Africa: Durum Wheat Market 2024

Durum Wheat Market Size in Africa

In 2022, the African durum wheat market increased by X% to $X, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. The market value increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Durum Wheat Production in Africa

In value terms, durum wheat production reached $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, continues to indicate a resilient expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 when the production volume increased by X%. The level of production peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were Egypt (X tons), Ethiopia (X tons) and Algeria (X tons), together comprising X% of total production. Morocco, South Africa, Tunisia and Sudan lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Sudan (with a CAGR of X%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2022, the average yield of durum wheat in Africa shrank to X tons per ha, declining by X% compared with the previous year. In general, the yield, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of X% against the previous year. The level of yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The durum wheat harvested area was estimated at X ha in 2022, standing approx. at 2021 figures. Over the period under review, the harvested area, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 with an increase of X%. As a result, the harvested area attained the peak level of X ha. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the durum wheat harvested area failed to regain momentum.

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Durum Wheat Exports

Exports in Africa

In 2022, shipments abroad of durum wheat increased by X% to X tons, rising for the third consecutive year after two years of decline. Over the period under review, exports showed moderate growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at X tons in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, durum wheat exports soared to $X in 2022. Overall, exports saw a buoyant increase. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

South Africa was the main exporting country with an export of about X tons, which finished at X% of total exports. Senegal (X tons) ranks second in terms of the total exports with a X% share, followed by Mozambique (X%), Swaziland (X%) and Mauritius (X%). Burkina Faso (X tons) held a minor share of total exports.

South Africa experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports of durum wheat. At the same time, Senegal (X%), Swaziland (X%), Mauritius (X%) and Mozambique (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Senegal emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Africa, with a CAGR of X% from 2012-2022. Burkina Faso experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. While the share of Senegal (X p.p.), Mozambique (X p.p.), Swaziland (X p.p.), Mauritius (X p.p.) and Burkina Faso (X p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2022, the share of South Africa (X p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, the largest durum wheat supplying countries in Africa were South Africa ($X), Mozambique ($X) and Senegal ($X), with a combined X% share of total exports.

Senegal, with a CAGR of X%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in Africa amounted to $X per ton, surging by X% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of X%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when the export price increased by X% against the previous year. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2021 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Mozambique ($X per ton), while Burkina Faso ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Africa (X%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Durum Wheat Imports

Imports in Africa

In 2022, purchases abroad of durum wheat increased by X% to X tons, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. In general, imports posted tangible growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when imports increased by X%. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure at X tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, durum wheat imports surged to $X in 2022. Total imports indicated resilient growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Egypt (X tons) was the largest importer of durum wheat, creating X% of total imports. Nigeria (X tons) held an X% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Ethiopia (X%) and Algeria (X%). Morocco (X tons), Angola (X tons), Senegal (X tons), Tunisia (X tons) and Democratic Republic of the Congo (X tons) held a minor share of total imports.

Imports into Egypt increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Angola (X%), Senegal (X%), Nigeria (X%), Tunisia (X%) and Ethiopia (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Angola emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in Africa, with a CAGR of X% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Morocco (X%), Democratic Republic of the Congo (X%) and Algeria (X%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Nigeria, Angola, Senegal, Ethiopia, Democratic Republic of the Congo and Tunisia increased by X, X, X, X, X and X percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the largest durum wheat importing markets in Africa were Egypt ($X), Nigeria ($X) and Ethiopia ($X), with a combined X% share of total imports. Algeria, Morocco, Angola, Tunisia, Senegal and Democratic Republic of the Congo lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

Among the main importing countries, Angola, with a CAGR of X%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Africa stood at $X per ton in 2022, almost unchanged from the previous year. Import price indicated a moderate expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, durum wheat import price increased by X% against 2018 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 an increase of X% against the previous year. The level of import peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Nigeria ($X per ton), while Egypt ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Nigeria (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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