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World - Soya Beans - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
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Article Publishing Date: Jun 7, 2021

Soybean Production in the U.S. and Brazil to Expand Robustly Driven by Rising Demand from China

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IndexBox has just published a new report: 'World - Soya Beans - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights'. Here is a summary of the report's key findings.

The currently increasing demand for soybeans in biofuel production, animal feed and food products outpaced production growth, resulting in a significant hike in soya prices. Together with expectations of further price growth, it contributes to rising costs of many downstream products and accelerates food inflation. In China,  rebuilding pig herds after swine fever outbreaks emerges as a new driver for the global market. Those factors highlight soybeans as an attractive commodity to invest in, leading to robust expansion of crop acreage in the U.S. and Brazil. 

Key Trends and Insights

Global soybean consumption increased steadily over 2020-2021, while soybean stocks worldwide have seen rapid depletion. The escalating demand in China, which accounts for 60% of the growth in the soybean trade worldwide, is currently the key driving force of the global soybean market. China is significantly rebuilding its livestock population following outbreaks of African swine fever, and the demand for soybean has surged, as soya is a key additive ingredient to livestock feed. 

The expected recovery in demand for biofuel as the global economy emerges from the pandemic also shapes further expansion of the raw soybean market. The high soybean prices may yet curb the biofuel market's growth rate, removing the soybean fuel as a viable competitor in terms of conventional types of fuel. 

The fear that the demand for soybeans will soon exceed supply, combined with the rising production costs, contributes to prices increases. The average soybean price (Rotterdam CIF, US origin) in 2020 stood at $380 per tonne; then, in the first half of 2021, prices soared to $544 per tonne. This hike should lead to higher prices for meat, animal feed and biofuel. 

The high prices for animal proteins are further enhancing the development of the market for alternative soybean foods. In 2020, global investment into the alternative protein industry saw a twofold increase against the previous year. China is forecast to record the most significant rise in the consumption of soybean meal in animal feed, and soybean-derived protein concentrates for general food products.

The promising outlook for the soybean market is attracting investment in a bid to expand potential crop acreage. In 2021, global soybean production is set to increase by 23М tonnes to reach 386М tonnes due to the increase in the land being harnessed for crop production in the U.S. and South America, particularly Brazil. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +3.3% from 2020 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 489M tonnes by the end of 2030 (IndexBox estimates).

Soybean Consumption by Country

The global soybean market value fell slightly to $150.9B in 2020, stabilizing at the previous year's level. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). 

China (132M tonnes) constituted the country with the largest volume of soybean consumption, comprising approx. 37% of total volume. Moreover, soybean consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, Argentina (48M tonnes), threefold. Brazil (46M tonnes) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 13% share.

In China, soybean consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +5.8% over 2012-2020. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: Argentina (+4.4% per year) and Brazil (+4.0% per year).

In value terms, China ($54B) led the market alone. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Argentina ($19.9B). It was followed by Brazil.

In 2020, the highest levels of soybean per capita consumption were registered in Argentina (1,059 kg per person), followed by Brazil (214 kg per person), the U.S. (105 kg per person) and China (90 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption was estimated at 45 kg per person.

Soybean Exports by Country

Brazil (75M tonnes) and the U.S. (65M tonnes) prevails in soybean exports, together constituting 85% of the total volume. It was distantly followed by Argentina (7.7M tonnes), making up a 4.7% share of total exports. The following exporters - Paraguay (5M tonnes) and Canada (4.4M tonnes) - each finished a 5.8% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2020, the most notable growth rate in terms of shipments amongst the key exporting countries was attained by Brazil, while exports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Brazil ($29B), the U.S. ($25.9B) and Argentina ($3.1B) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2020, together accounting for 90% of global exports.

The average soybean export price stood at $395 per tonne in 2020, approximately mirroring the previous year. Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major exporting countries. In 2020, major exporting countries recorded the following prices: in Canada ($437 per tonne) and Argentina ($407 per tonne), while Paraguay ($323 per tonne) and Brazil ($387 per tonne) were amongst the lowest.

Source: IndexBox AI Platform

Product coverage:
• FCL 236 - Soybeans

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global soya bean market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2025.



Data coverage:
• Global market volume and value
• Per Capita consumption
• Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
• Global production, split by region and country
• Global trade (exports and imports)
• Export and import prices
• Market trends, drivers and restraints
• Key market players and their profiles

Reasons to buy this report:
• Take advantage of the latest data
• Find deeper insights into current market developments
• Discover vital success factors affecting the market
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:
1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
2. How to load your idle production capacity
3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
4. How to increase your profit margins
5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
7. How to outsource production to other countries
8. How to prepare your business for global expansion
While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
1. INTRODUCTION

Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

1.1
REPORT DESCRIPTION
1.2
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
1.3
DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
1.4
GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A Quick Overview of Market Performance

2.1
KEY FINDINGS
2.2
MARKET TRENDS
3. MARKET OVERVIEW

Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

3.1
MARKET SIZE
3.2
CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
3.3
MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCTS

Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

4.1
TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
4.2
BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
4.3
MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
4.4
MOST TRADED PRODUCT
4.5
MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

5.1
TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
5.2
TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
5.3
COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
5.4
TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
5.5
LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

6.1
TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
6.2
TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
6.3
UNSATURATED MARKETS
6.4
TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
6.5
MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION

The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

7.1
PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
7.2
PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
7.3
HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD BY COUNTRY
8. GLOBAL IMPORTS

The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed

8.1
IMPORTS FROM 2007–2020
8.2
IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
8.3
IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
9. GLOBAL EXPORTS

The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed

9.1
EXPORTS FROM 2007–2020
9.2
EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
9.3
EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

11. COUNTRY PROFILES

The Largest Markets And Their Profiles

United States
China
Japan
Germany
United Kingdom
France
Brazil
Italy
Russian Federation
India
Canada
Australia
Republic of Korea
Spain
Mexico
Indonesia
Netherlands
Turkey
Saudi Arabia
Switzerland
Sweden
Nigeria
Poland
Belgium
Argentina
Norway
Austria
Thailand
United Arab Emirates
Colombia
Denmark
South Africa
Malaysia
Israel
Singapore
Egypt
Philippines
Finland
Chile
Ireland
Pakistan
Greece
Portugal
Kazakhstan
Algeria
Czech Republic
Qatar
Peru
Romania
Vietnam
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1:
Key Findings In 2020
Table 2:
Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007–2020
Table 3:
Market Value, 2007–2020
Table 4:
Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2020
Table 5:
Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Table 6:
Harvested Area, By Country, 2007-2020
Table 7:
Yield, By Country, 2007-2020
Table 8:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Table 9:
Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Table 10:
Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2007–2020
Table 11:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Table 12:
Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Table 13:
Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2007–2020
Table 14:
Producer Prices, By Major Producing Country, 2020
Table 15:
Producer Prices Index - Annual Data (2004-2006=100), By Major Producing Country
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1:
Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 2:
Market Value, 2007–2020
Figure 3:
Consumption, By Country, 2020
Figure 4:
Market Forecast To 2025
Figure 5:
Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
Figure 6:
Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
Figure 7:
Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
Figure 8:
Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
Figure 9:
Production Volume And Growth
Figure 10:
Yield And Growth
Figure 11:
Exports And Growth
Figure 12:
Export Prices And Growth
Figure 13:
Market Size And Growth
Figure 14:
Per Capita Consumption
Figure 15:
Imports And Growth
Figure 16:
Import Prices
Figure 17:
Production, In Physical Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 18:
Production, In Value Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 19:
Area Harvested, 2007–2020
Figure 20:
Yield, 2007–2020
Figure 21:
Production, By Country, 2020
Figure 22:
Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 23:
Harvested Area, By Country, 2020
Figure 24:
Harvested Area, By Country, 2007-2020
Figure 25:
Yield, By Country, 2007-2020
Figure 26:
Imports, In Physical Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 27:
Imports, In Value Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 28:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2020
Figure 29:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 30:
Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 31:
Import Prices, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 32:
Exports, In Physical Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 33:
Exports, In Value Terms, 2007–2020
Figure 34:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2020
Figure 35:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 36:
Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2007–2020
Figure 37:
Export Prices, 2007–2020

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