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World - Soybean Oil - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
Update: COVID-19 Impact

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Article Publishing Date: Apr 12, 2021

The Global Soybean Oil Market Continues to Grow Despite Languishing Demand for Biodiesel During the Pandemic

IndexBox has just published a new report: 'World - Soya-Bean Oil - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights'. Here is a summary of the report's key findings.

The soybean oil market indicates steady growth, despite the COVID-19 pandemic cut demand for biofuel. The competitive price of soybean oil, against the price for sunflower and palm oil, combined with the potential growth in demand for biofuels and increasingly robust environmental standards, signal tangible prospects for the further development of the soybean oil market. 

Key Trends and Insights

USDA estimates that global soybean oil production increased from 58M tonnes in 2019, to 61M tonnes in 2020. China and the USA constitute major producers of soybean oil, increasing output to 17.6M tonnes (+7.1% y-o-y) and 11.6M tonnes (+2.1% y-o-y), respectively.

Global soybean oil exports also remain robust, amounting to 12.6M tonnes in 2020, growing slightly against the previous year. Argentina, a key exporter of soybean oil, increased exports by 800K tonnes y-o-y in 2020, to 5.9M tonnes, despite the 600K tonnes slump in production against 2019. This increase in exports is largely a result of the decline in biodiesel production, necessitating the export of soybean oil that was originally designated for the production of biodiesel. A significant expansion of Argentia’s exports is not envisaged in 2021, due to the strong rate of the Argentine peso, high export duties, and the decline in demand for biodiesel and soybean meal, factors exacerbated by the pandemic. 

In February 2021, average export prices (FOB, as monitored by International Grains Council) in the USA, Argentina, and Brazil increased against those in January 2021, reaching $1118/tonne (+$68/tonne), $1078/tonne (+$21/tonne), $1063/ton (+$10/tonne), respectively. From February 2020 to March 2021, soybean oil prices surged from 660-700 $US/tonne to 1000-1220 $US/tonne.

Soybean oil currently maintains a price advantage over its competitors. The average price (Decatur; Average Wholesale Tank Crude) for soybean oil in the USA, according to USDA estimates, stood at $748/ton in 2020-21, while the average price for sunflower oil reached $1,257/ton (Minneapolis FOB). 

The global soybean oil market is forecast to develop in the medium term, following an increase in domestic demand in those countries where prices for competing for oil products, such as sunflower oil, remain higher. In the long-term, the potential market growth could be generated by the increased global use of sustainable soybean biodiesel, thereby echoing the Paris Agreement's commitment to reduce greenhouse emissions. 

China to Remain the Main Consumer while India to Lead in Import

The global soybean oil market expanded modestly to $51.2B in 2019, with an increase of 1.6% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). 

The countries with the highest volumes of soybean oil consumption in 2019 were China (18M tonnes), the U.S. (10M tonnes) and Brazil (8.7M tonnes), with a combined 63% share of global consumption. These countries were followed by India, Argentina, Bangladesh and Mexico, which together accounted for a further 15% (IndexBox estimates).

In value terms, China ($18.4B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by the U.S. ($8.3B). It was followed by Brazil.

The countries with the highest levels of soybean oil per capita consumption in 2019 were Argentina (53 kg per person), Brazil (41 kg per person) and the U.S. (31 kg per person).

In 2019, global soybean oil imports stood at 12M tonnes, increasing at an average annual rate of +2.3% from 2012 to 2019. In value terms, soybean oil imports amounted to $8.9B (IndexBox estimates) in 2019. 

India represented the key importing country with an import of around 3.1M tonnes, which resulted in 26% of total imports. Algeria (876K tonnes) ranks second in terms of total imports with a 7.3% share, followed by Bangladesh (6.3%), China (5%), Morocco (4.6%) and Peru (4.5%). The following importers - South Korea (347K tonnes), Colombia (336K tonnes), Venezuela (320K tonnes), Egypt (228K tonnes), Nepal (198K tonnes) and the UK (187K tonnes) - together made up 14% of total imports.

In value terms, India ($2.2B) constitutes the largest market for imported soya-bean oil worldwide, comprising 25% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Algeria ($561M), with a 6.3% share of global imports. It was followed by Bangladesh, with a 5.5% share.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

Product coverage:
• FCL 237 - Oil of Soybeans

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global soybean oil market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2025.



Data coverage:
• Global market volume and value
• Per Capita consumption
• Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
• Global production, split by region and country
• Global trade (exports and imports)
• Export and import prices
• Market trends, drivers and restraints
• Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:
• Take advantage of the latest data
• Find deeper insights into current market developments
• Discover vital success factors affecting the market
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:
1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
2. How to load your idle production capacity
3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
4. How to increase your profit margins
5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
7. How to outsource production to other countries
8. How to prepare your business for global expansion
While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
1. INTRODUCTION

Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

1.1
REPORT DESCRIPTION
1.2
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
1.3
DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
1.4
GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A Quick Overview of Market Performance

2.1
KEY FINDINGS
2.2
MARKET TRENDS
3. MARKET OVERVIEW

Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

3.1
MARKET SIZE
3.2
CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
3.3
MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS

Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

4.1
TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
4.2
BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
4.3
MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
4.4
MOST TRADED PRODUCT
4.5
MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

5.1
TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
5.2
TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
5.3
TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
5.4
LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

6.1
TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
6.2
TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
6.3
UNSATURATED MARKETS
6.4
TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
6.5
MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION

The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

7.1
PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
7.2
PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
8. GLOBAL IMPORTS

The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed

8.1
IMPORTS FROM 2007–2020
8.2
IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
8.3
IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
9. GLOBAL EXPORTS

The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed

9.1
EXPORTS FROM 2007–2020
9.2
EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
9.3
EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

11. COUNTRY PROFILES

The Largest Markets And Their Profiles

United States
China
Japan
Germany
United Kingdom
France
Brazil
Italy
Russian Federation
India
Canada
Australia
Republic of Korea
Spain
Mexico
Indonesia
Netherlands
Turkey
Saudi Arabia
Switzerland
Sweden
Nigeria
Poland
Belgium
Argentina
Norway
Austria
Thailand
United Arab Emirates
Colombia
Denmark
South Africa
Malaysia
Israel
Singapore
Egypt
Philippines
Finland
Chile
Ireland
Pakistan
Greece
Portugal
Kazakhstan
Algeria
Czech Republic
Qatar
Peru
Romania
Vietnam
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1:
Key Findings In 2020
Table 2:
Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007–2020
Table 3:
Market Value, 2007–2020
Table 4:
Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2020
Table 5:
Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Table 6:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Table 7:
Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Table 8:
Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2007–2020
Table 9:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Table 10:
Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Table 11:
Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2007–2020
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1:
Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 2:
Market Value, 2007–2020
Figure 3:
Consumption, By Country, 2020
Figure 4:
Market Forecast To 2025
Figure 5:
Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
Figure 6:
Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
Figure 7:
Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
Figure 8:
Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
Figure 9:
Production Volume And Growth
Figure 10:
Exports And Growth
Figure 11:
Export Prices And Growth
Figure 12:
Market Size And Growth
Figure 13:
Per Capita Consumption
Figure 14:
Imports And Growth
Figure 15:
Import Prices
Figure 16:
Production, In Physical Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 17:
Production, In Value Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 18:
Production, By Country, 2020
Figure 19:
Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 20:
Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 21:
Imports, In Value Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 22:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2020
Figure 23:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 24:
Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 25:
Import Prices, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 26:
Exports, In Physical Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 27:
Exports, In Value Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 28:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2020
Figure 29:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 30:
Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 31:
Export Prices, 2007–2020

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