World - Coffee (Green) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
Latest Report Update: Jun 1, 2023

World - Coffee (Green) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights

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Article Publishing Date: Jan 13, 2022

Coffee Prices to Stumble After Surging 30% in 2021

IndexBox has just published a new report: 'World - Coffee (Green) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights'. Here is a summary of the report's key findings.

Coffee prices remain highly volatile. In 2022, the average annual price for Arabica is forecast to decline thanks to expected production growth, while Robusta price will go up on skyrocketed demand from consumers, preferring cheaper alternatives to more expensive counterparts.

Key Trends and Insights

In 2022, the coffee price for Arabica is forecast to drop by about -2% y-o-y to $4.2 per kg, while Robusta will rise by 2% y-o-y to $2.0 per kg, the World Bank's October forecast states. Expected production growth in Brazil is to push Arabica prices down. The price increase for Robusta is caused by heightened demand after many consumers began to seek cheap alternatives to more expensive Arabica.

The average annual price for Arabica coffee rose by 36% y-o-y to $4.51 per kg in 2021, while Robusta went up by 31% y-o-y to $1.98 per kg over the same period. The average monthly price in December 2021 reached $5.91 per kg for Arabica and $2.48 per kg for Robusta.

Brazil, the world's largest supplier of coffee with a 35% share of global exports, shipped 1.7M tons of coffee abroad from January through September 2021, which was +5.8% higher than in the same period of 2020. In monetary terms, Brazil's coffee exports totalled $3.95B, increasing by 17% compared to the same period a year earlier. The average export price for Brazilian coffee jumped from $2.10 per kg in January to $2.77 per kg in September 2021.

Global Coffee Exports

In 2020, global exports of coffee in its unroasted (green) form declined modestly to 6.7M tons, approximately reflecting the previous year. In value terms, supplies expanded to $16B (IndexBox estimates).

Brazil was the key exporting country that supplied 2.4M tons of coffee abroad, approx. 35% of global volume. Vietnam (1,208K tons) occupied an 18% share (based on tons) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Colombia (10%), Indonesia (5.6%) and Uganda (4.9%). Ethiopia (231K tons), Peru (213K tons), Germany (211K tons), India (206K tons), Guatemala (189K tons), Nicaragua (149K tons) and Mexico (105K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

In value terms, Brazil ($5B) remains the largest green coffee supplier worldwide, comprising 31% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was occupied by Colombia ($2.4B), with a 15% share of total shipments. It was followed by Vietnam, with a 12% share.

Top Largest Coffee Importers

In 2020, the U.S. (1.3M tons) and Germany (1.1M tons) represented the major importers of coffee in unroasted form across the globe, together mixing up 37% of total volume. Italy (565K tons) and Japan (390K tons) accounted for a further 15% of global international purchases. Spain (287K tons), France (229K tons), Russia (198K tons), Switzerland (180K tons), the Netherlands (174K tons), South Korea (157K tons), the UK (156K tons), Belgium (146K tons) and Poland (128K tons) occupied relatively small shares of the total volume.

In value terms, the largest green coffee importing markets worldwide were the U.S. ($4.2B), Germany ($2.6B) and Italy ($1.2B), together accounting for 45% of global purchases. These countries were followed by Japan, Switzerland, France, Spain, the Netherlands, South Korea, the UK, Russia, Belgium and Poland, which together accounted for a further 30%.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global green coffee market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.


Product coverage:
• FCL 656 - Coffee green

Data coverage:
• Global market volume and value
• Per Capita consumption
• Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
• Global production, split by region and country
• Global trade (exports and imports)
• Export and import prices
• Market trends, drivers and restraints
• Key market players and their profiles

Company coverage:
Nestle Ag, Starbucks Corporation, Tata Global Beverages Limited, Cott Corporation, Bombay Burmah Trading Corp. Ltd., CCL Products (India) Ltd., TATA Coffee Ltd., Andrew Yule & Company Ltd., The Coffee Bean and Tea Leaf, Tim Hortons, Biggby Coffee, Dutch Bros, Dunkin' Donuts, Peet's Coffee, Caribou Coffee, La Colombe, Blue Bottle Coffee Company, Panera Bread Jobs, Costa Jobs, Peet-s Coffee Jobs, Dutch Bros Coffee Jobs

Reasons to buy this report:
• Take advantage of the latest data
• Find deeper insights into current market developments
• Discover vital success factors affecting the market
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.

In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:
1. How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
2. How to load your idle production capacity
3. How to boost your sales on overseas markets
4. How to increase your profit margins
5. How to make your supply chain more sustainable
6. How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
7. How to outsource production to other countries
8. How to prepare your business for global expansion
While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
1. INTRODUCTION

Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business

1.1
REPORT DESCRIPTION
1.2
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
1.3
DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
1.4
GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A Quick Overview of Market Performance

3. MARKET OVERVIEW

Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects

3.1
MARKET SIZE
3.2
CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
3.3
MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT

Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business

4.1
TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
4.2
BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
4.3
MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
4.4
MOST TRADED PRODUCT
4.5
MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES

Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain

5.1
TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
5.2
TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
5.3
COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
5.4
TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
5.5
LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS

Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports

6.1
TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
6.2
TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
6.3
UNSATURATED MARKETS
6.4
TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
6.5
MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION

The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry

7.1
PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
7.2
PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
7.3
HARVESTED AREA AND YIELD BY COUNTRY
8. GLOBAL IMPORTS

The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed

8.1
IMPORTS FROM 2012–2022
8.2
IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
8.3
IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
9. GLOBAL EXPORTS

The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed

9.1
EXPORTS FROM 2012–2022
9.2
EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
9.3
EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS

The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles

11. COUNTRY PROFILES

The Largest Markets And Their Profiles

United States
China
Japan
Germany
United Kingdom
France
Brazil
Italy
Russian Federation
India
Canada
Australia
Republic of Korea
Spain
Mexico
Indonesia
Netherlands
Turkey
Saudi Arabia
Switzerland
Sweden
Nigeria
Poland
Belgium
Argentina
Norway
Austria
Thailand
United Arab Emirates
Colombia
Denmark
South Africa
Malaysia
Israel
Singapore
Egypt
Philippines
Finland
Chile
Ireland
Pakistan
Greece
Portugal
Kazakhstan
Algeria
Czech Republic
Qatar
Peru
Romania
Vietnam
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1:
Key Findings In 2022
Table 2:
Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2022
Table 3:
Market Value, 2012–2022
Table 4:
Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2022
Table 5:
Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2022
Table 6:
Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2022
Table 7:
Yield, By Country, 2012-2022
Table 8:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2022
Table 9:
Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2022
Table 10:
Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2022
Table 11:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2022
Table 12:
Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2022
Table 13:
Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2022
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1:
Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2022
Figure 2:
Market Value, 2012–2022
Figure 3:
Consumption, By Country, 2022
Figure 4:
Market Volume Forecast to 2030
Figure 5:
Market Value Forecast to 2030
Figure 6:
Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
Figure 7:
Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
Figure 8:
Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
Figure 9:
Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
Figure 10:
Production Volume And Growth
Figure 11:
Yield And Growth
Figure 12:
Exports And Growth
Figure 13:
Export Prices And Growth
Figure 14:
Market Size And Growth
Figure 15:
Per Capita Consumption
Figure 16:
Imports And Growth
Figure 17:
Import Prices
Figure 18:
Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2022
Figure 19:
Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2022
Figure 20:
Area Harvested, 2012–2022
Figure 21:
Yield, 2012–2022
Figure 22:
Production, By Country, 2022
Figure 23:
Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2022
Figure 24:
Harvested Area, By Country, 2022
Figure 25:
Harvested Area, By Country, 2012-2022
Figure 26:
Yield, By Country, 2012-2022
Figure 27:
Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2022
Figure 28:
Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2022
Figure 29:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2022
Figure 30:
Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2022
Figure 31:
Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2022
Figure 32:
Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2022
Figure 33:
Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2022
Figure 34:
Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2022
Figure 35:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2022
Figure 36:
Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2022
Figure 37:
Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2022
Figure 38:
Export Prices, 2012–2022
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