Roasted Decaffeinated Coffee Market

The global roasted decaffeinated coffee market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years, with a forecasted CAGR of +0.9% in volume and +2.9% in value from 2022 to 2030. Consumption volumes reached a peak in 2022 at 337K tons, with Italy, the United States, and India leading in consumption. Production volumes also peaked in 2021 at 331K tons. France and the United States were the largest importers, while Switzerland and France were the largest exporters. Price trends varied by country, with Switzerland showing the highest export price at $33,932 per ton in 2022.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for roasted decaffeinated coffee worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.9% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 353K tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.9% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $3.4B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Roasted Decaffeinated Coffee

In 2022, global roasted decaffeinated coffee consumption contracted slightly to 329K tons, which is down by -2.5% on the previous year's figure. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. As a result, consumption reached the peak volume of 337K tons, and then declined in the following year.

The global roasted decaffeinated coffee market size fell slightly to $2.7B in 2022, waning by -3.8% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $2.8B, and then dropped modestly in the following year.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were Italy (44K tons), the United States (39K tons) and India (30K tons), together accounting for 34% of global consumption.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Italy (with a CAGR of +10.0%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest roasted decaffeinated coffee markets worldwide were Italy ($339M), the United States ($310M) and Spain ($214M), together comprising 32% of the global market. India, France, Brazil, Poland, Germany, Thailand, Indonesia, Ethiopia, Mexico and Nigeria lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 31%.

Nigeria, with a CAGR of +6.9%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of roasted decaffeinated coffee per capita consumption in 2022 were Italy (735 kg per 1000 persons), Spain (436 kg per 1000 persons) and Germany (206 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Italy (with a CAGR of +10.1%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Roasted Decaffeinated Coffee

Global roasted decaffeinated coffee production contracted modestly to 324K tons in 2022, falling by -1.9% on 2021. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the production volume increased by 15% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak volume of 331K tons, and then contracted slightly in the following year.

In value terms, roasted decaffeinated coffee production contracted to $2.7B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the production volume increased by 14% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $2.8B, and then fell in the following year.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were Italy (46K tons), the United States (39K tons) and India (29K tons), together accounting for 35% of global production.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the key producing countries, was attained by Italy (with a CAGR of +9.2%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Roasted Decaffeinated Coffee

In 2022, overseas purchases of roasted decaffeinated coffee decreased by -4.7% to 56K tons, falling for the third consecutive year after six years of growth. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 12%. Over the period under review, global imports reached the peak figure at 64K tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, roasted decaffeinated coffee imports dropped slightly to $740M in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.2% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 19%. Global imports peaked at $761M in 2021, and then dropped slightly in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2022, France (7.5K tons) and the United States (6.8K tons) were the largest importers of roasted decaffeinated coffeearound the world, together generating 26% of total imports. Spain (4.3K tons) held the next position in the ranking, followed by Canada (3.5K tons), Italy (3.2K tons) and Belgium (2.7K tons). All these countries together took approx. 24% share of total imports. The Netherlands (2.3K tons), the UK (2.3K tons), Germany (2.2K tons), South Korea (1.8K tons), Poland (1.5K tons), Austria (1.4K tons) and Portugal (1.2K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by South Korea (with a CAGR of +23.3%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest roasted decaffeinated coffee importing markets worldwide were France ($136M), the United States ($112M) and Spain ($68M), with a combined 43% share of global imports. Canada, Italy, South Korea, Germany, Belgium, the UK, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal and Poland lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 36%.

In terms of the main importing countries, South Korea, with a CAGR of +22.7%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average roasted decaffeinated coffee import price stood at $13,266 per ton in 2022, growing by 2% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.7%. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the average import price increased by 19%. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $13,402 per ton. From 2018 to 2022, the average import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was France ($18,147 per ton), while Poland ($7,982 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Spain (+8.2%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Roasted Decaffeinated Coffee

In 2022, overseas shipments of roasted decaffeinated coffee decreased by -1.4% to 52K tons, falling for the third consecutive year after five years of growth. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 12%. The global exports peaked at 55K tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, roasted decaffeinated coffee exports contracted to $739M in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 12%. The global exports peaked at $740M in 2021, and then declined in the following year.

Exports By Country

Germany (7.2K tons), Switzerland (7.1K tons), the United States (6.6K tons), Italy (5.7K tons), Canada (4.2K tons), France (3.9K tons) and the Netherlands (3.4K tons) represented roughly 73% of total exports in 2022. Spain (2K tons), Belgium (1.9K tons), Vietnam (1.1K tons), the Czech Republic (1K tons) and Panama (0.9K tons) took a minor share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the leading exporting countries, was attained by Panama (with a CAGR of +105.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Switzerland ($239M) remains the largest roasted decaffeinated coffee supplier worldwide, comprising 32% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by France ($102M), with a 14% share of global exports. It was followed by Italy, with an 8.9% share.

In Switzerland, roasted decaffeinated coffee exports increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: France (+9.5% per year) and Italy (+3.8% per year).

Export Prices By Country

In 2022, the average roasted decaffeinated coffee export price amounted to $14,336 per ton, flattening at the previous year. Overall, the export price showed a slight increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 10% against the previous year. The global export price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Switzerland ($33,932 per ton), while Vietnam ($2,879 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Panama (+4.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform