faso, Kenya and Niger experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Libya (-7.7%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Somalia (+17 p.p.), Ghana (+7.8 p.p.), South Africa (+5.8 p.p.), Benin (+2.9 p.p.), Democratic Republic of the Congo (+2.1 p.p.), Uganda (+1.8 p.p.) and Rwanda (+1.6 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total imports, while Burkina Faso, Niger and Libya saw its share reduced by -1.6%, -1.7% and -6.2% from 2012 to 2021, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Somalia ($X), South Africa ($X) and Ghana ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2021, with a combined 48% share of total imports. Benin, Libya, Uganda, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Niger, Rwanda, Burkina Faso, Tanzania, Guinea and Kenya lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 24%.

Uganda, with a CAGR of +29.5%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2021, the import price in Africa amounted to $X per ton, rising by 22% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, saw a perceptible descent. Over the period under review, import prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2021, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was South Africa ($X per ton), while Burkina Faso ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Niger (+2.3%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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